Risen Star;4395615 said:
It's not uncommon for QBs to get overdrafted. If the top two QBs are really gone in the top 5, then it's a pretty good bet the next tier gets pushed up and become first round projections. The same things being said about Tannehill were also said about Ponder and Locker.
Well, there are differences between those groups of QBs ( last year and this year's ). For starters, there's the demand side. Entering this draft, there's only a handful of team who need a future franchise QB or have room to consider spending a high pick to develop one.
1. Colts
2. Browns
3. Deadskins
4. Dolphins
5. Seahawks
6. Cardinals * ( if they're willing to give up on Kolb this soon )
Everybody else has either a franchise type QB, have a stable enough situation at the QB position where they're not going to spend a high pick on one, or are in the process of developing somebody.
Now, with Luck and RGIII entering the picture, you can eliminate 2 teams from that list. For argument's sake, let's pretend it's the top two ( Colts - Luck, Browns - RGIII ). That would leave the Deadskins, Dolphins, Seahawks and maybe the Cardinals still searching.
Aside from Luck and RGIII in the draft, there are 2 other available QBs with NFL experience who can become immediate starters in which ever of the remaining teams they might end up. Both are at opposite ends of the spectrum ( talented, young, shown flashes but not big body of work - All Pro, twilight of his career, future HOF but health problems ). Obviously I'm writting about Matt Flynn and Peyton Manning. Again, for argument's sake let's pretend the next two teams, who coincidently make almost perfect sense in both of those instances, acquire them ( Deadskins - Manning, Dolphins - Flynn ).
That would leave the Seahawks and maybe the Cardinals with QB as a top priority, and Seattle being the most obvious one.
I don't see Seattle spending the 12th or 13th pick of the draft on Tannehill and if the Cardinals pull the trigger on a QB with their pick, it's going to be Brock Osweiler, who:
a) has all raw the tools ( and then some ) to make him a top prospect
b) is from their back yard
c) fits Ken Whisenhunt's offensive philsophy like a glove
d) won't turn 22 until November of this year
e) was helped tremendously by Joe Flacco's, the guy who teams will compare him to the most, performance against the Patriots.
Osweiler's name has already started to leak out as a possible late first round pick and we're not in February yet. Not because of the teams who are currently slotted at that range, but for teams ( like Seattle and AZ ) to move into that range. I would be surprised, but not shocked, if even the Dolphins pull the trigger with their pick in the 1st round ( although more than likely they'd move up from the 2nd round to get him ) if they miss out on Flynn or Manning.
I think Tannehill would likely be a 2nd round consideration for the Deadskins. He's a natural for Shannhan's version of the WCO.
:bang2: :laugh2: :laugh1: 
