Super_Kazuya
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In my opinion, it was an awful decision.
For the Giants, their WORST-case scenario of going for the TD would still be better than their BEST-case scenario of kicking the 19-yard FG.
For the Cowboys, I'd MUCH rather start at my own 25 and need 75 yards to win the game... than start at my own 1 and need 65 yards JUST FOR A CHANCE at TYING the game with a 52-yard FG.
And that's only IF they don't score the game-sealing TD on 4th down anyways.
Coughlin botched it. I hope Garrett would go for the TD if he faces a similar situation.
Your intuition ends up being spot on; the ESPN NFL Nation blog had a good write up on all the probabilities.
http://espn.go.com/blog/nflnation/post/_/id/179141/giants-clock-blunder-doubled-cowboys-chances