NFL Point Spreads For Week 4

[Gryphon]

NFL Point Spreads For Week 4
Week Four NFL Football Point Spread
NFL Spreads 9/28 - 9/29, 2008

Date & Time Favorite Spread Underdog
9/28 1:00 ET Denver -9 At Kansas City
9/28 1:00 ET At Cincinnati -3.5 Cleveland
9/28 1:00 ET At Jacksonville -7.5 Houston
9/28 1:00 ET At NY Jets -3 Arizona
9/28 1:00 ET At New Orleans -6 San Francisco
9/28 1:00 ET At Carolina -7 Atlanta
9/28 1:00 ET At Tennessee -3 Minnesota
9/28 1:00 ET At Tampa Bay -1 Green Bay
9/28 4:05 ET Buffalo -8 At St. Louis
9/28 4:05 ET San Diego -7 At Oakland
9/28 4:15 ET At Dallas -11.5 Washington
9/28 8:15 ET Philadelphia -3 At Chicago

Monday Night Football Point Spread
9/29 8:35 ET At Pittsburgh -7.5 Baltimore

 

[Paniolo22]

11.5 is just sick.

 

[Gryphon]

Let's see if the Cowboys have grown up to beat a team by this much when they are suppose to.

 

[JBS]

11.5 is sick...which means vegas knows it will not be close. Anytime I see a line too big or even too small for that matter (in this case too big) I lean towards thinking vegas will more likely be right. IE, initial reaction tells most people 11.5 is too big so play the Commanders. However, vegas is in business because traditional thinking is not winning thinking. Give the points and take Dallas. Cowboys 31 Skins 17

 

[SDogo]

11.5 is sick...which means vegas knows it will not be close. Anytime I see a line too big or even too small for that matter (in this case too big) I lean towards thinking vegas will more likely be right. IE, initial reaction tells most people 11.5 is too big so play the Commanders. However, vegas is in business because traditional thinking is not winning thinking. Give the points and take Dallas. Cowboys 31 Skins 17

Giants were 13.5 this week, Patriots 12 at one point. Just goes to show even a educated guess is still only a guess.

 

[JBS]

Giants were 13.5 this week, Patriots 12 at one point. Just goes to show even a educated guess is still only a guess.

Well home, in my opinion and this might just be my opinion, but I would hope others would agree - the giants easily deserved to be favorites by 13.5 vs the bengals and the patriots line did not appear too far off...now what actually happened come game time was a diff story obviously but thats another topic...when most people looked at those lines when they initially came out they didn't scream out WOW thats WAY too big for this game. I would imagine most people thought the lines were accurate.

While in the dallas vs Commanders game, I am imagining that most people are indeed saying WOW this line is WAY too big. That is the KEY difference between these 3 games. Just because a line is BIG doesn't mean to take the fav or to take the dog. But my opinion is when you see a line that just does not seem right, lean away from conventional wisdom.

 

[Hostile]

Holy Moses. They need an 11.5 point spread to entice people to bet on the Commanders?

 

[AdamJT13]

Giants were 13.5 this week, Patriots 12 at one point.

They were both facing winless teams. The Commanders are 2-1.

 

[Nightman]

Holy Moses. They need an 11.5 point spread to entice people to bet on the Commanders?

Exactly. Vegas doesn't set the line according to what they think the score will be. They set it so half the bettors choose Dallas, half choose Washington and they take the 10% vig. Dallas has a lot of fans so the line is always higher.

 

[Hostile]

Exactly. Vegas doesn't set the line according to what they think the score will be. They set it so half the bettors choose Dallas, half choose Washington and they take the 10% vig. Dallas has a lot of fans so the line is always higher.

A man who knows what he is talking about.

 

[Maikeru-sama]

Interesting, I thought I heard on the radio that it was 10 for us.

The Cowboys will probably be favored in every game here on out. The only game where that may not be the case would be the games against the Giants.

 

[sago1]

If the Giants have to go into overtime to beat teams like the Bengals, we could go into NY as favorites but I highly doubt it. After all the Giants are the defending SB champs.

 

[TwentyOne]

Oops 11.5 at home. I guess we gonna destroy someones confidence..... team.... franchise... whatever

:laugh2:

 

[miamicowboy21]

No way dallas covers. 11.5 is wayyy to much against a division rival.

 

[Aikbach]

I agree, no way dallas cover 11.5 points, put me down for Dallas by 22.

 

[SDogo]

They were both facing winless teams. The Commanders are 2-1.

Still think any double digit spread is to much in the NFL. Took both the Dolphins and Bengals based on the spread. According to Sportbook since 1995 71% of teams spotted as the underdog with a spread higher then 12pts has covered.

In sports betting that's a pretty decent percentage.

 

[SDogo]

As far as the Cowboys are concerned, I made it a law a long time ago that I WILL NOT bet for or against the Cowboys. Just bad Karma.