Is Dak Prescott's contract actually that bad

Swagger

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In terms of overall QB play this season the top 15 list would arguably look something along the lines of:

Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Jared Goff
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Justin Herbert
C J Stroud
Kyler Murray
Sam Darnold
Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford

A few quarterbacks can be moved around here and there plus there's a case for the likes of Purdy and Williams to be in the top 15 but in general, it's not an outlandish list.

The point being Dak Prescott is no where to be seen within the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this season and for good reason.

Realistically going forwards with the likes of Caleb Williams and Bo Nix likely to improve a whole lot more and even accounting for say Darnold, Mayfield and Cousins struggling to back up their form into next season and the potential of Stafford and/or Rodgers retiring, do people really see Prescott getting himself into the top 10 ranked quarterbacks next season?

In terms of big name quarterback contracts on the horizon how many are there? Purdy at the end of this season, C J Stroud likely in 2026 and perhaps Josh Allen at some point during that period to restructure his contract given he's only in the low 40s at this time and to spread the cap hit of his next contract with the Bills.

Other than that there are not too many more before Prescott's contract will be up for renewal again - perhaps his will be a year after a bunch of the top 10 guys. The point being that when we look back at the highest earning quarterbacks over the 9 years prior to Prescott's current contract expiring, he will have likely been either the highest earner or at least a top 3 earning QB over those 9 years! Astounding really given the horrific ROI in terms of relevant performance to the team winning important games against good teams. It also completely blows out the water the ridiculous notion/assertion that, "his contract will be around the 15th highest paid quarterback in a year or two" - no it will not!

I am very interested to find out how much Purdy is offered by the 49ers. I do not think it will be $60+ million a year. I think he will take a commercial view and be pleased to take a bit less to stay and play for a good team rather than earning more on a bad team. In those circumstances, I wouldn't be surprised if he accepted around $50 million a year. But who knows, the 49ers might be the next team to massively overpay for a solid NFL starting quarterback. Again, it is noticeable that his overall use and performance is increased when he scrambles and moves to acquire first downs or extend plays which leads me to my next point...

My final observation is that of the above top 10 ranked NFL quarterbacks in the league this season, only Goff lacks mobility. The other 9 can all move at will to extend plays and rush for a much needed first down. Same rules apply to the young quarterbacks coming through like Love, Nix and Williams. If you are planning to pay top dollar to a quarterback then surely they require some mobility in the modern NFL? If not then pay them around the $45-$50 million range to compensate for that to facilitate the payment of two stud running backs like Montgomery and Gibbs or draft a stud RB in the first round like Robinson...

Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come.

Fair play to him though as he will have brought in $400+ million over 9 years - Jerry must be in a whole world of pain right now!
 

Cmac

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In terms of overall QB play this season the top 15 list would arguably look something along the lines of:

Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Jared Goff
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Justin Herbert
C J Stroud
Kyler Murray
Sam Darnold
Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford

A few quarterbacks can be moved around here and there plus there's a case for the likes of Purdy and Williams to be in the top 15 but in general, it's not an outlandish list.

The point being Dak Prescott is no where to be seen within the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this season and for good reason.

Realistically going forwards with the likes of Caleb Williams and Bo Nix likely to improve a whole lot more and even accounting for say Darnold, Mayfield and Cousins struggling to back up their form into next season and the potential of Stafford and/or Rodgers retiring, do people really see Prescott getting himself into the top 10 ranked quarterbacks next season?

In terms of big name quarterback contracts on the horizon how many are there? Purdy at the end of this season, C J Stroud likely in 2026 and perhaps Josh Allen at some point during that period to restructure his contract given he's only in the low 40s at this time and to spread the cap hit of his next contract with the Bills.

Other than that there are not too many more before Prescott's contract will be up for renewal again - perhaps his will be a year after a bunch of the top 10 guys. The point being that when we look back at the highest earning quarterbacks over the 9 years prior to Prescott's current contract expiring, he will have likely been either the highest earner or at least a top 3 earning QB over those 9 years! Astounding really given the horrific ROI in terms of relevant performance to the team winning important games against good teams. It also completely blows out the water the ridiculous notion/assertion that, "his contract will be around the 15th highest paid quarterback in a year or two" - no it will not!

I am very interested to find out how much Purdy is offered by the 49ers. I do not think it will be $60+ million a year. I think he will take a commercial view and be pleased to take a bit less to stay and play for a good team rather than earning more on a bad team. In those circumstances, I wouldn't be surprised if he accepted around $50 million a year. But who knows, the 49ers might be the next team to massively overpay for a solid NFL starting quarterback. Again, it is noticeable that his overall use and performance is increased when he scrambles and moves to acquire first downs or extend plays which leads me to my next point...

My final observation is that of the above top 10 ranked NFL quarterbacks in the league this season, only Goff lacks mobility. The other 9 can all move at will to extend plays and rush for a much needed first down. Same rules apply to the young quarterbacks coming through like Love, Nix and Williams. If you are planning to pay top dollar to a quarterback then surely they require some mobility in the modern NFL? If not then pay them around the $45-$50 million range to compensate for that to facilitate the payment of two stud running backs like Montgomery and Gibbs or draft a stud RB in the first round like Robinson...

Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come.

Fair play to him though as he will have brought in $400+ million over 9 years - Jerry must be in a whole world of pain right now!
Where's Trevor "Fabio" Lawrence?.....he got paid.
 

NFCBeasts

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I remember the Stans telling me Goff and Stafford stink and Dak is way better …. meanwhile Stanford loses all his weapons but still finds ways to win on the road ….most them have disappeared though which is nice.


but yes the answer to this thread is yes
 

Swagger

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Where's Trevor "Fabio" Lawrence?.....he got paid.
Not in the top 15 for me this season but he has still played better than Prescott this term and in reality he still has more upside than Prescott at this stage in his career. He might have an opportunity to play on a better team at some point whether that's with the Jaguars or elsewhere.

It also speaks volumes that the above is your take from the opening message. I.e., a desperate attempt to find at this stage in his contract, one other overpaid quarterback having a poor season to somehow prop up Dak Prescott.

Prescott has had multiple years of playing on Superbowl calibre rosters and still failed whereas Lawrence hasn't had any. He has only really played on one pretty good team in 2022.

I'm not bigging up Lawrence and he might turn out to be a complete bust but it's still quite early on in his career and I don't write off quarterbacks until they have had a fair shake on good teams - note the likes of Mayfield and Darnold.
 

Flamma

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In terms of overall QB play this season the top 15 list would arguably look something along the lines of:

Lamar Jackson
Josh Allen
Jared Goff
Jayden Daniels
Joe Burrow
Jalen Hurts
Patrick Mahomes
Justin Herbert
C J Stroud
Kyler Murray
Sam Darnold
Baker Mayfield
Kirk Cousins
Jordan Love
Matthew Stafford

A few quarterbacks can be moved around here and there plus there's a case for the likes of Purdy and Williams to be in the top 15 but in general, it's not an outlandish list.

The point being Dak Prescott is no where to be seen within the top 15 quarterbacks in the league this season and for good reason.

Realistically going forwards with the likes of Caleb Williams and Bo Nix likely to improve a whole lot more and even accounting for say Darnold, Mayfield and Cousins struggling to back up their form into next season and the potential of Stafford and/or Rodgers retiring, do people really see Prescott getting himself into the top 10 ranked quarterbacks next season?

In terms of big name quarterback contracts on the horizon how many are there? Purdy at the end of this season, C J Stroud likely in 2026 and perhaps Josh Allen at some point during that period to restructure his contract given he's only in the low 40s at this time and to spread the cap hit of his next contract with the Bills.

Other than that there are not too many more before Prescott's contract will be up for renewal again - perhaps his will be a year after a bunch of the top 10 guys. The point being that when we look back at the highest earning quarterbacks over the 9 years prior to Prescott's current contract expiring, he will have likely been either the highest earner or at least a top 3 earning QB over those 9 years! Astounding really given the horrific ROI in terms of relevant performance to the team winning important games against good teams. It also completely blows out the water the ridiculous notion/assertion that, "his contract will be around the 15th highest paid quarterback in a year or two" - no it will not!

I am very interested to find out how much Purdy is offered by the 49ers. I do not think it will be $60+ million a year. I think he will take a commercial view and be pleased to take a bit less to stay and play for a good team rather than earning more on a bad team. In those circumstances, I wouldn't be surprised if he accepted around $50 million a year. But who knows, the 49ers might be the next team to massively overpay for a solid NFL starting quarterback. Again, it is noticeable that his overall use and performance is increased when he scrambles and moves to acquire first downs or extend plays which leads me to my next point...

My final observation is that of the above top 10 ranked NFL quarterbacks in the league this season, only Goff lacks mobility. The other 9 can all move at will to extend plays and rush for a much needed first down. Same rules apply to the young quarterbacks coming through like Love, Nix and Williams. If you are planning to pay top dollar to a quarterback then surely they require some mobility in the modern NFL? If not then pay them around the $45-$50 million range to compensate for that to facilitate the payment of two stud running backs like Montgomery and Gibbs or draft a stud RB in the first round like Robinson...

Whichever way people try to dress it up, the latest Dak Prescott contract looks to have been an awful progress stopping decision and one that will kneecap the team for several years to come.

Fair play to him though as he will have brought in $400+ million over 9 years - Jerry must be in a whole world of pain right now!
Look at Dak's Cap hit percentages going forward. None of them give us any chance at winning anything for the duration of his contract. No QB not named Mahomes has ever won anything with cap hits like that. Many of the QBs on that list don't have Dak type percentage of the cap going to them.
 

Cmac

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Not in the top 15 for me this season but he has still played better than Prescott this term and in reality he still has more upside than Prescott at this stage in his career. He might have an opportunity to play on a better team at some point whether that's with the Jaguars or elsewhere.

It also speaks volumes that the above is your take from the opening message. I.e., a desperate attempt to find at this stage in his contract, one other overpaid quarterback having a poor season to somehow prop up Dak Prescott.

Prescott has had multiple years of playing on Superbowl calibre rosters and still failed whereas Lawrence hasn't had any. He has only really played on one pretty good team in 2022.

I'm not bigging up Lawrence and he might turn out to be a complete bust but it's still quite early on in his career and I don't write off quarterbacks until they have had a fair shake on good teams - note the likes of Mayfield and Darnold.
I never mentioned Prescott.....you did with desperation..... and you have a nice Tony Romo-like narrative to pose for Trevor. Well done.
 

Creeper

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No, it's actually worse than bad.

The earliest they can realistically get out of his contract is 2026. Even then they would eat $60 million in dead money. He has a no trade clause so unless he waves it, they would have to cut him. Why Jerry would give him a no trade clause that late in his career is hard to understand.

His CAP number in 2025 is almost $90 million. His $40 million alary is guaranteed and there is $47 million in prorated bonus to be accounted for. This is the problem Jerry created for himself and why he was hesitant to sign any players whose contracts might extend into 2025.

2025 is going to be another dead year, and 2026 could be bad too if they cut Dak.

Dak's last deal was bad. This deal takes bad to a whole other level.
 

kskboys

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No, it's actually worse than bad.

The earliest they can realistically get out of his contract is 2026. Even then they would eat $60 million in dead money. He has a no trade clause so unless he waves it, they would have to cut him. Why Jerry would give him a no trade clause that late in his career is hard to understand.

His CAP number in 2025 is almost $90 million. His $40 million alary is guaranteed and there is $47 million in prorated bonus to be accounted for. This is the problem Jerry created for himself and why he was hesitant to sign any players whose contracts might extend into 2025.

2025 is going to be another dead year, and 2026 could be bad too if they cut Dak.

Dak's last deal was bad. This deal takes bad to a whole other level.
X gadzillions.

Anyone who thinks this isn't a huge negative effect on the salary cap/team just does not want to see it.
 

charron

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Yes it is that bad. It's100million more than it should have been.
 
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