LSU vs Alabama Part 2

Cythim

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ABQCOWBOY;4294633 said:
And you can prove this because I am saying that they would not have. I am open to seeing how you justify your conclusion.

OSU was as high as they could possibly have gotten the week before they lost to ISU. They were sitting on a .9642 average, which is higher than Alabama ever made it in the BCS poll (.9627 for Bama in week 9). Starting position didn't matter for them at that point, LSU was clearly #1 and OSU was more than a solid #2. After the loss to ISU they dropped to .8408, which is lower than Alabama dropped after losing to LSU (keep in mind Bama dropped when other teams were undefeated while OSU dropped when everyone but LSU and Houston had lost a game). It is pretty simple, the loss to ISU was devistating to OSU and kept them out of the National Championship game.
 

Cythim

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Hoofbite;4295833 said:
Then what were you suggesting?

I was asking how many teams Alabama needed to beat to deserve the same rematches that New York got. If they knock off OSU would that be good enough? What if V-Tech won their game and Oregon had 1 loss to LSU? No scenario will be as satisfying as the NFL playoffs because there are 120 teams that play only 12 games each to sift through and find the top teams. The NFL has 1/4 the number of teams and plays 4 more games to make it much easier to rank teams without using opinion. Someone is always going to be lest out, today it is OSU.
 

Hoofbite

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Cythim;4295848 said:
I was asking how many teams Alabama needed to beat to deserve the same rematches that New York got. If they knock off OSU would that be good enough? What if V-Tech won their game and Oregon had 1 loss to LSU? No scenario will be as satisfying as the NFL playoffs because there are 120 teams that play only 12 games each to sift through and find the top teams. The NFL has 1/4 the number of teams and plays 4 more games to make it much easier to rank teams without using opinion. Someone is always going to be lest out, today it is OSU.

They'd have to win however many it took as decided by the playoff system. Could be 1st round, could be title game.

Some teams play 13 games and some play 12. Would it really matter if they took out 1 game, maybe 2 and tacked on a playoff system?

You remove the cupcake games from the schedule where teams basically play a local high school and throw in a 16 team tournament at the end and you've only added 1-2 games max.

Right now, LSU will play 14 games this year.

If it was a 10 game season + 4 playoff, they'd play 14 games.

If it was a 12 game season + 4 playoff, they'd play 16 games.

Or, you could not remove any and have a little college football in December instead of having some ridiculous month off.

If it got too confusing, I'm sure the FBS could take a look at the FCS and decipher the oh-so-mind-boggling playoff system they institute with 20 teams.



Or, you could just do away with the current model where some conferences have some have 8 teams, some have 12, some have 16.

Here we go, 120 teams:

12 conferences on a NCAAF basis only. No need to realign the NCAAB as they have a system that works in place. Sorry independents, you get to join somebody.

2 divisions per conferences, 5 teams per division.

Each team plays:
  • 4 divisional opponents
  • 2 opponents from other division in their conference
  • 4 teams from other conferences
  • 10 games so far and we'll throw a bye week in there to make it week 11 when the regular season ends.

Week 12:

24 divisional leaders square off for the conference championship.

Week 13:

Top 8 teams remaining (as determined by W/L, SOS and whatever other qualifiers you'd like) play for 4 spots in the tournament. Essentially WC teams that could include a loser from a conference title game if it worked out that way.

Weeks 14 - 16:

12 Conference Champs + 4 At Large start up a tournament with teams ranked using the exact same system that determined the at large play-in games.

Once you have it narrowed to 2 teams, you have a bye week and then you play for the title in week 18.

At most a team would play it's schedule 10, a conference title (loss assumed), a play-in, 4 rounds of playoffs which equals 16 games if they were able to come back and win it all. Difference of 2 from LSUs current number of games.Conference champs would play at most 15 games if one of them were to win it all, 1 more game than LSU will have played this season.

I'm sure there's probably some flaws in there somewhere because I just thought this up on the spot but this system would be infinitely better than the current model.
 

Suave

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trickblue;4289050 said:
Although Alabama is likely the team that should play LSU in the NC, the bottom line is that they had their chance... at home... and lost...

Bring on OSU...


Oklahoma State had their chance as well, and they lost, even though they were a 29 point favorite. If Oklahoma State can beat all those ranked teams, then how in the hell could they not beat Iowa State? All they had to do was beat Iowa State, and there would be no BCS controversy, and they would be playing in the title game. They have nobody to blame but themselves.
 

Suave

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Doomsday101;4290389 said:
I think a legit case could be made for Bama and I also think a case can be made for OSU.


Overall, Oklahoma State's opponents are a combined 77-63. Alabama's opponents are 72-60. Worse for Alabama's case is that only four of its opponents have winning records. Six of Oklahoma State's opponents have winning records.

Oklahoma State has played three or four ranked teams (Oklahoma, Kansas State, Baylor, and Texas). Alabama has played three ranked teams (LSU, Arkansas, and Penn State).

Until a playoff system is put in place these types of disagreement will continue


Even if a playoff system was implemented, there would still be disagreements on who should be in the playoffs. No system will ever be perfect for college football.
 

Suave

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ABQCOWBOY;4292862 said:
Yeah, so? The fact of the matter is that if OSU and Alabama would have started off even in the pre-season points that make up the BCS rankings, OSU would be ranked higher right now. Bama had their shot. They blew it. OSU is getting screwed.


OSU isn't getting screwed. The "fact of the matter" is that if OSU had not lost to unranked Iowa State, then they would have finished ranked higher than Alabama in the BCS standings, and they would be playing in the title game.
 

ABQCOWBOY

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Suave;4296010 said:
OSU isn't getting screwed. The "fact of the matter" is that if OSU had not lost to unranked Iowa State, then they would have finished ranked higher than Alabama in the BCS standings, and they would be playing in the title game.

Yeah they are. Show me how Alabama should be ranked #2 right now.
 

ABQCOWBOY

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Cythim;4295841 said:
OSU was as high as they could possibly have gotten the week before they lost to ISU. They were sitting on a .9642 average, which is higher than Alabama ever made it in the BCS poll (.9627 for Bama in week 9). Starting position didn't matter for them at that point, LSU was clearly #1 and OSU was more than a solid #2. After the loss to ISU they dropped to .8408, which is lower than Alabama dropped after losing to LSU (keep in mind Bama dropped when other teams were undefeated while OSU dropped when everyone but LSU and Houston had lost a game). It is pretty simple, the loss to ISU was devistating to OSU and kept them out of the National Championship game.

I'll ask you as well. Show me how Alabama should be ranked #2 right now. Even with OSU's loss to ISU, show me how Alabama should be higher.
 

Doomsday101

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ABQCOWBOY;4296457 said:
Yeah they are. Show me how Alabama should be ranked #2 right now.

I agree. Bama did not win their conferance did not play and overall the strenght of schdule based on playing ranked teams well OSU played more of them. I have a lot of respect for Bama but as far as I'm concerned they had their shot at LSU they lost. OSU beat a top 10 team and ripped them apart.

It is what is it and while I don't agree with it LSU and Bama will play for the NC but as normal it leave doubt about the NC.


I know I go back to it but NCAA does not have a problem with the other football division playing in a playoff, nor do they have an issue with basketball having a playoff or baseball. Your #1 money maker is Div 1 A football and yet it is determined by a computer? :laugh2:
 

DFWJC

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CowboysZone LOYAL Fan
I saw where Saben got to vote in the Coaches poll but Gundy did not.
Of course, Saben dropped OSU down to 4th.

ALL SEC teams voted LSU and Bama 1 & 2 and some dropped OSU down a ways. Not to be outdone, ALL but one of the Big 12 teams voted OSU 2nd. Missouri voted OSU lower....and Mizzou is moving to the SEC.

It's just plain crooked all around.

This BCS stuff is just over-the-top moronic.
 

joseephuss

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http://espn.go.com/espn/commentary/...-lobbied-harder-oklahoma-state-bcs-title-shot

What makes the margin look even more painful is it wasn't some unbudgeable accrual of cold, hard season-long stats that kept 11-1 Alabama ahead of 11-1 Oklahoma State. Rather, it was largely one of the two human polls the BCS factors into its standings -- the Harris Poll. When folks rooted around and did the forensics on who voted what to explain how OSU narrowly finished out of the title game, what they found was 16 Harris voters actually pegged OSU lower than third in their final votes. That group included -- ahem -- one Nick Saban, who ranked Oklahoma State No. 4 behind Stanford. Worse, three other Harris voters ranked Oklahoma State a startling sixth, including a retired gentleman named George Wine. He's an 80-year-old former sports information director at the University of Iowa who told the Tampa Bay Times that, "I probably don't do as much research" as others.
 

tyke1doe

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ABQCOWBOY;4294852 said:
I don't know what you are doing here. You are quoting your own quote and arguing it's content with yourself? I don't know. I will simply say that Bama had an opportunity to beat LSU and failed. They had their shot. OSU has not played LSU and they should get an opportunity to do so.

Unfortunately for you, there's nothing in the BCS rules that says if a team loses to the No. 1 team, the losing team is excluded from the BCS Championship Game.

So your argument "Alabama had its shot" isn't substantiated by the only objective fact we can consider, i.e., the BCS rules.


There is no logical way that Alabama should be number 2.

Oklahoma State's opponents have a combined record of 81-63 (.563 winning percentage) this season. They played four teams that were ranked in the top 25 at the time of the game, and two of those games—Kansas State, Oklahoma—were against teams in the top 15.

Alabama's opponents combined for an 85-61 record (.582 winning percentage). However, when you take out the game against Georgia Southern, an FCS school, the record dwindles down to 75-59 (.560). Games against None D1 or D2A opponents are supposed to be penalized in the BCS rankings. At least, this was the story the BCS told in the past.

How interesting that you didn't mention that Alabama played five teams in the Top 25 at the time they played them - Penn State, Arkanas, Florida, LSU and Auburn. And of course, Alabama loses to the top ranked team by three points in overtime.

Second, if the BCS supposed penalizes non D1 teams, is it also supposedly supposed to penalize top teams that lose to unranked teams like OSU did to Iowa State?

Last week the Tide received every second-place vote and 1,440 points, while Oklahoma State received 1,286 points.

This week, the Tide received 38 second-place votes and 1,418 points and the Cowboys got 22 second-place votes and 1,400 points. Two voters had Oklahoma State fourth.

If we are going to say that we must follow the rules and regs of the BCS, how do you vote OSU 4th? All points of reference, specific to who should be ranked higher (assuming Stanford is being voted 3rd), favor OSU. How is it that voters vote OSU 4th?

What rules and regs state that coaches must vote a certain way? If that were part of the rules, then it wouldn't be happening. Apparently, the rules allow discretion to the coaches who vote.

If you view this with no bias, OSU should be ranked 2nd over Alabama. That clearly is not happening.

Whenever you involve humans, you have the potential for bias. However, having the human element isn't that bad. Coaches generally know who is the better team. And they measure factors such as OSU losing to Iowa State and Alabama losing to LSU by three points.

The NFL or Superbowl doesn't matter at all. They have a playoff system, based on win/loss. There is no comparison at all.

The comparison is simple. Teams who play in the regular season also play each other in the post-season. What happened between the two teams in the regular season doesn't preclude the two teams from meeting in the post-season. And for college, the post-season is the Bowl games.

That's the only point of the comparison.


This is not an accurate statement. The SEC is ranked slightly higher then the Big 12 this year but that is because of the human voting. The fact of the matter is that in almost all computer rankings, the Big 12 is ranked higher. It is a stronger conference but, because of the human voting leaning so heavily towards the SEC, the SEC is viewed as stronger. Again, this is all about bias and not about actual play on the field.

Could it be that the Big 12 is higher in the ranking because they play a more wide-open offense in the Big 12 with minimal defense? The SEC defense is better than the Big 12.

Furthermore, the only matchup between the SEC (Arkansas) and Big12 (Texas A&M, soon to be in the SEC), the SEC won.

The reason the human voting considers the SEC better is because they play better defense. LSU hung 40 plus points on nine teams, including six teams ranked in the top 25. Alabama held LSU to 9 points!!!!.

And yet, the OSU allowed Iowa State to hang 37 on their defense, allowed Kansas St. 45.

I think you can see why coaches have more confidence in Alabama's defense's ability to shut down OSU based on what it did to LSU. Meanwhile, OSU doesn't have a defense approaching Alabama's.

It's pretty simple. If you start at #2, you start with more points. If you start at #9, you have fewer points. In order for 9# reach 2, they must accumulate more points or make up more ground.

Okay? :confused:


Yeah, lets talk about that for just a second. Bama lost to LSU already. We already know who the better team is by virtue of play on the field. That's the way it's set up. OSU lost to ISU on the road in a double overtime game on a day when OSU suffers the loss of the Basketball Coach and staff members? You can discount this if you wish but I find it difficult to penalize OSU overly harsh. They lost a game they should have won under very difficult circumstances.

You mean a game they were leading 24-7 in the third quarter? I don't want to make light of the tragedy, but they didn't see to be doing too bad for much of the game.
And, truth be told, how much interaction did the football players have with the basketball coach. Again, I tread lightly here, but did they really know the women's basketball coach all that well?

And if we're going to discuss tragedy, Alabama had its share of tragedy also with the tornadoes that devastated the area around the University of Alabama.

LSU lost a game it could have won as well. To me, the stronger statement is the one LSU made. They beat Alabama on the road. OSU lost a game they should have won. If the goal is to create a matchup pitting the two best teams, then how can you say that Alabama should play LSU again? Basically, by saying Bama LSU, you are saying that nobody else is good enough. If you are making that statement without ever providing the chance to prove it on the field, then why are we even playing the games? Might as well crown the champ at the start of the season or after the first LSU/Bama game. This is the height of stupidity by the BCS IMO. It sends the wrong message IMO.

The goal of the BCS is not to avoid a rematch but to pit No. 1 vs. No. 2. The rules don't say unless No. 1 and No. 2 have played in the regular season.

They are the best teams. LSU by virtue of their undefeated season. Alabama by virtue of holding a high-powered LSU team to 6 points in regulation and 9 points overall. And that despite Alabama missing three field goals and having a controversial catch overturned as an interception call, which would have likely won the game for Alabama.

Meanwhile, OSU loses to Iowa State. IOWA STATE. And that by allowing IOWA STATE to score 37 points on them.

The majority of the voters agree that Alabama is the better team than OSU. Thus, they're in the BCS Championship Game.

All OSU had to do is beat Iowa State, and this debate would have been settled. OSU failed to take care of business so now they're playing Stanford.

It says that it should be considered, by the fact that you are playing another game then the teams that have not advanced to a Conference Championship, theoretically facing another ranked opponent. For the record, I never said you had to play in a Conference Championship in order to play for a BCS title. That part is wordsmithing on your part. Find that quote from me and post it. I said that it is supposed to be considered which is true.

You keep on bringing it up as if it's supposed to be a factor. If you're not making the argument, then stop offering it.


You've given the only proof you can. I agree with that. However, it does not support Alabama's #2 ranking.

The reality is Alabama IS ranked No. 2. That's all the proof I need. OSU could have been ranked No. 2, but it lost to Iowa State (6-6). You lose to a 6-6 team, you don't deserve to play for the BCS Championship. If Alabama had lost to a 6-6 team, it shouldn't play for the BCS Championship either even if they had beaten LSU.

But Alabama didn't lose to a 6-6 team, but played the best team to a 6-6 score until overtime.

Alabama is the only team that can hang with LSU. So Alabama gets another shot.
 
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