tonyd219
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I have a really bad feeling the Jets game is going to come back to bite us in the ***.
Looking at our schedule and Philthy's schedule, things dont look too promising...
We're sitting at 5-4 and still have to play:
Lions, Pats, Bills, Bears, Rams, Eagles, Commanders
That's 4 teams with a winning record at the moment (Pats, Bills, Rams, Eagles) and the Bears are a game shy of being .500
Philty is also sitting at 5-4 and has the following remaining games:
Pats, Seattle, Dolphins, Giants, Commanders, Cowboys, Giants
That's 3 teams with a winning record (Pats, Seattle, US) and 4 "gimme games"
Realistically, we're not winning out, not with NE looming - and I can almost guarantee Garrett will manage to screw up at least one other game - which will probably be the Philthy game ... so lets assume we go 5-2 down the stretch, that leaves us at 10-6, with a division record of 5-1 and a Conference record of 8-4
Aside from the Pats and Seattle, Philthy has a cake walk down the stretch - so assuming they lose to NE/Seattle - they could effectively win out (including our game) which puts them also at 10-6 with a division record of 5-1 also but with a conference record of 7-5.
Here's where it gets troubling - tie breakers for playoff seeding are H2H, Division, COMMON GAMES, and then Conference Record.
That Common Game tie breaker is where we lose. Philthy beat both the Jets and the Vikings (which we lost to) Their record would be 9-3 vs common opponents while ours will end up at 8-4...
10-6 wont be good enough for a WC spot - too many solid teams in the NFC that should finish with at least 11 or 12 wins (GB, Minnesota, NO, SF, Seattle)
I have this sinking feeling in my gut that we're going to finish 10-6, and miss out on the playoffs because of the freaking New York JETS of all teams... had we won that game it would push the tie breaker to Conference Record and we would win the tie breaker... but because we lost that game, we're going to be sitting home watching the playoffs (once again) and ending up with a low mid round pick (18-20)
Of course there's a lot of games left to play and "any given Sunday" and all that but lets be real - in order for us to make the playoffs we need to win at least 5 out of our last 7 games AND beat the Egirls in Philty. Our only hope of a tie breaker needs to come from Division Record - which makes that Egirls game THAT much more important...
Sorry for the long post, just frustrate and thinking out loud over here... someone send some positive vibes this way please...
Looking at our schedule and Philthy's schedule, things dont look too promising...
We're sitting at 5-4 and still have to play:
Lions, Pats, Bills, Bears, Rams, Eagles, Commanders
That's 4 teams with a winning record at the moment (Pats, Bills, Rams, Eagles) and the Bears are a game shy of being .500
Philty is also sitting at 5-4 and has the following remaining games:
Pats, Seattle, Dolphins, Giants, Commanders, Cowboys, Giants
That's 3 teams with a winning record (Pats, Seattle, US) and 4 "gimme games"
Realistically, we're not winning out, not with NE looming - and I can almost guarantee Garrett will manage to screw up at least one other game - which will probably be the Philthy game ... so lets assume we go 5-2 down the stretch, that leaves us at 10-6, with a division record of 5-1 and a Conference record of 8-4
Aside from the Pats and Seattle, Philthy has a cake walk down the stretch - so assuming they lose to NE/Seattle - they could effectively win out (including our game) which puts them also at 10-6 with a division record of 5-1 also but with a conference record of 7-5.
Here's where it gets troubling - tie breakers for playoff seeding are H2H, Division, COMMON GAMES, and then Conference Record.
That Common Game tie breaker is where we lose. Philthy beat both the Jets and the Vikings (which we lost to) Their record would be 9-3 vs common opponents while ours will end up at 8-4...
10-6 wont be good enough for a WC spot - too many solid teams in the NFC that should finish with at least 11 or 12 wins (GB, Minnesota, NO, SF, Seattle)
I have this sinking feeling in my gut that we're going to finish 10-6, and miss out on the playoffs because of the freaking New York JETS of all teams... had we won that game it would push the tie breaker to Conference Record and we would win the tie breaker... but because we lost that game, we're going to be sitting home watching the playoffs (once again) and ending up with a low mid round pick (18-20)
Of course there's a lot of games left to play and "any given Sunday" and all that but lets be real - in order for us to make the playoffs we need to win at least 5 out of our last 7 games AND beat the Egirls in Philty. Our only hope of a tie breaker needs to come from Division Record - which makes that Egirls game THAT much more important...
Sorry for the long post, just frustrate and thinking out loud over here... someone send some positive vibes this way please...
