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The most likely score of Super Bowl XLIX, according to 50,000 computer simulations of Sunday’s big game? Seattle Seahawks 24, New England Patriots 20.
Though the Patriots are still favored in Las Vegas by 1 point, the Predictalator — a computer system that analyzed myriad statistics and thereby simulated the Super Bowl 50,000 times — is expecting Seattle to win its second consecutive NFL championship. The Seahawks won in 57.3 percent of simulations.
A Patriots fan, center, covers her ears as a Seahawks fan, left, cheers for his team during Super Bowl Media Day on Tuesday at US Airways Center in Phoenix. (Joshua Trujillo/seattlepi.com)
“While their journeys may sound similar and the matchup looks like a classic, there is one major difference between these two teams that ultimately leads us to our prediction,” wrote Paul Bessire of PredictionMachine.com, “the Seattle Seahawks are, simply, the team more capable of dominating.
“This is very important in a winner-take-all battle between two of the league’s best because it means that Seattle is both more poised to gain a lead that it can preserve and battle back to win in a comeback bid if it happens to get behind (as we saw in the NFC Championship Game). Sports and direct competition are often about utilizing one’s strengths to exploit an opponent’s weaknesses.”
PredictionMachine.com’s Predictalator spit out a whole slew of forecast statistics. Check out the charts, sent to seattlepi.com via email:
One interesting note: The Predictalator assumed right tackle Justin Britt would not play due to injury. With second-year offensive lineman Alvin Bailey starting in Britt’s place in the NFC Championship game, Seattle struggled to adequately protect Russell Wilson in the pocket. But Britt, who markedly improved down the stretch of the regular season, said Tuesday he will play in Super Bowl XLIX.
And at least according to available information, the Predictalator didn’t think Richard Sherman’s (elbow) or Earl Thomas’ (shoulder) injuries will have much of an effect on the game.
“The final storyline revolves around the ‘Legion of Boom,’” Bessire wrote. “Safety Earl Thomas and (cornerback) Richard Sherman — two of the best players at their positions in the league — both sustained arm injuries against the Packers. Both are practicing and neither seems likely to be slowed by the injury. This will be an oft-discussed yet likely irrelevant topic for the game.”
Seahawks at Super Bowl XLIX Media Day
Visit seattlepi.com for more Seattle Seahawks news. Contact sports editor Nick Eaton at 206-448-8125, nickeaton@seattlepi.com or @njeaton.
Continue reading...
Though the Patriots are still favored in Las Vegas by 1 point, the Predictalator — a computer system that analyzed myriad statistics and thereby simulated the Super Bowl 50,000 times — is expecting Seattle to win its second consecutive NFL championship. The Seahawks won in 57.3 percent of simulations.
A Patriots fan, center, covers her ears as a Seahawks fan, left, cheers for his team during Super Bowl Media Day on Tuesday at US Airways Center in Phoenix. (Joshua Trujillo/seattlepi.com)
“While their journeys may sound similar and the matchup looks like a classic, there is one major difference between these two teams that ultimately leads us to our prediction,” wrote Paul Bessire of PredictionMachine.com, “the Seattle Seahawks are, simply, the team more capable of dominating.
“This is very important in a winner-take-all battle between two of the league’s best because it means that Seattle is both more poised to gain a lead that it can preserve and battle back to win in a comeback bid if it happens to get behind (as we saw in the NFC Championship Game). Sports and direct competition are often about utilizing one’s strengths to exploit an opponent’s weaknesses.”
PredictionMachine.com’s Predictalator spit out a whole slew of forecast statistics. Check out the charts, sent to seattlepi.com via email:
One interesting note: The Predictalator assumed right tackle Justin Britt would not play due to injury. With second-year offensive lineman Alvin Bailey starting in Britt’s place in the NFC Championship game, Seattle struggled to adequately protect Russell Wilson in the pocket. But Britt, who markedly improved down the stretch of the regular season, said Tuesday he will play in Super Bowl XLIX.
And at least according to available information, the Predictalator didn’t think Richard Sherman’s (elbow) or Earl Thomas’ (shoulder) injuries will have much of an effect on the game.
“The final storyline revolves around the ‘Legion of Boom,’” Bessire wrote. “Safety Earl Thomas and (cornerback) Richard Sherman — two of the best players at their positions in the league — both sustained arm injuries against the Packers. Both are practicing and neither seems likely to be slowed by the injury. This will be an oft-discussed yet likely irrelevant topic for the game.”
Seahawks at Super Bowl XLIX Media Day
Visit seattlepi.com for more Seattle Seahawks news. Contact sports editor Nick Eaton at 206-448-8125, nickeaton@seattlepi.com or @njeaton.
Continue reading...