This week’s matchup with the forty niners will clearly present the biggest challenge the Cowboys have faced so far this season. The stats that highlight the matchup are challenging.
Obviously in the NFL on any given Sunday any team can win, but this week will be the best team we’ve seen in quite a while.
Here are some stats on SF and what they might means for us:
- The niners are 6th in total offense but 1st in yards per play at 6.2 yards per play.
- They like to run the ball (They ran it 43 times last week!) averaging about 30 rushes per game. Cowboys avg giving up 147 rushing yards per game, 31st in the league.
- SF avg 135 yds per game rushing, but in the last game vs the raiders, they rushed for 190 yards. Their running game is getting better week by week.
- Niners avg 29.4 points per game so far this year and they like to get off to fast starts. In the last 4 games they avg 11.4 points in the first qtr compared to the Cowboys 5.6 in 1st qtr
- Defensively, the niners give up about 19 ppg compared to Cowboys 26.2.
- The niners defense is ranked 3rd in total defense, giving up only 291 yards per game. Their running defense only gives up about 81 yards per game.
IMPLICATIONS FOR THIS GAME
- If the Cowboys have any chance to win, we must get off to a fast start offensively. Frankly we probably need to score at least 35.
- The niners are one of the leagues best teams in the first quarter. They start fast and if they get ahead by two scores it’s usually over for opponents.
- The Cowboys must be able to run ball at least some to keep this from being a game where Dak has to throw a lot. Cowboys 4-11 in games where he has to throw 40 or more passes. In games where he throws 32 or less, the Cowboys are 34-7.
Bottom line keys to the game:
- Cowboys must get off to a fast start. Take the ball if winning the toss.
- Cowboys need some success running the ball. If we are forced to throw the ball more than than 40 times we are probably toast.
- Having the ability to sustain drives and eat clock will also be critical. If we have more than 3 punts in the first half, we are probably in trouble.
It’s Captain Obvious stuff that needs to happen. Only 2 of Brian Schottenheimer’s 11 wins the last two seasons have been against teams with winning records. Ouch. Sundays game will probably require not only the teams best effort, it may require a miracle.