Counting penalty yardage, we averaged 4.7 yards per running play and 4.3 yards per pass play. So one thing that running the ball more *did* was it resulted in more net yardage per play for the offense. But I'd really like to look at three-and-out's.
It's true that three-and-out's weren't our problem in this game--our problem wasn't getting a couple of first downs on a drive, or even three or four. It was the old familiar problem of stringing enough first downs together to get into the end zone, or at least stringing enough long drives together to get multiple FG attempts.
So if I'm trying to figure out what caused that problem, it does me no good to count three-and-out's. Instead I'd look at what we were doing offensively that led to first down conversions (successes) vs. what we were doing that led to punts (failures).
First, the successes. What kind of plays were we running that led to us converting the next first down in that drive?
- When Passing on 1st down
14 of 22 (64%)
- When Running on 1st down
10 of 10 (100%)
2nd half only
(prior to final drive)
- When Passing on 1st down
0 of 3 (0%)
- When Running on 1st down
6 of 6 (100%)
For the whole game,
every single time we ran the ball on first down led to a conversion. When we passed on first down, we weren't nearly as successful at getting that next first down.
Now the failures:
What kind of plays were we running that led to 4th downs? Find the punts and work backwards. We punted six times in the game, and the series that ended with punts looked like this:
- 1st Qtr
at end of 8-play drive
pass-pass-pass-punt
- 2nd Qtr
at end of 6-play drive
pass-pass-pass-punt
- 2nd Qtr
at end of 12-play drive
pass-pass-pass-punt
- 3rd Qtr
at end of 5-play drive
pass-run-pass-punt
- 4th Qtr
at end of 8-play dirve
pass-pass-pass-punt
- 4th Qtr
at end of 3-play drive
pass-pass-run-punt
That's six different series of downs that all led to punts, making for a total of 18 plays from scrimmage. And 16 of the 18 were passes. Our pass-run ratio for the whole game may have been heavy, but it definitely wasn't 16-2. So obviously a great many of the plays from earlier on in those drives were runs.
We can either speculate about what good running the ball more *would* have done, or we can just look at the play-by-play to see what good running the ball *did* do when we did run, compared to the good that passing did.