Please do not draft a 3-4 DE at pick 14

CowboyManDan

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Looking through mock drafts some, I just wanna rant some and say am not on board with drafting a DE for the 3-4 at pick 14. I just don't think DE's in the 3-4 defense are worth a pick in the top half of the first round. Why? Because I don't think 3-4 DEs are typically put in position to be play making type of players. They generally are run stoppers and gap controllers, ala Marcus Spears (who himself was a 1st rounder), Kenyon Coleman, Igor Olshansky, Chris Canty, etc. They are not going to impact our defense like we need, especially at pick 14. Plus I think solid they can be found in later rounds (2-7).

A 4-3 DE is altogether different. I'm fine with going OLB at 14 because that is a position in the 3-4 that is put into position to make bigger plays and have more impact and is harder to find in later rounds. Especially since Spencer's days could be numbered.

I really think the first round pick should be a OLB, or G/C. S can wait a round or two I think, unless we can trade down, get an extra pick, and still get a guy like Barron.
 
Take a look at the Steelers, Ravens, Texans, 49ers who are the best 3-4 teams. The strongest part of each team are the front 3. Only the Jets are better in the back end than the front. Look at the mid 2000's Patriots. Those defenses were led by Ted Washington/Wilfolk, Warren and Seymour.
 
CowboyManDan;4502674 said:
Looking through mock drafts some, I just wanna rant some and say am not on board with drafting a DE for the 3-4 at pick 14. I just don't think DE's in the 3-4 defense are worth a pick in the top half of the first round. Why? Because I don't think 3-4 DEs are typically put in position to be play making type of players. They generally are run stoppers and gap controllers, ala Marcus Spears (who himself was a 1st rounder), Kenyon Coleman, Igor Olshansky, Chris Canty, etc. They are not going to impact our defense like we need, especially at pick 14. Plus I think solid they can be found in later rounds (2-7).

A 4-3 DE is altogether different. I'm fine with going OLB at 14 because that is a position in the 3-4 that is put into position to make bigger plays and have more impact and is harder to find in later rounds. Especially since Spencer's days could be numbered.

I really think the first round pick should be a OLB, or G/C. S can wait a round or two I think, unless we can trade down, get an extra pick, and still get a guy like Barron.


Marcus Spears is an underchiever at his position and draft status. You always want to get pressure with less players and not more. I would be happy with a 3-4 DE that is an every down player that can slide inside in nickel situations.
 
Yeah, look how stupid Houston looks for taking Watt at 10..
 
Bluestang;4502689 said:
Marcus Spears is an underchiever at his position and draft status. You always want to get pressure with less players and not more. I would be happy with a 3-4 DE that is an every down player that can slide inside in nickel situations.


Marcus Spears would've been a nice 3rd round pick but the guy is not dynamic enough to be a 1st rounder.

We need a JPP JJ Watt type and Fletcher Cox looks like that guy.

The problem is we probably won't get a shot at him.
 
i would agree with you in most cases but i would make an exception for Fletcher Cox.

this guy looks like a guy who can be stout against the run but also be a force in the pass rush.

i picture him on the weak side with Ware and see big potential there.


granted the likelihood he makes it to 14 at this point is slim, and i still lean towards Barron....but i wouldn't complain at all with Cox
 
I'm hoping for Cox or Poe right now. Get the big nasties early and often.
 
We're playing 3-4 and 4-3 techniques. Most 3-4 teams are running hybrid systems now. NFL teams are running advanced calculus schemes, and people are still trying to equate it to remedial math.
 
CATCH17;4502694 said:
Marcus Spears would've been a nice 3rd round pick but the guy is not dynamic enough to be a 1st rounder.

We need a JPP JJ Watt type and Fletcher Cox looks like that guy.

The problem is we probably won't get a shot at him.

JJ Watt Senior Year- 62 tackles, 11.5 Sacks, 21 TFL
Fletcher Cox Junior Year- 56 tackles, 5 sacks, 14.5 TFL

JJ Watt combine #'s- 6'5 290 34" Arms, 4.84 40, 34 Reps, 37" Vert, 120" Broad, 6.88 3 Cone, 4.21 20 yard shuttle

Fletcher Cox combine #'s- 6'4 298 34" arms, 4.79 40, 30 Reps, 26" Vert, 103" Broad, 7.07 3 Cone, 4.53 Shuttle

So Cox wasnt even close to as productive in college as Watt nor is he the athlete that Watt is. Fletcher Cox is not the prospect Watt was last year, not really all that close to be honest. I agree that we need to get an upgrade at DE through the draft this year, but Cox at 14 is just not the wise choice in my opinion. Cox will make a good 4-3 DT, but I can see him getting lost in the double teams a 3-4 DE will routinely face and quickly become an after thought just like Spears. Coples is the only DE I want if he falls. If not I think we can get a guy in the 2nd that can match the production Cox would give us in the 3-4. Worthy, Thompson, Still, Reyes or Winn would all present an upgrade and much better value at #45.
 
A few years ago I would have agreed with you. I ridiculed the 49ers for spending so much on Justin Smith. But with the emergence of guys like Smith, Calais Campbell and J.J. Watt, I think it's reasonable to go for these undersized passrushing 3-4 DEs. I think Cox will be in that group.
 
tm1119;4502812 said:
JJ Watt Senior Year- 62 tackles, 11.5 Sacks, 21 TFL
Fletcher Cox Junior Year- 56 tackles, 5 sacks, 14.5 TFL

JJ Watt combine #'s- 6'5 290 34" Arms, 4.84 40, 34 Reps, 37" Vert, 120" Broad, 6.88 3 Cone, 4.21 20 yard shuttle

Fletcher Cox combine #'s- 6'4 298 34" arms, 4.79 40, 30 Reps, 26" Vert, 103" Broad, 7.07 3 Cone, 4.53 Shuttle

So Cox wasnt even close to as productive in college as Watt nor is he the athlete that Watt is. Fletcher Cox is not the prospect Watt was last year, not really all that close to be honest. I agree that we need to get an upgrade at DE through the draft this year, but Cox at 14 is just not the wise choice in my opinion. Cox will make a good 4-3 DT, but I can see him getting lost in the double teams a 3-4 DE will routinely face and quickly become an after thought just like Spears. Coples is the only DE I want if he falls. If not I think we can get a guy in the 2nd that can match the production Cox would give us in the 3-4. Worthy, Thompson, Still, Reyes or Winn would all present an upgrade and much better value at #45.



I have to say he is spot on about this one Cox is not in Watt's league
 
tm1119;4502812 said:
JJ Watt combine #'s- 6'5 290 34" Arms, 4.84 40, 34 Reps, 37" Vert, 120" Broad, 6.88 3 Cone, 4.21 20 yard shuttle
:eek: lawd. Dude's a freak.
 
tm1119;4502812 said:
JJ Watt Senior Year- 62 tackles, 11.5 Sacks, 21 TFL
Fletcher Cox Junior Year- 56 tackles, 5 sacks, 14.5 TFL

JJ Watt combine #'s- 6'5 290 34" Arms, 4.84 40, 34 Reps, 37" Vert, 120" Broad, 6.88 3 Cone, 4.21 20 yard shuttle

Fletcher Cox combine #'s- 6'4 298 34" arms, 4.79 40, 30 Reps, 26" Vert, 103" Broad, 7.07 3 Cone, 4.53 Shuttle

So Cox wasnt even close to as productive in college as Watt nor is he the athlete that Watt is. Fletcher Cox is not the prospect Watt was last year, not really all that close to be honest. I agree that we need to get an upgrade at DE through the draft this year, but Cox at 14 is just not the wise choice in my opinion. Cox will make a good 4-3 DT, but I can see him getting lost in the double teams a 3-4 DE will routinely face and quickly become an after thought just like Spears. Coples is the only DE I want if he falls. If not I think we can get a guy in the 2nd that can match the production Cox would give us in the 3-4. Worthy, Thompson, Still, Reyes or Winn would all present an upgrade and much better value at #45.
Watt only had 7 sacks in his senior year and, if we're comparing to Cox's junior year, then Watt only had 4.5 sacks in his junior year.

Things look different when you're not looking at the right information.
 
GloryDaysRBack;4502692 said:
Yeah, look how stupid Houston looks for taking Watt at 10..

There's no one that good in this years draft. There's no point in drafting one for the sake of drafting one and hope picking him a early makes him better then what he is
 
tm1119;4502812 said:
JJ Watt Senior Year- 62 tackles, 11.5 Sacks, 21 TFL
Fletcher Cox Junior Year- 56 tackles, 5 sacks, 14.5 TFL

JJ Watt combine #'s- 6'5 290 34" Arms, 4.84 40, 34 Reps, 37" Vert, 120" Broad, 6.88 3 Cone, 4.21 20 yard shuttle

Fletcher Cox combine #'s- 6'4 298 34" arms, 4.79 40, 30 Reps, 26" Vert, 103" Broad, 7.07 3 Cone, 4.53 Shuttle

So Cox wasnt even close to as productive in college as Watt nor is he the athlete that Watt is. Fletcher Cox is not the prospect Watt was last year, not really all that close to be honest. I agree that we need to get an upgrade at DE through the draft this year, but Cox at 14 is just not the wise choice in my opinion. Cox will make a good 4-3 DT, but I can see him getting lost in the double teams a 3-4 DE will routinely face and quickly become an after thought just like Spears. Coples is the only DE I want if he falls. If not I think we can get a guy in the 2nd that can match the production Cox would give us in the 3-4. Worthy, Thompson, Still, Reyes or Winn would all present an upgrade and much better value at #45.
Where did you get that Watt had 11.5 sacks his SR season?
 
Plus, as far as the production goes, Cox played in a vastly superior conference on a perennially undermanned team. Watt played on one of the best teams in the country in a comparatively lousy conference.
 
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