Risen Star
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Running back Ashton Jeanty of Boise State will be drafted in the first round, right? Right?
“Everybody’s just assuming that,” an executive in personnel for an AFC team said. “I guess he will, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he didn’t. There’s so many running backs now that you should get one in any round. People value other positions more than running backs. You look at all these guys, you can get them all in the fourth, fifth round if you need one.”
The glut of desirable running backs and their corresponding devaluation is a relatively new phenomenon.
It wasn’t that long ago when many teams had a minimum height requirement for the position. Whereas once the sub 6-foot back was stigmatized, today that isn’t a factor at all. Some teams had love for big backs. Now? Not so much.
Of the top 25 running backs, just six stand 6-0 or taller. Just five scaled 220 pounds.
Speed has forever been coveted. In the throwing game of today, receiving skills and pass blocking are essential.
“Jeanty is the best,” said another executive. “The rest of these guys, just throw ‘em in a bag and mix ‘em up and take them all. They’re good. Second-round picks, third-round picks. The order is they’re pretty much all the same.”
In my mind, there isn’t much separation between the No. 6 back, Georgia’s Trevor Etienne, and the backs residing at Nos. 19-20-21: Donovan Edwards of Michigan, Rocket Sanders of South Carolina and Devin Neal of Kansas.
“Running back values are all over the place,” another scout said. “Some guys could be a third-rounder, some guys could be a seventh-rounder. You never really know.”
One team categorized 11 running backs as NFL starters. With the group so tightly bunched, there’s little urgency to draft early.
“With it being so deep in the third to 11 range, you’re not going to take the third guy if you value the 11th guy in that same threshold,” an AFC evaluator said. “You can get a guy later.”
Twenty-one running backs rushed for more than 900 yards last season. The top six all were selected no later than third among running backs in their draft class.
“In the league, you’ve got three or four special guys,” said one executive. “(Derrick) Henry and Saquon (Barkley) and Josh (Jacobs) and (Jahmyr) Gibbs. After that, everybody’s got a running back. Not changing the game in any way, but playing their role.”
Five of last season’s leading leading rushers at the position were drafted 10th or lower in their draft class. The group includes Chase Brown, the 10th back taken in 2023; Tony Pollard, 11th in 2019; Kyren Williams, 15th in 2022; Aaron Jones, 19th in 2017, and Rico Dowdle, a free agent after 19 went off the board in 2020.
“You’re going to get a really good player maybe even Day 3 because there’s so many good ones this year,” said one NFC personnel man. “This is a really, really good group.”
“It was honestly a crime he did not win the Heisman Trophy this year. Whoever takes this young man will be absolutely thrilled from the minute they draft him to the minute he retires. He is a rare human being and a rare player. I just don’t see how he fails. If he’s not something on the field he’s going to turn himself into that with his work ethic. Ashton’s rare trait is his contact balance and ability to break tackles.” His total of 2,601 rushing yards in 2024 was the second most in FBS annals behind Barry Sanders’ 2,628. He had 14 straight 100-yad games and averaged 7.0 per carry. “This guy’s a complete back,” another scout said. “He blocks, he can catch the ball; those are real big struggles for most running backs coming out. This guy will make two miss and run over the third. Great kid.” Compared by various scouts to Bijan Robinson, Emmitt Smith and LaDainian Tomlinson. “He’s stout, he’s agile, he’s got big-play potential,” a third scout said. “He runs away from people. He’s got good hands. Everybody loves him, and it’s easy to see why.” Third-year junior. Played 40 games, finishing with 750 carries for 4,769 yards (6.4-yard average) and 50 touchdowns to go with 80 receptions for 862 yards (10.8-yard average) and six scores. Doubtful that he’ll ever run a 40. One scout estimated his speed at 4.48. “He’s good, not special, and I certainly wouldn’t take him in the first round,” said a fourth scout. “If you’ve already got a really good team and a whole bunch of people around him you take him and try to fill the void. He’s a short big guy with rare production. The vision is really good, the balance is really good. He's sturdy. He’s got a little bit of quickness. Just not a top talent as far as make you miss, burst, top speed. Doesn’t do much in the pass game. He’s good, just not great. He is the best this year.” Four-star recruit from Jacksonville, Fla. Basketball was his first love, and he played it in high school along with running track. Son of a U.S. Naval officer. Most decorated athlete in Boise State history.
2. OMARION HAMPTON, North Carolina (5-11 ½, 223, 4.50, 1-2): Finished second to Jeanty in rushing last season with 1,660 (5.9) and had 10 100-yard games in 12 appearances. “I’m going to sound crazy saying this but I like him over Boise (Jeanty),” said one scout. “Athletic, strong mover with burst. Stays low on contact. Runs with vision. Average twitch, but he’ll run through some tackles. Hands are fine. Makes plays in space. Pass pro is good.” Tested well with a 38-inch vertical jump and a 10-10 broad jump. “He is a punishing runner but he also has exceptional contact balance to stay on his feet through those collisions,” said a second scout. “Now that’s going to lead to a shorter career than you’d like. But while he’s still young and there’s some tread on the tires, man, that guy’s gonna be a really, really solid player throughout his rookie contract.” Finished with 622 carries for 3,565 (5.7) and 36 TDs to go with 73 receptions for 635 (8.7) and four scores. “Big dude with some niftiness,” said a third scout. “Short bursts. More of a downhill, crease runner. Really good hands out of the backfield. Reminded me of Latavius Murray. I like him but I don’t think he’s any star.” Four-star recruit from Clayton, N.C. Also participated in basketball and track. “Kid had a nice two years,” a fourth scout said. “He’s as pretty as you can draw them up. Looks like an Under Armour mannequin. But he runs really high. Pretty tight and stiff. The best running backs are guys with low centers of gravity, lateral agility, contact balance. This guy’s just big and straight-line fast. Maybe in the right scheme, maybe an outside zone-49ers-Sean McVay get him on a track and get him downhill and then he can run away from people. But it’s such an instinctive position. I just didn’t see a guy with great vision and great contact balance. But the production’s there. He’s a tough one (to project). He looks the part. I’d see him third or fourth round. I’d be shocked if he went first or second round.”
3. TREVEYON HENDERSON, Ohio State (5-10, 204, 4.40, 2): Four-year starter. Largest production came as a freshman (1,248 yards, 15 touchdowns). “Helped himself at the combine,” one scout said. “Ran pretty fast. He’s really, really well-liked. He’s undersized. Does he run good? Yeah, but people value other positions more than running backs. I don’t think he’s going in the first.” Missed games in 2022-’23 with a variety of injuries. “The durability is the big question for him,” said a second scout. “He has to stay healthy. He went through injury problems a year ago, which really hurt the team. He’s got good feet. I don’t know if he has elite vision like some other guys. I wouldn’t put him in the first but because his hands are good enough and he’s a big-play threat I could see him going in the second. He’s a great guy. He’ll be great in the locker room no matter where he goes. I never saw him as having great vision to be a consistent inside runner.” Finished with 590 carries for 3,761 (6.4) and 42 TDs to go with 77 receptions for 853 (11.1) and six scores. “He’s got pick and slide and movement and balance,” a third scout said. “Really good hands. He’s a rotational starter. Maybe second round.” Five-star recruit from Hopewell, Va., ranked as the No. 1 prep back in the U.S. “Mid-round type guy,” a fourth scout said. “Not dynamic or anything like that. Just a steady Eddie guy.”
4. KALEB JOHNSON, Iowa (6-1, 224, 4.56, 2-3): Third-year junior. Set a freshman record at Iowa with 779 yards rushing. “Lot of explosive runs of 25-plus yards,” one scout said. “Had a few that were 50-plus. Has a burst to run stretch and get downhill. Is able to exploit inside run lanes. Shows good patience for (following) blockers. Capable of running behind his pads and showing leg drive and contact balance. Limited targets out of the backfield but showed reliable hands. Can still improve in pass protection. Kind of a one-year full-time starter.” Led the Big Ten in 2024 with 1,537 yards and 21 TDs. “He’s smooth-moving with really good vision,” a second scout said. “In that zone they run he kind of just weaves his way in. He’s got a little bit of burst in-line to get where he needs to go but not really explosive. Not much elusiveness once he gets out in space. He can’t cut laterally to move. They really don’t use him in the passing game. Backup rotational type. He reminded me way back of Kevin Smith from UCF. Very similar. Finished with 508 carries for 2,779 (5.5) and 30 TDs to go with 29 receptions for 240 and two scores. “He didn’t run very good at the combine but I don’t know that anybody expected him to,” said a third scout. “He’s one of the more immature guys at Iowa but you’ve got to keep it relevant because they don’t have a lot of problems. Just sort of young and immature knowing he’s the best player on their team. He’s probably OK. I suspect he goes third or fourth round. He’s a first- and second-down runner with capable hands.” Was reportedly suspended for the first half of the opener in 2024. From Hamilton, Ohio.
“Everybody’s just assuming that,” an executive in personnel for an AFC team said. “I guess he will, but I wouldn’t be shocked if he didn’t. There’s so many running backs now that you should get one in any round. People value other positions more than running backs. You look at all these guys, you can get them all in the fourth, fifth round if you need one.”
The glut of desirable running backs and their corresponding devaluation is a relatively new phenomenon.
It wasn’t that long ago when many teams had a minimum height requirement for the position. Whereas once the sub 6-foot back was stigmatized, today that isn’t a factor at all. Some teams had love for big backs. Now? Not so much.
Of the top 25 running backs, just six stand 6-0 or taller. Just five scaled 220 pounds.
Speed has forever been coveted. In the throwing game of today, receiving skills and pass blocking are essential.
“Jeanty is the best,” said another executive. “The rest of these guys, just throw ‘em in a bag and mix ‘em up and take them all. They’re good. Second-round picks, third-round picks. The order is they’re pretty much all the same.”
In my mind, there isn’t much separation between the No. 6 back, Georgia’s Trevor Etienne, and the backs residing at Nos. 19-20-21: Donovan Edwards of Michigan, Rocket Sanders of South Carolina and Devin Neal of Kansas.
“Running back values are all over the place,” another scout said. “Some guys could be a third-rounder, some guys could be a seventh-rounder. You never really know.”
One team categorized 11 running backs as NFL starters. With the group so tightly bunched, there’s little urgency to draft early.
“With it being so deep in the third to 11 range, you’re not going to take the third guy if you value the 11th guy in that same threshold,” an AFC evaluator said. “You can get a guy later.”
Twenty-one running backs rushed for more than 900 yards last season. The top six all were selected no later than third among running backs in their draft class.
“In the league, you’ve got three or four special guys,” said one executive. “(Derrick) Henry and Saquon (Barkley) and Josh (Jacobs) and (Jahmyr) Gibbs. After that, everybody’s got a running back. Not changing the game in any way, but playing their role.”
Five of last season’s leading leading rushers at the position were drafted 10th or lower in their draft class. The group includes Chase Brown, the 10th back taken in 2023; Tony Pollard, 11th in 2019; Kyren Williams, 15th in 2022; Aaron Jones, 19th in 2017, and Rico Dowdle, a free agent after 19 went off the board in 2020.
“You’re going to get a really good player maybe even Day 3 because there’s so many good ones this year,” said one NFC personnel man. “This is a really, really good group.”
RUNNING BACKS
1. ASHTON JEANTY, Boise State (5-8 ½, 213. No 40, 1): In the closest race for the Heisman Trophy since 2009, Travis Hunter won with 2,231 points and Jeanty was second with 2,017. “Draft him first overall and you’re not wrong,” one scout said.“It was honestly a crime he did not win the Heisman Trophy this year. Whoever takes this young man will be absolutely thrilled from the minute they draft him to the minute he retires. He is a rare human being and a rare player. I just don’t see how he fails. If he’s not something on the field he’s going to turn himself into that with his work ethic. Ashton’s rare trait is his contact balance and ability to break tackles.” His total of 2,601 rushing yards in 2024 was the second most in FBS annals behind Barry Sanders’ 2,628. He had 14 straight 100-yad games and averaged 7.0 per carry. “This guy’s a complete back,” another scout said. “He blocks, he can catch the ball; those are real big struggles for most running backs coming out. This guy will make two miss and run over the third. Great kid.” Compared by various scouts to Bijan Robinson, Emmitt Smith and LaDainian Tomlinson. “He’s stout, he’s agile, he’s got big-play potential,” a third scout said. “He runs away from people. He’s got good hands. Everybody loves him, and it’s easy to see why.” Third-year junior. Played 40 games, finishing with 750 carries for 4,769 yards (6.4-yard average) and 50 touchdowns to go with 80 receptions for 862 yards (10.8-yard average) and six scores. Doubtful that he’ll ever run a 40. One scout estimated his speed at 4.48. “He’s good, not special, and I certainly wouldn’t take him in the first round,” said a fourth scout. “If you’ve already got a really good team and a whole bunch of people around him you take him and try to fill the void. He’s a short big guy with rare production. The vision is really good, the balance is really good. He's sturdy. He’s got a little bit of quickness. Just not a top talent as far as make you miss, burst, top speed. Doesn’t do much in the pass game. He’s good, just not great. He is the best this year.” Four-star recruit from Jacksonville, Fla. Basketball was his first love, and he played it in high school along with running track. Son of a U.S. Naval officer. Most decorated athlete in Boise State history.
2. OMARION HAMPTON, North Carolina (5-11 ½, 223, 4.50, 1-2): Finished second to Jeanty in rushing last season with 1,660 (5.9) and had 10 100-yard games in 12 appearances. “I’m going to sound crazy saying this but I like him over Boise (Jeanty),” said one scout. “Athletic, strong mover with burst. Stays low on contact. Runs with vision. Average twitch, but he’ll run through some tackles. Hands are fine. Makes plays in space. Pass pro is good.” Tested well with a 38-inch vertical jump and a 10-10 broad jump. “He is a punishing runner but he also has exceptional contact balance to stay on his feet through those collisions,” said a second scout. “Now that’s going to lead to a shorter career than you’d like. But while he’s still young and there’s some tread on the tires, man, that guy’s gonna be a really, really solid player throughout his rookie contract.” Finished with 622 carries for 3,565 (5.7) and 36 TDs to go with 73 receptions for 635 (8.7) and four scores. “Big dude with some niftiness,” said a third scout. “Short bursts. More of a downhill, crease runner. Really good hands out of the backfield. Reminded me of Latavius Murray. I like him but I don’t think he’s any star.” Four-star recruit from Clayton, N.C. Also participated in basketball and track. “Kid had a nice two years,” a fourth scout said. “He’s as pretty as you can draw them up. Looks like an Under Armour mannequin. But he runs really high. Pretty tight and stiff. The best running backs are guys with low centers of gravity, lateral agility, contact balance. This guy’s just big and straight-line fast. Maybe in the right scheme, maybe an outside zone-49ers-Sean McVay get him on a track and get him downhill and then he can run away from people. But it’s such an instinctive position. I just didn’t see a guy with great vision and great contact balance. But the production’s there. He’s a tough one (to project). He looks the part. I’d see him third or fourth round. I’d be shocked if he went first or second round.”
3. TREVEYON HENDERSON, Ohio State (5-10, 204, 4.40, 2): Four-year starter. Largest production came as a freshman (1,248 yards, 15 touchdowns). “Helped himself at the combine,” one scout said. “Ran pretty fast. He’s really, really well-liked. He’s undersized. Does he run good? Yeah, but people value other positions more than running backs. I don’t think he’s going in the first.” Missed games in 2022-’23 with a variety of injuries. “The durability is the big question for him,” said a second scout. “He has to stay healthy. He went through injury problems a year ago, which really hurt the team. He’s got good feet. I don’t know if he has elite vision like some other guys. I wouldn’t put him in the first but because his hands are good enough and he’s a big-play threat I could see him going in the second. He’s a great guy. He’ll be great in the locker room no matter where he goes. I never saw him as having great vision to be a consistent inside runner.” Finished with 590 carries for 3,761 (6.4) and 42 TDs to go with 77 receptions for 853 (11.1) and six scores. “He’s got pick and slide and movement and balance,” a third scout said. “Really good hands. He’s a rotational starter. Maybe second round.” Five-star recruit from Hopewell, Va., ranked as the No. 1 prep back in the U.S. “Mid-round type guy,” a fourth scout said. “Not dynamic or anything like that. Just a steady Eddie guy.”
4. KALEB JOHNSON, Iowa (6-1, 224, 4.56, 2-3): Third-year junior. Set a freshman record at Iowa with 779 yards rushing. “Lot of explosive runs of 25-plus yards,” one scout said. “Had a few that were 50-plus. Has a burst to run stretch and get downhill. Is able to exploit inside run lanes. Shows good patience for (following) blockers. Capable of running behind his pads and showing leg drive and contact balance. Limited targets out of the backfield but showed reliable hands. Can still improve in pass protection. Kind of a one-year full-time starter.” Led the Big Ten in 2024 with 1,537 yards and 21 TDs. “He’s smooth-moving with really good vision,” a second scout said. “In that zone they run he kind of just weaves his way in. He’s got a little bit of burst in-line to get where he needs to go but not really explosive. Not much elusiveness once he gets out in space. He can’t cut laterally to move. They really don’t use him in the passing game. Backup rotational type. He reminded me way back of Kevin Smith from UCF. Very similar. Finished with 508 carries for 2,779 (5.5) and 30 TDs to go with 29 receptions for 240 and two scores. “He didn’t run very good at the combine but I don’t know that anybody expected him to,” said a third scout. “He’s one of the more immature guys at Iowa but you’ve got to keep it relevant because they don’t have a lot of problems. Just sort of young and immature knowing he’s the best player on their team. He’s probably OK. I suspect he goes third or fourth round. He’s a first- and second-down runner with capable hands.” Was reportedly suspended for the first half of the opener in 2024. From Hamilton, Ohio.