PFF says their QB ranking is “based on a combination of recent performance and career trajectory”…
I don’t think Dak ranks very high in either of those categories.
My guess is that their definition of “recent” is the last two seasons based off of PFF’s comments about Mahomes. For Dak’s last two seasons, they say “a late-season collapse ended his MVP bid”…that collapse was probably the last 5 games where Dak only threw 5 TDs, had an embarrassingly low 3.1% TD percentage (for comparison sake, his TD percentage up until those last 5 games was 7.2%), where the yardage totals for those 5 games were lower than all the other games that season except 2, and where the wins were against the powerhouse Jets, Giants, and Patriots.
Add on last season’s production—PFF gave him a grade of 67.9 last year, which ranked him #43 out of 78 QBs—and they saw it as a noticeable regression from where he was during the first half of the 2023 2nd-runner-up-MVP season. Add on his injury history, future injury concerns, his salary maybe-possibly making him a cap casualty soon, and maybe even his age, and it’s not hard to see them viewing Dak’s “recent performance and career trajectory” in a rather negative light.
tl:dr version — I don’t think they gave a single flying **** about his 2nd place finish in the MVP voting 2 years ago.
It also explains why Baker Mayfield is ranked higher than Dak: 2 years younger, no recent injury concerns, noticeable improvement from 2023 to 2024, impressive postseason stats.