Romo's 3rd down targets

[percyhoward]

ranked by total first downs

Romo's conversion percentage includes sacks.

2014 (4 games)
Romo's conversions: 50.0%
Romo's 3rd down rating: 110.0
Witten 8 of 9 80 yd 0 td 0 int 6 fd (67%)
Bryant 5 of 7 56 yd 2 td 1 int 5 fd (71%)
Beasley 3 of 4 29 yd 0 td 0 int 3 fd (75%)
others 2 of 4 63 yd 0 td 0 int 2 fd (50%)
Williams 2 of 6 32 yd 1 td 0 int 2 fd (33%)
Murray 2 of 3 15 yd 0 td 0 int 0 fd (0%)


2013 (15 games)
Romo's conversions: 34.5%
Romo's 3rd down rating: 76.7
Bryant 14 of 31 207 yd 5 td 0 int 14 fd (45%)
Beasley 14 of 18 146 yd 1 td 0 int 11 fd (61%)
Witten 14 of 27 155 yd 2 td 0 int 11 fd (41%)
Williams 11 of 22 157 yd 0 td 2 int 7 fd (32%)
Murray 1 of 3 6 yd 0 td 0 int 1 fd (33%)
others 10 of 25 64 yd 0 td 1 int 5 fd (20%)

 

[Galian Beast]

I think this is a function of the running game being a lot more effective.

 

[percyhoward]

I think this is a function of the running game being a lot more effective.

Part of it is that, part of it is better pass protection (especially up the middle), and part is better play design.

Our average distance to go on 3rd down this year is 7.5 yards, compared to 7.8 last year. The average distance to go on Witten's targets is actually longer this year.

3rd and 5+ to go
NFL rank in conversion percentage
2014: 12th
2013: 30th

 

[Redball Express]

I think this is a function of the running game being a lot more effective.

I think this is a function of Garrett not calling the plays.

 

[Bullflop]

Correction . . . Witten's 8 of 9 third down completions = 88.8%, not 67%.

 

[percyhoward]

Correction . . . Witten's 8 of 9 completions = 88.8%, not 67%.

The 67% is the conversion percentage on his targets, not the completion percentage.

 

[Bullflop]

The 67% is the conversion percentage on his targets, not the completion percentage.

OK . . . thanks for "splaining." It's all about 1st downs -- gotcha.

 

[Outlaw Heroes]

These 3rd down stats are always informative. Thanks Percy.

The one thing that always seems to be overlooked in analyzing 3rd down conversion percentages is how good teams are at staying out of 3rd down. The significance of third down conversions, after all, is precisely that they allow drives to be sustained. Given this, the ability to stay out of 3rd down entirely is of obvious relevance. If a team can matriculate the ball down the field while staying out of third downs it is also sustaining drives (while presumably advancing the ball in bigger chunks of yardage). If you get a chance to look at this Percy, I'd love to see what the stats say.