AmericasTeam81;1891093 said:
San Diego was a number one seed last year and lost in the divisonal round. The year before Indy lost in the divisional round. In 2000 the Titans lost in the divisional round. 1997 and in 1995 the Chiefs lost in the divisional round. The last NFC team to be a number one seed and lose in the divisional round was the 49ers in 1987.
Three of those teams were coached by Marty Schottenheimer, Tony Dungy's son committed suicide before the playoffs when the Colts lost, and the Titans lost to Baltimore, who went 12-4 that year and had a pretty good defense, so I've been told, and also went on to win the Super Bowl that year.
Going further, the Colts lost to the Steelers, who won the Super Bowl that year (winning all of their games on the road). The 1997 Chiefs also lost to eventual champ Denver. San Diego lost to a very good Patriot team this year, which hasn't lost a game since last year's AFC Championship game.
1995 Kansas City is the only real fluky one (the 9-7 Jim Harbaugh Colts) but again, that's with Marty coaching them.
The Giants can definitely win this game if things play out right, but they aren't as overwhelming as those other examples you listed. I certainly don't see this Giants team going to the Super Bowl if they move on this weekend.