jterrell
Penguinite
- Messages
- 33,567
- Reaction score
- 15,734
A couple of recent statements by Pac 12 ADs have made is pretty clear a media deal is coming, or partner schools will force the issue by Mid-March. --WSU and ASU ADs.
And we have had leaks of late suggesting there will be a deal primarily with either Apple or Amazon to the tune of 27M per team per year for 5-8 years.
ASU AD says that would be just enough to save the conference.
And it might... but would it save it in name only.
Pac 12 has mutual interest with SDSU and SMU which would allow 2-4 schools to bolt but keep the doors of the Pac 12 open.
And if the Pac really drops below 30M with 80+ % streaming? I'd think they may well need those extra teams to stay alive.
Because it's hard to imagine that no one gets antsy.
The entire brand has been tarnished now and member schools are going to feel that heat.
Especially ones who appeal for student experiences and broad access.
Over in SEC country this is how they feel:
https://www.tennessean.com/story/sp...ootball-oregon-washington-big-12/69920842007/
If the Pac-12 crumbles amid an expiring media rights deal, don’t expect the SEC to feast on the scraps.
Sorry, Washington Huskies, you don’t fit into the SEC’s Southern tapestry. Luke Combs would struggle to fit “Seattle” into his SEC Network anthem, “South on Ya,” in which the country music star sings about gators in the water, swampy Louisiana and Arkansas hollers.
---------------------
So what could happen:
1. PAC 12 Commish GK threads the needle here and gets enough games on ESPN to satisfy teams in the short-term and the lack of interest by other P5 conferences in Stanford, Cal, WSU and OSU save the day.
2. PAC 12 news isn;t great in com,ign weeks and it breaks wide open.
Here’s an idea for logical maneuverings, if the Pac-12 unity pact wavers:
∎ The Big Ten adds Oregon and Washington, solidifying its Pacific Coast presence. The Big Ten’s media rights pie is so lucrative it could afford to add a couple of seats at its table. The Big Ten has been willing to navigate away from its hub and break into new regions. To wit, it once hosted its conference basketball tournament in New York City. With OU and UW on board, the Big Ten would boast the nation’s largest conference at 18 teams. Growing from two to four West Coast schools would offer late-night broadcast opportunities for media rights partners.
∎ Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado and Utah state bolt for the Big 12, ensuring the Big 12's place among the nation’s top four conferences. Colorado is a former Big 12 member, and all four schools fit the identity of a conference that tilts to the Southwest and Great Plains. The Big 12 will include BYU among its four additions in July. Restoring Utah-BYU as a conference clash would be a boon. They were previously conference brethren in the Rocky Mountain Athletic, Skyline, Western Athletic and Mountain West conferences.
Guess we will all FINALLY know in a few weeks.
And we have had leaks of late suggesting there will be a deal primarily with either Apple or Amazon to the tune of 27M per team per year for 5-8 years.
ASU AD says that would be just enough to save the conference.
And it might... but would it save it in name only.
Pac 12 has mutual interest with SDSU and SMU which would allow 2-4 schools to bolt but keep the doors of the Pac 12 open.
And if the Pac really drops below 30M with 80+ % streaming? I'd think they may well need those extra teams to stay alive.
Because it's hard to imagine that no one gets antsy.
The entire brand has been tarnished now and member schools are going to feel that heat.
Especially ones who appeal for student experiences and broad access.
Over in SEC country this is how they feel:
https://www.tennessean.com/story/sp...ootball-oregon-washington-big-12/69920842007/
If the Pac-12 crumbles amid an expiring media rights deal, don’t expect the SEC to feast on the scraps.
Sorry, Washington Huskies, you don’t fit into the SEC’s Southern tapestry. Luke Combs would struggle to fit “Seattle” into his SEC Network anthem, “South on Ya,” in which the country music star sings about gators in the water, swampy Louisiana and Arkansas hollers.
---------------------
So what could happen:
1. PAC 12 Commish GK threads the needle here and gets enough games on ESPN to satisfy teams in the short-term and the lack of interest by other P5 conferences in Stanford, Cal, WSU and OSU save the day.
2. PAC 12 news isn;t great in com,ign weeks and it breaks wide open.
Here’s an idea for logical maneuverings, if the Pac-12 unity pact wavers:
∎ The Big Ten adds Oregon and Washington, solidifying its Pacific Coast presence. The Big Ten’s media rights pie is so lucrative it could afford to add a couple of seats at its table. The Big Ten has been willing to navigate away from its hub and break into new regions. To wit, it once hosted its conference basketball tournament in New York City. With OU and UW on board, the Big Ten would boast the nation’s largest conference at 18 teams. Growing from two to four West Coast schools would offer late-night broadcast opportunities for media rights partners.
∎ Arizona, Arizona State, Colorado and Utah state bolt for the Big 12, ensuring the Big 12's place among the nation’s top four conferences. Colorado is a former Big 12 member, and all four schools fit the identity of a conference that tilts to the Southwest and Great Plains. The Big 12 will include BYU among its four additions in July. Restoring Utah-BYU as a conference clash would be a boon. They were previously conference brethren in the Rocky Mountain Athletic, Skyline, Western Athletic and Mountain West conferences.
Guess we will all FINALLY know in a few weeks.
