Hoofbite
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I've been pretty pissed lately.
I still hate Barron. More than I've hated many other players but that isn't the point.
Week 1 of the NFL season has taught me something. Never bet the "sure thing". No, I didn't lose much. Enough to rent a video game is about it. But still, when you hit on the harder legs of the parlay and see a team like the Chargers botch the whole bet, ya get pissed and you realize something.
Week 1 of the NFL season should be off limits to betting and expectations.
Ya see, there's never any way of knowing which team will underachieve and which team will overachieve. There just isn't any way of knowing.
Which brings me to Dallas and Washington. Washington played a pretty good defensive game. In that regard, I consider them the overachievers because they had a ton of offseason turnover and because of the new system. I take my hat off to that team because they had a lot of changes happen and still played a good game.
If they are the overachievers, Dallas is the underachiever and I think it's all pretty obvious why so lets just leave it at that and move on.
So where am I going with all this? Well, I'm going to the tin-foil hat rack because I've got a conspiracy.
[tin hat]
The NFL intends on good teams losing week 1 in order to have a tighter race down the stretch. Stick with me here. We've already heard Regor come out and say that he doesn't want the season to end with players on the bench resting up for the playoffs (then again, he's trying to give them more opportunities with 2 more games but lets ignore that inconsistency for a minute).
But, just what if the other side of that coin is to pit teams on the road week 1 for heated rivalries?
There were 7 divisional games last weekend. I think there were anyway. I suppose I could have missed some.
Dallas @ Washington
Indy @ Houston
Miami @ Buffalo
Detroit @ Chicago
Arizona @ St. Louis
San Fran @ Seattle
San Diego @ KC
Of those 7 divisional games, the more successful 2009 team was on the road in 6 of the games.
And of those 6 teams on the road, only 2 of them won.
The NFL knows that week 1 is going to be an emotionally charged game. They know that teams can't walk right into a divisional foe's house and cakewalk to a victory. Hell, even the Miami and Arizona games (the two teams that went on the road and won) were closely contested.
So, it's pretty clear what's going on here. They're more than happy with letting a weaker team get first crack at a stronger opponent at home with a charged up crowd. Essentially, they want to tilt the scales to favor weaker teams now so stronger teams have to finish out the season later.
But I know what you're thinking......."What about Detroit".
And to that I say, "Forget Detroit".
They're obviously the outlier in this sample and as a result we'd be perfectly fine with tossing them out. Not to mention, it's painfully apparent that the NFL has a grudge against Detroit for something. How else can anyone explain the ending to that game? Detroit was robbed of a win so theres no reason to include them in the discussion when talking about the weaker team being at home. The NFL has it out for the Lions, plain and simple.
Sounds crazy, right? Well believe it.
[/tin hat]
I still hate Barron. More than I've hated many other players but that isn't the point.
Week 1 of the NFL season has taught me something. Never bet the "sure thing". No, I didn't lose much. Enough to rent a video game is about it. But still, when you hit on the harder legs of the parlay and see a team like the Chargers botch the whole bet, ya get pissed and you realize something.
Week 1 of the NFL season should be off limits to betting and expectations.
Ya see, there's never any way of knowing which team will underachieve and which team will overachieve. There just isn't any way of knowing.
Which brings me to Dallas and Washington. Washington played a pretty good defensive game. In that regard, I consider them the overachievers because they had a ton of offseason turnover and because of the new system. I take my hat off to that team because they had a lot of changes happen and still played a good game.
If they are the overachievers, Dallas is the underachiever and I think it's all pretty obvious why so lets just leave it at that and move on.
So where am I going with all this? Well, I'm going to the tin-foil hat rack because I've got a conspiracy.
[tin hat]
The NFL intends on good teams losing week 1 in order to have a tighter race down the stretch. Stick with me here. We've already heard Regor come out and say that he doesn't want the season to end with players on the bench resting up for the playoffs (then again, he's trying to give them more opportunities with 2 more games but lets ignore that inconsistency for a minute).
But, just what if the other side of that coin is to pit teams on the road week 1 for heated rivalries?
There were 7 divisional games last weekend. I think there were anyway. I suppose I could have missed some.
Dallas @ Washington
Indy @ Houston
Miami @ Buffalo
Detroit @ Chicago
Arizona @ St. Louis
San Fran @ Seattle
San Diego @ KC
Of those 7 divisional games, the more successful 2009 team was on the road in 6 of the games.
And of those 6 teams on the road, only 2 of them won.
The NFL knows that week 1 is going to be an emotionally charged game. They know that teams can't walk right into a divisional foe's house and cakewalk to a victory. Hell, even the Miami and Arizona games (the two teams that went on the road and won) were closely contested.
So, it's pretty clear what's going on here. They're more than happy with letting a weaker team get first crack at a stronger opponent at home with a charged up crowd. Essentially, they want to tilt the scales to favor weaker teams now so stronger teams have to finish out the season later.
But I know what you're thinking......."What about Detroit".
And to that I say, "Forget Detroit".
They're obviously the outlier in this sample and as a result we'd be perfectly fine with tossing them out. Not to mention, it's painfully apparent that the NFL has a grudge against Detroit for something. How else can anyone explain the ending to that game? Detroit was robbed of a win so theres no reason to include them in the discussion when talking about the weaker team being at home. The NFL has it out for the Lions, plain and simple.
Sounds crazy, right? Well believe it.
[/tin hat]
