Matt Miller 1st round grades 1/1/25

Risen Star

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My first look at the 2025 class has the lowest number of true first-round grades I've ever awarded. The final list in 2024 had 18 names on it, and the 2023 list had 20. This year, we're at ... 12. There is still time for things to change and that number to grow, but here are the players who deserve a first-round grade on my board right now. (Players' overall rankings are in parentheses after their names.)

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Quarterback (0)
One year after seeing six quarterbacks drafted in the first round, the 2025 class has zero passers with a true first-round grade. Colorado's Shedeur Sanders and Miami's Cam Ward would have both been ranked behind Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Drake Maye and even J.J. McCarthy in 2024.

Both Sanders and Ward are talented and have the potential to rise in the pre-draft process, but I wouldn't be comfortable calling them first-round prospects based on this season's tape. That doesn't mean they won't be drafted in the first round. In fact, it's a safe bet that both get drafted in the top five selections; quarterbacks always go early.


Running back (1)
Ashton Jeanty, Boise State (No. 7)
Comp: Alvin Kamara, New Orleans Saints

Jeanty's 2024 stats have become a thing of legend. Prior to Boise State's Fiesta Bowl matchup with Penn State, Jeanty topped the nation with 2,497 yards (only 131 behind Barry Sanders for the most in a single season) and 29 touchdowns while accumulating 1,600 yards after contact.

The 5-foot-9, 215-pound Jeanty is a punishing runner with patience, vision and runaway speed, and he can also catch passes out of the backfield and stand up to pass rushers while in pass protection. The Heisman runner-up is a rare, true blue-chip running back prospect.


Wide receiver (3)
Travis Hunter, Colorado (No. 1)
Comp: Odell Beckham Jr., free agent

The 6-foot-1, 185-pound Hunter won the Heisman Trophy because of his two-way ability, but I think his biggest NFL impact will come at receiver, which is why I rated him here. (He'd be my No. 2 cornerback if he exclusively played defense). Hunter's playmaking ability, burst in space and easy speed are a joy to watch.

He's electric on both sides of the ball. On offense, he had 95 receptions for 1,258 yards and 15 touchdowns. On defense, four interceptions and 11 passes defensed. And he could be a great punt returner, too.

Luther Burden III, Missouri (No. 10)
Comp: Jaylen Waddle, Miami Dolphins

Burden's numbers as a junior in 2024 (61 catches, 676 yards, 6 TDs) fell from what he accomplished as a sophomore (86, 1,212, 9) due to Missouri's offensive struggles, but he's still one of my favorite prospects. The 5-foot-11, 208-pound Burden has a powerful frame, which makes him great with the ball in his hands. He's also a master of the slot fade. He'll need the right situation to make an immediate impact as a rookie, but Burden's burst and field vision would be dangerous in the hands of a creative offensive coordinator.

Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona (No. 11)
Comp: Drake London, Atlanta Falcons

McMillan's 6-foot-5, 212-pound frame sets him apart in a class that's dominated by smaller wideouts. He's a jump-ball specialist but is also a well-rounded receiver who has played in the slot and outside. McMillan is a true "X" receiver who caught 84 passes for 1,319 yards and eight touchdowns this season, but he has proven to have the necessary burst to be an impact player on underneath routes, too.


Tight end (1)
Tyler Warren, Penn State (No. 9)
Comp: Rob Gronkowski, retired

I don't typically compare prospects to NFL Hall of Famers, but since Gronk isn't in the Hall yet, I'm making an exception because Warren is that rare and that good. The 6-foot-6, 257-pound Warren has the functional quickness and movement of a much-smaller player, more in line with 6-3 tight ends like Trey McBride or Sam LaPorta.

Warren has scored a touchdown this season as a passer, runner and receiver, and he entered the Fiesta Bowl with 92 receptions for 1,095 yards and six touchdowns. He could be an Offensive Rookie of the Year candidate in the right scheme.


Offensive tackle (1)
Kelvin Banks Jr, Texas (No. 4)
Comp: Rashawn Slater, Los Angeles Chargers

Banks has been the anchor of the Longhorns' offensive line since arriving on campus as a freshman. Though his 6-foot-4, 320-pound frame might scare some scouts in pass protection, Banks' elite footwork makes up for a lack of length and has helped him allow pressures on an FBS-low 0.3% of snaps. He is also an elite run blocker with the power and agility to overwhelm defenders. Banks has the potential to be a top run blocker in the NFL, either at tackle or kicking inside to guard.


Interior offensive line (0)
It takes a special prospect to get a first-round grade as an interior lineman, and this class doesn't have one yet. LSU's Will Campbell might be ranked as a guard and could ascend to a first-round grade, but he barely misses the cut right now (No. 13 overall on my board). This class is still good and has plenty of promising Day 2 and Day 3 prospects.
 

Risen Star

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Edge rusher (3)
Abdul Carter, Penn State (No. 2)
Comp: T.J. Watt, Pittsburgh Steelers

Carter is currently my favorite prospect in this class. At 6-foot-3, 259-pounds, he originally started his college career as a linebacker but was unstoppable as a pass rusher this season after being bumped to edge full time, racking up 11 sacks and 50 pressures prior to the Fiesta Bowl. Carter has the first-step quickness and speed to blow past tackles, along with the power to set them up and run through them. He has the makings of a perennial NFL double-digit sack performer.

Jalon Walker, Georgia (No. 8)
Comp: Harold Landry III, Tennessee Titans

Walker is a hybrid defender with the tape to be a first-round prospect at linebacker and edge rusher, but his pass-rushing talent is too valuable to categorize him as a linebacker. The 6-foot-2, 245-pound Walker is a game-changer with 6.5 sacks, and he has played his best football in Georgia's biggest games. He had four sacks in the two meetings with Texas and 1.5 sacks in the season-opening win over Clemson.

Mykel Williams, Georgia (No. 12)
Comp: Travon Walker, Jacksonville Jaguars

The 6-foot-5, 265-pound Williams sometimes looks like the best player in the 2025 class. He looked the part in the two games against Texas, posting a combined eight pressures and four sacks. But he has only one sack against non-Longhorn opponents. Williams' speed and power combination gives him tremendous upside, which scouts will bet on with continued development.


Defensive tackle (1)
Mason Graham, Michigan (No. 5)
Comp: Nnamdi Madubuike, Baltimore Ravens

Graham pops on tape, as you'll see him causing constant problems from his 3-technique alignment. The 6-foot-3, 320-pounder had 3.5 sacks and 7.5 tackles for loss this season. He is powerful enough to anchor in the run game while also being quick enough to knife through gaps and make plays in the backfield. One AFC East scout summed it up to me by saying that Graham "never loses snaps." He consistently beats the player in front of him and has the tools to be an NFL star.


Linebacker (0)
It's rare for an off-ball linebacker to get a first-round grade, and none make the cut in the 2025 class. Alabama's Jihaad Campbell is the top-ranked linebacker in the class at No. 27 on my board. Clemson's Barrett Carter is the next-closest player to the cutoff with a mid-Round 2 grade.


Cornerback (1)
Will Johnson, Michigan (No. 3)
Comp: Pat Surtain II, Denver Broncos

Johnson was limited to six games in 2024 due to a foot injury but had two interceptions (both pick-sixes) during that time. He is an elite all-around corner with speed and physicality, as his 6-foot-2, 202-pound frame allows him to match up with bigger receivers. Johnson isn't as flashy as Travis Hunter, but he is incredibly savvy and technically sound.


Safety (1)
Malaki Starks, Georgia (No. 6)
Comp: Antoine Winfield Jr., Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Starks' value lies in his versatility, as he can play slot corner, deep safety and linebacker, and he can make plays at each position. Starks has one interception and broke up four passes this season while allowing only one touchdown. At 6-foot-1, 205-pounds, he is a player that NFL defensive coordinators can move around depending on matchups.


1st Round Grades
1. Travis Hunter WR Colorado
2. Abdul Carter EDGE Penn St.
3. Will Johnson CB Michigan
4. Kelvin Banks Jr. T Texas
5. Mason Graham DT Michigan
6. Malaki Starks S Georgia
7. Ashton Jeanty RB Boise St.
8. Jalon Walker EDGE Georgia
9. Tyler Warren TE Penn St.
10. Luther Burden III WR Missouri
11. Tetairoa McMillan WR Arizona
12. Mykel Williams EDGE Georgia
 

RS12

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There will probably be a few more first round grades when the draft comes around. Still if they dont have any first round grades when they get on the clock a trade back would be OK. Just wish someone else was trading and drafting.
 

DFWJC

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I like Matt Miller ok, but he misses plenty every year like all do. He's better than many though.

Just from memory couple of years ago...he loved QB Will Levis and gave him a 1st round grade.
Also loved TE Michael Mayer as 1st rounder but not Sam LaPorta.
 

stilltheguru

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I like Matt Miller ok, but he misses plenty every year like all do. He's better than many though.

Just from memory couple of years ago...he loved QB Will Levis and gave him a 1st round grade.
Also loved TE Michael Mayer as 1st rounder but not Sam LaPorta.
I take none of them seriously. But if others want to be my guest.
 

baltcowboy

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Wow. He compared Burden to Waddle. I don’t see it but Miller is highly respected so we will see. Only 12 first round grades. I totally would try to dangle the Cowboys pick for a future 1 and 2nd/3rd round picks in this year draft. The Cowboys would be better off rebuilding.
 

Plankton

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12 first round talents? Unless there is a huge influx of underclassmen that he is not capturing in this analysis, it is not looking like a strong class. I think the lack of top echelon QBs does not help this.
 

Cowboyny

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12 first round talents? Unless there is a huge influx of underclassmen that he is not capturing in this analysis, it is not looking like a strong class. I think the lack of top echelon QBs does not help this.
It's a class that lacks blue chip talent at the top.
 

beware_d-ware

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I don't know how you define a first round grade. But I am higher on Will Campbell than Miller is (as a guard prospect, I think he basically has no flaws), lower on Walker, and much lower on Burden.

Really, a Jaylen Waddle comp for Burden? Go back and watch some Waddle highlights from Alabama... he was so fast that he blew defenders' angles in ways that don't even look possible, and he did it weekly. Burden is fast, but he's nowhere near Waddle's "warp time and space" level of fast.

 

Hawkeye0202

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Even if you accept these 12 as the only 1st round grades the Cowboys could probably pick 15th and still get one of them once you account for the overdrafted QBs that will go in the top 12.
Exactly.......it's also likely 1-2 players will move into the top 12 after combines and pro days
 
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