theogt;2495644 said:
We need two out of the three to lose one more game next week: Atlanta, Philly and Tampa. If that happens, we can clinch with a win, I believe. Next week Atlanta plays Minnesota and Philly plays Washington, and Tampa plays San Diego. My guess is Atlanta and Philly will be underdogs in those games, and I wouldn't count San Diego out at all.
It really would have been nice if Atlanta would have lost yesterday.
If Philly loses before our game with them in Week 17 and we win against Baltimore they are done. The most they can get to is 9 wins.
If Atl loses and we win we get in over them, I believe we own all tiebreakers with them because it gets down to common opponents. We are 3-0, they are 1-2.
If TB loses or if we end up with the same record we beat them head to head.
If we have identical records with TB and Atl, the first tiebreaker is Head-to-head (best won-lost-tied percentage in games among the clubs). We win that because we are 1-0 against TB, Atl is 1-1 against TB and TB is 1-1 against ATL.
We are in good shape if we get to 10 wins and ATL, PHI and TB(2 of the 3) lose one more time