Oreycsg
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Lets start by finding out where we will fall this season... I will make this assuming no major trades will be made this season that really effects big name FA, or overall team talent (I.E. Tampa trades for a CB that gives them an extra win against Atlanta and puts them into the playoffs. OR Dallas trades for Earl and gives him an extension.) So i'm going week by week and calculating out the wins to determine draft order:
1) San Francisco (2-14)
2) Buffalo Bills (3-13)
3) Arizona Cardinals (3-13)
4) Cleveland Browns (4-11-1)
5) Houston Texans (5-11)
6) Dallas Cowboys (5-11)
7) Oakland Raiders (6-10)
8) Washington Commanders (6-10)
9) New York Jets (6-10)
10) Indianapolis Colts (6-10)
11) Tennessee Titans (6-10)
12) Cincinnati Bengals (7-9)
13) Miami Dolphins (7-9)
14) Chicago Bears (8-8) (OAKLAND)
15) Detroit Lions (8-8)
16) New York Giants (8-8)
18) Tampa Bay (9-7)
19) Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
20) Carolina Panthers (9-7)
21) Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6-1)
22) Denver Broncos (10-6)
23) Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
24) Green Bay Packers (10-5-1)
25) Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
26) New England Patriots (11-5)
27) New Orleans Saints (11-5) (Packers)
28) San Diego Chargers (12-4)
29) Minnesota Vikings (11-4-1)
30) Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
31) Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5)
32) Los Angeles Rams (13-3)
I just picked winners week to week based on what we have seen so far. Obviously changes can come, injuries, improvements. BUT as of NOW, this is how I see the draft playing out.
FIRE THE COACHING STAFF!
Not all of them. Just the triangle of stale clap boys. GET A NEW COACHING STAFF! Here is my main 3:
HC: Kris Rishard - So far he has brought the most pressure we have seen since Ware got cut. He has almost single handedly made our defense great. Given them life. You can see it in his coaching style, this guy knows whats up. He is already proving himself to have the most back bone on the coaching staff. AND HE has already taken over calling the defense at times.
OC: Tony Romo. Lets be honest. Tony Romo might be the ultimate offensive coordinator. the one thing he is known for (other than ill-timed interceptions and fumbles lol) is his presnap reads of defenses. AND ITS ALREADY SHOWN IN HIS ANALYSIS!! He will give a full breakdown of what WILL happen before it does. and on top of that showing the optimal play if the offense chooses to go another route. He was also super creative on offense, and could be a killer mind to have showing future cowboys the way around here. I love Tony, and this may seem like a Jason Garrett hire him because he used to play here type of hire. But its more than that, he can make a very dangerous offense.
DC: Lets be honest it would be Kris... so whoever he wants to help him. But I would like to take this time to point out that with a shift in coaches there would probably also be a change in defensive scheme. Since Kris likes to disguise his pressures and blitz far more than Rod does, and because he has run with it in the past and had amazing success, I could see the defense moving into a 3-4 scheme.
I would find a way to package our 3rd and Crawford to the Titans for a their 2nd and 5th. At this point the move is more to get the 10 m off our books, than to get a lot of value. Crawford is still an 6-9 sack guy, we can just use the money to make more productive moves
(82 M in Cap)
SIGN:
Earl Thomas: 4 Years 45 m.
Demarcus Lawrence: 4 year 64 m.
Dante Fowler Jr. 2 Year 24 m.
-OR-
David Irving 3 yr 30 m.
(leaving at least 38m for 1 year role player salary contracts, rookie contracts, or smaller multi year contracts)
These guys should be able to be covered by that. I dont mind keeping or moving on from these guys, but a new regime may want to move on:
Rod Smith.
Tavon Austin
Cole Beasley.
Randy Gregory
Geoff Swaim.
Other than those guys we have no other minor free agents, so not a lot of resigning is necessary.
Next on the chopping block is the draft. we have:
Rounds 1, 2, 2, 4, 4, 5, 5, 7. after trading Crawford.
For now the top 3 rounds are about all you can really speculate on. With 4 games of tape already this season you can already see tendencies, and the things the players are working on, so you can reasonably justify players rankings based on your personal big board. I will be mocking out the whole top 2 rounds so if you want to know what other teams got, just ask and I will let you know.
DALLAS COWBOYS:
Pick 1 (5): Justin Herbert QB Oregon - 6'6" 225 lbs.
Pick 2 (36): Marvell Tell III S USC - 6'2" 195 lbs.
Pick 3 (43): Kaden Smith TE UCLA - 6'5" 252 lbs
So you would end up with a depth chart of:
Offense: (23)
WR1: Allen Hurns, Cole Beasely, Tavon Austin,
WR2: Michael Gallup, Terrence Williams, (Mid round pick)
TE: Kaden Smith, Dalton Schultz, Blake Jarwin
QB: Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott (Would like to start Dak for this season, let Herbert acclimate to the game. Maybe add a vet QB to keep inactive, but able to start. If Dak goes down, Herbert can close out the game, but the next game let the vet start. The only way we start Herbert is if he shows he is ready beyond a shadow of a doubt.)
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Rod Smith, Jamize Olawale (or other FB)
LT: Tyron Smith, Cameron Flemming
LG: Connor Williams, Xavier Sua Filo
C: Travis Fredrick, Joe Looney
RG: Zack Martin, Adam Redmond
RT: La'el Collins
Defense
24)
LDE: Taco Charleton, (Freeagent or draft)
DT: Maliek Collins, Antuan Woods, Daniel Ross
RDE: Dorance Armstrong (Freeagent or draft)
LOLB: DeMarcus Lawrence, (Freeagent or draft)
ILB: Jaylon Smith, Leighton Vander-esch
ILB: Sean Lee, Joe Thomas
ROLB: Dante Fowler, Randy Gregory
(You could make Tank a down lineman, and have Dante and Randy be the OLB duo. Tank would just be a monster rushing while standing. If we don't strengthen the Interior DL then I would say move Tank to DE and add a few back up level 3-4 OLB types.)
Right CB: Byron Jones, Anthony Brown
Left CB: Chidobe Awuzie, Jourdan Lewis
SS: Earl Thomas, Jeff Heath, Kavon Frazier,
FS: Marvell Tell, Xavier Woods,
OBVIOUSLY there are more positions you would pick up free agent bodies to give more depth, but these are your main players. MAYBE we sign a new kicker. Thats a crazy thing to be excited about.
I dont know about you, but I dont see many holes that need patching after that. You give the necessary 1 year growing pains year where everyone is learning the playbook and really getting comfortable with the scheme. THEN The year after you the THE STUD WR of the draft with your mid range growing pain year draft pick. AND UNLEASH HERBERT ON THE LEAGUE. He grew up in the system, matured with these young receivers, learned for a whole season under pre-snap guru Tony Romo.
With a dominant defense, and an offense with an actual pulse with creative coaches who will kick our team to the next level.
1) San Francisco (2-14)
2) Buffalo Bills (3-13)
3) Arizona Cardinals (3-13)
4) Cleveland Browns (4-11-1)
5) Houston Texans (5-11)
6) Dallas Cowboys (5-11)
7) Oakland Raiders (6-10)
8) Washington Commanders (6-10)
9) New York Jets (6-10)
10) Indianapolis Colts (6-10)
11) Tennessee Titans (6-10)
12) Cincinnati Bengals (7-9)
13) Miami Dolphins (7-9)
14) Chicago Bears (8-8) (OAKLAND)
15) Detroit Lions (8-8)
16) New York Giants (8-8)
18) Tampa Bay (9-7)
19) Baltimore Ravens (9-7)
20) Carolina Panthers (9-7)
21) Pittsburgh Steelers (9-6-1)
22) Denver Broncos (10-6)
23) Philadelphia Eagles (10-6)
24) Green Bay Packers (10-5-1)
25) Atlanta Falcons (11-5)
26) New England Patriots (11-5)
27) New Orleans Saints (11-5) (Packers)
28) San Diego Chargers (12-4)
29) Minnesota Vikings (11-4-1)
30) Kansas City Chiefs (12-4)
31) Jacksonville Jaguars (11-5)
32) Los Angeles Rams (13-3)
I just picked winners week to week based on what we have seen so far. Obviously changes can come, injuries, improvements. BUT as of NOW, this is how I see the draft playing out.
FIRE THE COACHING STAFF!
Not all of them. Just the triangle of stale clap boys. GET A NEW COACHING STAFF! Here is my main 3:
HC: Kris Rishard - So far he has brought the most pressure we have seen since Ware got cut. He has almost single handedly made our defense great. Given them life. You can see it in his coaching style, this guy knows whats up. He is already proving himself to have the most back bone on the coaching staff. AND HE has already taken over calling the defense at times.
OC: Tony Romo. Lets be honest. Tony Romo might be the ultimate offensive coordinator. the one thing he is known for (other than ill-timed interceptions and fumbles lol) is his presnap reads of defenses. AND ITS ALREADY SHOWN IN HIS ANALYSIS!! He will give a full breakdown of what WILL happen before it does. and on top of that showing the optimal play if the offense chooses to go another route. He was also super creative on offense, and could be a killer mind to have showing future cowboys the way around here. I love Tony, and this may seem like a Jason Garrett hire him because he used to play here type of hire. But its more than that, he can make a very dangerous offense.
DC: Lets be honest it would be Kris... so whoever he wants to help him. But I would like to take this time to point out that with a shift in coaches there would probably also be a change in defensive scheme. Since Kris likes to disguise his pressures and blitz far more than Rod does, and because he has run with it in the past and had amazing success, I could see the defense moving into a 3-4 scheme.
I would find a way to package our 3rd and Crawford to the Titans for a their 2nd and 5th. At this point the move is more to get the 10 m off our books, than to get a lot of value. Crawford is still an 6-9 sack guy, we can just use the money to make more productive moves
(82 M in Cap)
SIGN:
Earl Thomas: 4 Years 45 m.
Demarcus Lawrence: 4 year 64 m.
Dante Fowler Jr. 2 Year 24 m.
-OR-
David Irving 3 yr 30 m.
(leaving at least 38m for 1 year role player salary contracts, rookie contracts, or smaller multi year contracts)
These guys should be able to be covered by that. I dont mind keeping or moving on from these guys, but a new regime may want to move on:
Rod Smith.
Tavon Austin
Cole Beasley.
Randy Gregory
Geoff Swaim.
Other than those guys we have no other minor free agents, so not a lot of resigning is necessary.
Next on the chopping block is the draft. we have:
Rounds 1, 2, 2, 4, 4, 5, 5, 7. after trading Crawford.
For now the top 3 rounds are about all you can really speculate on. With 4 games of tape already this season you can already see tendencies, and the things the players are working on, so you can reasonably justify players rankings based on your personal big board. I will be mocking out the whole top 2 rounds so if you want to know what other teams got, just ask and I will let you know.
DALLAS COWBOYS:
Pick 1 (5): Justin Herbert QB Oregon - 6'6" 225 lbs.
Pick 2 (36): Marvell Tell III S USC - 6'2" 195 lbs.
Pick 3 (43): Kaden Smith TE UCLA - 6'5" 252 lbs
So you would end up with a depth chart of:
Offense: (23)
WR1: Allen Hurns, Cole Beasely, Tavon Austin,
WR2: Michael Gallup, Terrence Williams, (Mid round pick)
TE: Kaden Smith, Dalton Schultz, Blake Jarwin
QB: Justin Herbert, Dak Prescott (Would like to start Dak for this season, let Herbert acclimate to the game. Maybe add a vet QB to keep inactive, but able to start. If Dak goes down, Herbert can close out the game, but the next game let the vet start. The only way we start Herbert is if he shows he is ready beyond a shadow of a doubt.)
RB: Ezekiel Elliott, Rod Smith, Jamize Olawale (or other FB)
LT: Tyron Smith, Cameron Flemming
LG: Connor Williams, Xavier Sua Filo
C: Travis Fredrick, Joe Looney
RG: Zack Martin, Adam Redmond
RT: La'el Collins
Defense
24)LDE: Taco Charleton, (Freeagent or draft)
DT: Maliek Collins, Antuan Woods, Daniel Ross
RDE: Dorance Armstrong (Freeagent or draft)
LOLB: DeMarcus Lawrence, (Freeagent or draft)
ILB: Jaylon Smith, Leighton Vander-esch
ILB: Sean Lee, Joe Thomas
ROLB: Dante Fowler, Randy Gregory
(You could make Tank a down lineman, and have Dante and Randy be the OLB duo. Tank would just be a monster rushing while standing. If we don't strengthen the Interior DL then I would say move Tank to DE and add a few back up level 3-4 OLB types.)
Right CB: Byron Jones, Anthony Brown
Left CB: Chidobe Awuzie, Jourdan Lewis
SS: Earl Thomas, Jeff Heath, Kavon Frazier,
FS: Marvell Tell, Xavier Woods,
OBVIOUSLY there are more positions you would pick up free agent bodies to give more depth, but these are your main players. MAYBE we sign a new kicker. Thats a crazy thing to be excited about.
I dont know about you, but I dont see many holes that need patching after that. You give the necessary 1 year growing pains year where everyone is learning the playbook and really getting comfortable with the scheme. THEN The year after you the THE STUD WR of the draft with your mid range growing pain year draft pick. AND UNLEASH HERBERT ON THE LEAGUE. He grew up in the system, matured with these young receivers, learned for a whole season under pre-snap guru Tony Romo.
With a dominant defense, and an offense with an actual pulse with creative coaches who will kick our team to the next level.
