Quarterback Poker 2011: Who's Holdin' and Who's Foldin"?

[DFWJC]

With the following NFL Quarterback news and gossip saying:

• that the Eagles are franchising M Vick and will take offers for K Kolb (and that there is a ton of interest)
• that Tenn. plans to shop V Young now that they can hold him until 10 days after a new agreement is in place
• that SF coach Harbaugh says he really likes what he see in Alex Smith and thnks he can shine
• that carson Palmer may want out of Cincy
• that no trades are allowed until after an labor agreement is in place
• that Andrew Luck--by some the only truly worthy top ten QB--will not be entering the draft (old news, but significant)
• that Favre is almost certainly out in for good in Minnesota

Which teams are most likely to take a QB in the 1st rd of the draft and why?

What about after Round 1 (and why)?

Best trade candidates?

 

[DFWJC]

maybe someone can fix the title spelling?

 

[DFWJC]

Here are 18 teams that I think for sure will not take a QB in the 1st round (in order by division):

Dallas
NYG
Philly
Chicago
Detroit
Green Bay
Atlanta
New Orleans
Tampa bay
St Louis
New England
NYJ
Baltimore
Pittsburgh
Houston
Indy
San Diego
Kansas City

 

[DFWJC]

Look, it's thread all to myself!
Too many questions or not enough interest I guess.

Anyway, assuming no trades at thins point, I'll take a stab at who will go for QBs and in what round:

>50% chance of taking QB in the 1st round:
Arizona--I think the guys they have are backups, except maybe Skelton someday
Tennessee--I'll be surprised if they don't take a QB to start over

50% chance of going QB by Round 2:
Minnesota--they two backups are both servicable,..flip a coin I guess
Washington--maybe
San Francisco--are claims that Harbaugh like A Smith a smokescreen?
Carolina--took 2 QBs last year and I think both are backup types.
Buffalo--they like Fitzpatrick, but do they like him enough?

Teams that could take a QB sometime in the 1st four rounds:
Cleveland--I think they like McCoy, so this is questionable
Oakland--hmmm?
Seattle--I thought they liked the backup. but there are rumblings
Cincy--if palmer gets his wish then they need a QB
Jacksonville--Garrard is okay, but they need to groom the next guy and this a good year to draft one
Denver--Orton is ok but not great, Tebow is the wildcard and was not the new coaches guy
Miami--they are souring on Henne

 

[rash]

Arizona will look at QB in free agency in my opinion because I think they like what they see in Skelton...but aren't quite ready to hand him the reigns just yet.

I think the Titans take a QB in round 1 for sure.

Other than that, it really is a crapshoot. Niners should go QB, but I know they would rather bring in a veteran (like McNabb or Hasselbeck) than bring in another youngster and put all their hopes in him panning out.

 

[texbumthelife]

I know they have a history of terrible first rounds but, I really don't think the Bills pass up Mallet, Newton or Locker if any is there. After Buffalo, I think Tennessee is most likely to look to the draft for a quarterback, but I don't think they reach in round one.

With all the defensive talent in this draft and the Steelers and Packers repping in the Superbowl, I think it is very likely two of the top quarterbacks slip into the second round and our pick in round two becomes a hot commodity. Much hotter than our first round pick.