CFZ Point Differential and NFC Championship Games last 5 years

[Bobhaze]

I’m sure by now you have heard that point differential- the number points more your teams scores than your opponents all year- is one of the biggest indicators of playoff success. It’s amazingly accurate.

As it stands today, our Cowboys have the highest point differential in the entire NFL with a +188. The niners are second with +175. The eagles have a paltry +21.

So how important is point differential? In the last 5 seasons- 2018-2022- four of the five NFC championship games included the two teams in the conference with highest PD.

• 2018 NFC championship was between New Orleans at +151 and LA Rams at +133 (Rams won and advanced to SB)
• 2019 NFC championship was between SF at +169 and GB at +63 (SF won and advanced to SB)
• 2020 NFC Championship was between TB at +134 and GB at +140 (TB won and also won SB)
• 2021 NFC Championship was between LA Rams at +88 and SF +62 (Rams won and won SB) This was the only yr NFC championship was not between at least one of the highest PD teams.
• 2022 NFC Championship was between SF at +173 and Phi at +133 (eagles won and advanced to SB)

Heres a cool link showing details of current point differentials in the league:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/average-scoring-margin

Again, it’s no guarantee but having a huge PD is a big indicator of a real SB contender.

 

[jazzcat22]

There was a stat this morning on one of the shows.
i only caught the tail end of it.

Said only 4 teams won by an average of 20 points or more, and all 4 went to the SB When that happened.
But can’t remember if they said all 4 won the SB or maybe it was only 2 pr 3 of the teams.

Dallas is at that point.

 

[Bobhaze]

There was a stat this morning on one of the shows.
i only caught the tail end of it.

Said only 4 teams won by an average of 20 points or more, and all 4 went to the SB When that happened.
But can’t remember if they said all 4 won the SB or maybe it was only 2 pr 3 of the teams.

Dallas is at that point.

That link I posted had some amazing numbers. The Cowboys average margin of victory at home is +24. That is stunning. Equally interesting is they are only +2.8 on the road. We have 3 road tests ahead so hopefully we can improve in that area.

 

[zeroburrito]

didn't help us last year.

 

[john van brocklin]

I’m sure by now you have heard that point differential- the number points more your teams scores than your opponents all year- is one of the biggest indicators of playoff success. It’s amazingly accurate.

As it stands today, our Cowboys have the highest point differential in the entire NFL with a +188. The niners are second with +175. The eagles have a paltry +21.

So how important is point differential? In the last 5 seasons- 2018-2022- four of the five NFC championship games included the two teams in the conference with highest PD.

• 2018 NFC championship was between New Orleans at +151 and LA Rams at +133 (Rams won and advanced to SB)
• 2019 NFC championship was between SF at +169 and GB at +63 (SF won and advanced to SB)
• 2020 NFC Championship was between TB at +134 and GB at +140 (TB won and also won SB)
• 2021 NFC Championship was between LA Rams at +88 and SF +62 (Rams won and won SB) This was the only yr NFC championship was not between at least one of the highest PD teams.
• 2022 NFC Championship was between SF at +173 and Phi at +133 (eagles won and advanced to SB)

Heres a cool link showing details of current point differentials in the league:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/average-scoring-margin

Again, it’s no guarantee but having a huge PD is a big indicator of a real SB contender.

We are contenders!!!!!!!!
Bob said so!!!!

 

[Bobhaze]

didn't help us last year.

True. But last year is last year and this year is this year, lol.

 

[john van brocklin]

True. But last year is last year and this year is this year, lol.

Can't argue with that logic Bob!
Lol

 

[rambo2]

I’m sure by now you have heard that point differential- the number points more your teams scores than your opponents all year- is one of the biggest indicators of playoff success. It’s amazingly accurate.

As it stands today, our Cowboys have the highest point differential in the entire NFL with a +188. The niners are second with +175. The eagles have a paltry +21.

So how important is point differential? In the last 5 seasons- 2018-2022- four of the five NFC championship games included the two teams in the conference with highest PD.

• 2018 NFC championship was between New Orleans at +151 and LA Rams at +133 (Rams won and advanced to SB)
• 2019 NFC championship was between SF at +169 and GB at +63 (SF won and advanced to SB)
• 2020 NFC Championship was between TB at +134 and GB at +140 (TB won and also won SB)
• 2021 NFC Championship was between LA Rams at +88 and SF +62 (Rams won and won SB) This was the only yr NFC championship was not between at least one of the highest PD teams.
• 2022 NFC Championship was between SF at +173 and Phi at +133 (eagles won and advanced to SB)

Heres a cool link showing details of current point differentials in the league:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/average-scoring-margin

Again, it’s no guarantee but having a huge PD is a big indicator of a real SB contender.

How bout that. This Cowboy team is very good.

 

[rambo2]

Can't argue with that logic Bob!
Lol

I thought that you said the Cowboys can't win with Jerry as the gm.

 

[Tabascocat]

Point and turnover differentials are key stats for postseason success.

 

[rambo2]

didn't help us last year.

The Cowboys won a playoff game

 

[Praxit]

didn't help us last year.

yep,, we had boy wonder. So maybe our luck changes this year.. ..

 

[tunahelper]

I thought that you said the Cowboys can't win with Jerry as the gm.

You guarantee a SB with Jerry as GM?

 

[Bobhaze]

How bout that. This Cowboy team is very good.

It is very good. But this team will ultimately be judged by what it does in the playoffs. I’m excited but let’s not bring out the anointing oil just yet.

 

[Aven8]

188 is nuts! I don’t care who you play

 

[mldardy]

didn't help us last year.

We weren't 1st or 2nd in that category either.

 

[Carson]

188 is nuts! I don’t care who you play

The disrespect is insane. They act like nobody played a light schedule to begin … they are at an historic rate

 

[rambo2]

It is very good. But this team will ultimately be judged by what it does in the playoffs. I’m excited but let’s not bring out the anointing oil just yet.

The talent is certainly there. They are very good and setting records.

 

[Jake]

I’m sure by now you have heard that point differential- the number points more your teams scores than your opponents all year- is one of the biggest indicators of playoff success. It’s amazingly accurate.

As it stands today, our Cowboys have the highest point differential in the entire NFL with a +188. The niners are second with +175. The eagles have a paltry +21.

So how important is point differential? In the last 5 seasons- 2018-2022- four of the five NFC championship games included the two teams in the conference with highest PD.

• 2018 NFC championship was between New Orleans at +151 and LA Rams at +133 (Rams won and advanced to SB)
• 2019 NFC championship was between SF at +169 and GB at +63 (SF won and advanced to SB)
• 2020 NFC Championship was between TB at +134 and GB at +140 (TB won and also won SB)
• 2021 NFC Championship was between LA Rams at +88 and SF +62 (Rams won and won SB) This was the only yr NFC championship was not between at least one of the highest PD teams.
• 2022 NFC Championship was between SF at +173 and Phi at +133 (eagles won and advanced to SB)

Heres a cool link showing details of current point differentials in the league:
https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/average-scoring-margin

Again, it’s no guarantee but having a huge PD is a big indicator of a real SB contender.

Were any of those teams a 5-seed, though? That's the bigger obstacle to me - having to win 3 road playoff games.

I'll feel a lot better if Dallas is at least the 2-seed. Still three games, but at least two would be in the now-fortress of Jerryworld. Obviously, still hoping for the one.