btcutter
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my Sirius NFL Radio partner, prodded me on this today, and he's right: The chances of drafting a receiver high and having him make an impact in year one are very small. Since 2000, 48 receivers have been among the top 40 picks. A handful have been very good early: Dwayne Bowe, picked 23rd by Kansas City two years ago, was terrific as a rookie; Larry Fitzgerald (third, 2004), Andre Johnson (third, 2003), Lee Evans (13th, 2004), Santana Moss (16th, 2001), Reggie Wayne (30th, 2001) ... and that's it for early impact guys. One out of 11, on average, have been starter-quality as rookies.
On the other hand, there's ... Peter Warrick, Travis Taylor, Sylvester Morris, Todd Pinkston, David Terrell, Quincy Morgan, Ashley Lelie, Josh Reed, Rashaun Woods, Troy Williamson, Mike Williams, Charles Rogers, Mark Bradley, Chad Jackson. Need I go on? There's so much more of a washout factor with these high picks at receivers than at, say, the offensive line. Why, if you're a team with a win-now roster, do you take one of these high-risk guys in the first or second round and hope he pans out when there are two players, Edwards and Boldin, who you know could step in and be big players now?
The Giants and Eagles are Super Bowl contenders. They have veteran teams ready to win now. This is the time when front offices should read the market and act to bring in veterans. The only way I wouldn't do it, frankly, is if I were sure there was an injury factor, or attitude factor, or the compensation was more than, say, first- and fourth-round picks. Then I might shy away.
Just my two cents worth as we get ready for the draft.
The RW trade isn't as bad as some make out to be. Sure, retrospectively if we had know Edwards or Boldin could be had for a #1 only......but .......no one knew what we know now. But we do see the WR in the draft is worse than a crapshoot even in the 1st round.
On the other hand, there's ... Peter Warrick, Travis Taylor, Sylvester Morris, Todd Pinkston, David Terrell, Quincy Morgan, Ashley Lelie, Josh Reed, Rashaun Woods, Troy Williamson, Mike Williams, Charles Rogers, Mark Bradley, Chad Jackson. Need I go on? There's so much more of a washout factor with these high picks at receivers than at, say, the offensive line. Why, if you're a team with a win-now roster, do you take one of these high-risk guys in the first or second round and hope he pans out when there are two players, Edwards and Boldin, who you know could step in and be big players now?
The Giants and Eagles are Super Bowl contenders. They have veteran teams ready to win now. This is the time when front offices should read the market and act to bring in veterans. The only way I wouldn't do it, frankly, is if I were sure there was an injury factor, or attitude factor, or the compensation was more than, say, first- and fourth-round picks. Then I might shy away.
Just my two cents worth as we get ready for the draft.
The RW trade isn't as bad as some make out to be. Sure, retrospectively if we had know Edwards or Boldin could be had for a #1 only......but .......no one knew what we know now. But we do see the WR in the draft is worse than a crapshoot even in the 1st round.