Post Week 14: QB Combined Statistical Ranking

[DFWJC]

Now over 3/4 of the season is behind us!
Every team has had their bye week and the playoff stretch is coming up!

Weekly Disclaimer on this statistical ranking (unlike other rankings, no personal opinions)
This does NOT say which QB is "the best"....ONLY how they have played so far this year.

"Combined Stats" just means using two key stats that --when combined--almost always point to the QBs having the best season (the eventual All-Pros, MVPs, etc)

Those stats are:
1) Standard QB Passer rating
2) Total TDs (Rushing and Passing) - Total Turnovers (Fumbles lost and Interceptions)

The sample size is now large and season ups and downs are getting smoothed out

Here are the QB Rankings using Combined Stats after week 14:

1. Rodgers
2. Stafford
3. Brady
4. Murray
5. Cousins
6. Herbert
7. Wilson
8. J. Allen
9. Wentz
10. Burrow
11. Prescott (tied 11th)
12. Garoppolo (tied (11th)
13. Mahomes
14. Bridgewater
15. M Jones
16. Tagovailoa
17. Roethlisberger
18. Carr (tied 18th)
19. Hurts (tied 18th)
20. Ryan
21. Mayfield
22. Seimien
23. Heinike
24. Tannehill
25. Jackson
26. D Jones
27. Goff
28. Mills
29. Fields
30. Lawrence
31. Z Wilson

Omitted (not enough games): Winston, Taylor, Newton, Lance, Dalton, G Smith, Lock, M White, Rush, Love, J Johnson, McCoy, Rudolph, Walker, Flacco, Minshew

Last week:
https://cowboyszone.com/threads/post-week-13-qb-combined-statistical-ranking.489289/

 

[CalPolyTechnique]

Looks about right based on his recent play.

 

[MountaineerCowboy]

11th.

Just like I had him in my preseason QB rankings.

Man, I'm good.

 

[morasp]

Wentz seemed to land in a good place with his former QB coach.

 

[DFWJC]

Neither of these stats are great just on thier own, but combining them helps.
Here are the two separated.

Top 5 in Total TDs-Total Turnovers

1. Rodgers__+26 (tied 1st)
2. Brady __+26 (tied 1st)
3. Stafford___+23
4. Cousins__+21
5. Herbert__+19

Top 5 Passer Rating

1. Rodgers__108.8
2. Stafford__108.4
3. Murray__106
4. Brady__104.2
5. Wilson__103.7

 

[nightrain]

A couple more outings like last Sunday and Dak will end up between Jones and Goff.

 

[DFWJC]

A couple more outings like last Sunday and Dak will end up between Jones and Goff.

Man, I hope not.

I'm thinking (hoping?) he comes around and maybe changes places with Wentz from 11 to 9. But looking at most of those top 10, they are going to be hard to pass.
Plus, at some point, Mahomes is going to stop turning it over and will move up more

Btw, a year with a +20 in turnover differential is considered really good.
Yet we already have 4 QBs topping that after playing 13 games max.

 

[nightrain]

Man, I hope not.

I'm thinking (hoping?) he comes around and maybe changes places with Wentz from 11 to 9. But looking at most of those top 10, they are going to be hard to pass.
Plus, at some point, Mahomes is going to stop turning it over and will move up more

Btw, a year with a +20 in turnover differential is considered really good.
Yet we already have 4 QBs topping that after playing 13 games max.

Wasn't Dak in the #1 - #4 range most of the year? I hope he figures things out soon and gets back to balling like he was last year and the first half of this year.

 

[DFWJC]

Neither of these stats are great just on thier own, but combining them helps.
Here are the two separated.

Top 5 in Total TDs-Total Turnovers

1. Rodgers__+26 (tied 1st)
2. Brady __+26 (tied 1st)
3. Stafford___+23
4. Cousins__+21
5. Herbert__+19

Top 5 Passer Rating

1. Rodgers__108.8
2. Stafford__108.4
3. Murray__106
4. Brady__104.2
5. Wilson__103.7

Hoping our guy kicks it back in soon.

Right now:

TD-Turnovers
11th) Prescott__+11

Passer rating
10th) Prescott__98.1

 

[DFWJC]

Wasn't Dak in the #1 - #4 range most of the year? I hope he figures things out soon and gets back to balling like he was last year and the first half of this year.

He's mostly been in the 6-8 range all year.....which would be fine.


Here was the first one (week 3)
https://cowboyszone.com/threads/post-week-3-qb-statistical-ranking.484720/

 

[HungryLion]

Ooof.

I suppose this is about right when you combine about 6 games of top 5 QB play and 6 games of average to below average QB play.


Hopefully he gets back on track prior to the playoffs.

 

[DFWJC]

Ooof.

I suppose this is about right when you combine about 6 games of top 5 QB play and 6 games of average to below average QB play.


Hopefully he gets back on track prior to the playoffs.

Hope so!
Call me naive, but think he will get it going.

 

[DeaconMoss]

Now over 3/4 of the season is behind us!
Every team has had their bye week and the playoff stretch is coming up!

Weekly Disclaimer on this statistical ranking (unlike other rankings, no personal opinions)
This does NOT say which QB is "the best"....ONLY how they have played so far this year.

"Combined Stats" just means using two key stats that --when combined--almost always point to the QBs having the best season (the eventual All-Pros, MVPs, etc)

Those stats are:
1) Standard QB Passer rating
2) Total TDs (Rushing and Passing) - Total Turnovers (Fumbles lost and Interceptions)

The sample size is now large and season ups and downs are getting smoothed out

Here are the QB Rankings using Combined Stats after week 14:

1. Rodgers
2. Stafford
3. Brady
4. Murray
5. Cousins
6. Herbert
7. Wilson
8. J. Allen
9. Wentz
10. Burrow
11. Prescott (tied 11th)
12. Garoppolo (tied (11th)
13. Mahomes

Last week:
https://cowboyszone.com/threads/post-week-13-qb-combined-statistical-ranking.489289/

Move Dak down one spot by bumping Mahomes up a few and thats a pretty accurate list. Sometimes above avg Dak. Thats our $160 million guy.

 

[pgreptom]

This looks so bad when you consider his salary.

 

[Mr_437]

Wentz is ahead of Dak? #4 has to snap out of it.

 

[DFWJC]

Move Dak down one spot by bumping Mahomes up a few and thats a pretty accurate list. Sometimes above avg Dak. Thats our $160 million guy.

Mahomes has so many turnovers this year, its held him down some.
I suspect he will creep further up, even though this hasn't been his best season....so far.
He and KC are rounding into shape though.

Again....this is only how the QBs have played so far this year and not how good they are in general.
Lamar Jackson is another example. I think he leads the league in turnovers and has been out-of-sorts most of this year, but he's not the 25th best QB in the NFL. Tannehill is probably better than he has shown this year too.