McShay's Final Rankings in Tiers

[DFWJC]

Todd McShay released his final player rankings in tiers--which is a great way to display players, as you generally can draft any player in tier and be getting need and BPA at the time.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/draft2016/in...odd-mcshay-final-tier-rankings-2016-nfl-draft

Interesting that he had ZERO Tier 1 players this year.

Tier 1
This is the elite class of prospects in the 2016 NFL draft. They should be starters from Day 1 and project as perennial Pro Bowl players.

2016: 0 players
2015: 2 players

Tier 2
A notch below the elite class but still worthy of a top-20 pick in most drafts. Expected to be plug-and-play starters

2016: 8 players
2015: 7 players

1. Joey Bosa, DE, Ohio State (Grade: 94)
2. Laremy Tunsil, OT, Mississippi (94)
3. Jalen Ramsey, CB, Florida State (93)
4. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Ohio State (93)
5. Ronnie Stanley, OT, Notre Dame (93)
6. DeForest Buckner, DE, Oregon (92)
7. Jack Conklin, OT, Michigan State (92)
8. Myles Jack, OLB, UCLA (92)

I like all of these players. I really do. But none of them quite rise to the level of Jameis Winston and Leonard Williams last year, both of whom cracked my top tier and went on to have productive rookie seasons. Bosa is the most pro-ready player in this class, while Tunsil and Jack have the highest ceilings. Elliott, who's certainly in play for Dallas at No. 4 overall, is the rare exception to the RB rule, much like Adrian Peterson and Todd Gurley.

 

[DFWJC]

Tier 3
These players carry late first-round grades.

2016: 14 players
2015: 14 players

9. Leonard Floyd, OLB, Georgia (91)
10. Carson Wentz, QB, North Dakota State (91)
11. Jared Goff, QB, Cal (91)
12. Sheldon Rankins, DT, Louisville (91)
13. Darron Lee, OLB, Ohio State (91)
14. Laquon Treadwell, WR, Mississippi (91)
15. Josh Doctson, WR, TCU (91)
16. Taylor Decker, OT, Ohio State (90)
17. Shaq Lawson, DE, Clemson (90)
18. Reggie Ragland, ILB, Alabama (90)
19. Jarran Reed, DT, Alabama (90)
20. Corey Coleman, WR, Baylor (90)
21. Will Fuller, WR, Notre Dame (90)
22. William Jackson III, CB, Houston (90)

Looking for the hottest name in that draft? That would be Floyd. Teams around the league are now viewing his floor as the No. 10 overall pick (Giants). The difference between the top two QBs (Wentz and Goff) is like flipping a coin. Same goes for the top two WRs (Treadwell and Doctson). Who comes off the board first will ultimately come down to scheme fit and personal preference. Lawson had some of the most consistent tape I watched this year, and Ragland is far and away the best ILB prospect. Joshua Perry is our No. 2 player at that position with a 78 grade.

Tier 4
Would rather not reach for these prospects late in the first round, but they're good value picks in the first half of Round 2.

2016: 16 players
2015: 24 players

23. Vernon Hargreaves III, CB, Florida (89)
24. Karl Joseph, S, West Virginia (89)
25. Eli Apple, CB, Ohio State (89)
26. Vernon Butler, DT, Louisiana Tech (89)
27. Hunter Henry, TE, Arkansas (89)
28. Chris Jones, DT, Mississippi State (89)
29. Germain Ifedi, OT, Texas A&M (88)
30. Vonn Bell, S, Ohio State (88)
31. Artie Burns, CB, Miami (88)
32. Ryan Kelly, C, Alabama (88)
33. Kevin Dodd, DE, Clemson (87)
34. Kamalei Correa, OLB, Boise State (87)
35. Robert Nkemdiche, DT, Mississippi (87)
36. A'Shawn Robinson, DT, Alabama (86)
37. Michael Thomas, WR, Ohio State (86)
38. Paxton Lynch, QB, Memphis (85)

Two CBs who are going in different directions: Hargreaves and Burns. Once thought to be in play for a top-10 pick, Hargreaves has slid down some teams' boards due to concerning measurables. Meanwhile, Burns' length and upside has him in the late first-round conversation. You could see both Robinson and Lynch come off the board in Round 1, but that'd be a pretty big reach based on our evaluation.

 

[DFWJC]

Tier 5
These players are middle or late second-round prospects.

2016: 20 players
2015: 16 players

39. Tyler Boyd, WR, Pittsburgh (84)
40. Connor Cook, QB, Michigan State (84)
41. Kenny Clark, DT, UCLA (84)
42. Jonathan Bullard, DE, Florida (83)
43. Kendall Fuller, CB, Virginia Tech (83)
44. Keanu Neal, S, Florida (83)
45. Andrew Billings, DT, Baylor (83)
46. Chris Moore, WR, Cincinnati (82)
47. Austin Johnson, DT, Penn State (82)
48. Mackensie Alexander, CB, Clemson (81)
49. Christian Hackenberg, QB, Penn State (81)
50. Joshua Garnett, G, Stanford (81)
51. Braxton Miller, WR, Ohio State (81)
52. Derrick Henry, RB, Alabama (81)
53. Deion Jones, OLB, LSU (81)
54. Jason Spriggs, OT, Indiana (81)
55. Jihad Ward, DE, Illinois (81)
56. Noah Spence, OLB, Eastern Kentucky (80)
57. Emmanuel Ogbah, DE, Oklahoma State (80)
58. Nick Vannett, TE, Ohio State (80)

Cook and Hackenberg are in the late first-round/early second-round discussion because of the positional value of quarterbacks. Cook is comfortably ahead of Hackenberg on our board. Ogbah had flashes where he'd look unstoppable, but overall, his tape was too inconsistent to give him anything higher than a late second-round grade.

 

[DFWJC]

Tier 6
These players are third-round prospects. They could develop into solid starters, but they either have limited upside or come with a higher element of risk than players worth drafting in the first two rounds.

2016: 46 players
2015: 32 players

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59. Cody Whitehair, G, Kansas State (79)
60. Sheldon Day, DT, Notre Dame (79)
61. Sterling Shepard, WR, Oklahoma (79)
62. Austin Hooper, TE, Ohio State (79)
63. Nick Martin, C, Notre Dame (79)
64. Darian Thompson, S, Boise State (79)
65. Hassan Ridgeway, DT, Texas (79)
66. Alex Lewis, OT, Nebraska (78)
67. Leonte Carroo, WR, Rutgers (78)
68. Adam Gotsis, DE, Georgia Tech (78)
69. Jerell Adams, TE, South Carolina (78)
70. Willie Henry, DT, Michigan (78)
71. Joshua Perry, ILB, Ohio State (78)
72. Pharoh Cooper, WR, South Carolina (77)
73. Su'a Cravens, S, USC (77)
74. Cyrus Jones, CB, Alabama (77)
75. Shilique Calhoun, DE, Michigan State (77)
76. Jaylon Smith, OLB, Notre Dame (77)
77. Adolphus Washington, DT, Ohio State (77)
78. Maliek Collins, DT, Nebraska (76)
79. Kenneth Dixon, RB, Louisiana Tech (76)
80. Xavien Howard, CB, Baylor (76)
81. Carl Nassib, DE, Penn State (76)
82. Christian Westerman, G, Arizona State (76)
83. Jordan Payton, WR, UCLA (75)
84. KeiVarae Russell, CB, Notre Dame (75)
85. Devontae Booker, RB, Utah (74)
86. Javon Hargrave, DT, South Carolina State (74)
87. Daryl Worley, CB, West Virginia (74)
88. C.J. Prosise, RB, Notre Dame (73)
89. Shon Coleman, OT, Auburn (73)
90. Justin Simmons, S, Boston College (73)
91. Bronson Kaufusi, DE, BYU (72)
92. Jalen Mills, S, LSU (72)
93. Jordan Jenkins, OLB, Georgia (71)
94. Jordan Howard, RB, Indiana (71)
95. Joe Schobert, OLB, Wisconsin (70)
96. Ronald Blair, DT, Appalachian State (70)
97. Le'Raven Clark, OT, Texas Tech (70)
98. Kenyan Drake, RB, Alabama (70)
99. T.J. Green, S, Clemson (70)
100. Will Redmond, CB, Mississippi State (70)
101. Nick Kwiatkoski, ILB, West Virginia (70)
102. Deon Bush, S, Miami (FL) (70)
103. Charles Tapper, DE, Oklahoma (70)
104. Briean Boddy-Calhoun, CB, Minnesota (70)

This is where the depth of the class really comes into play, and why we've seen Tennessee and Cleveland -- two teams with glaring needs at multiple positions -- trading back from the first and second overall picks in exchange for a haul of mid-round selections. The Titans now own six of the top 76 picks, while the Browns have six of the top 100. Both franchises have a great opportunity to find some good values on Days 2 and 3.

 

[skinsscalper]

If Spence fell to us in the 2nd, I would be running to the podium.

 

[stilltheguru88]

If Spence fell to us in the 2nd, I would be running to the podium.

He wont do anything year one. As raw as they come.