It doesn't look good for the US Team this year because the Euros are really playing well.
The top-8 in points thus far are:
1. Bubba Watson
2. Jimmy Walker
3. Rickie Fowler
4. Jim Furyk
5. Dustin Johnson
6. Jordan Spieth
7. Matt Kuchar
8. Jason Dufner
I actually believe the US team could win (and possibly blowout the Euros) *if* Watson used a more data analytics approach to pairing players.
In general, good Short Game play and putting is very helpful in the Ryder Cup format. Short Game even more so because it's not always easy to take good putting from course to course (see Snedeker at Medinah). But, in the match play format over the years the players that are really good around the green tend to do well. Poulter has one of the best short games on Tour. So does Luke Donald. Both excellent match play golfers. Jason Day one the Accenture Match play...spectacular short game player. I just think in the match play format...particularly at the Ryder Cup...it's tough to play an opponent that can get up and down from the ballwasher and stymie you when think you have him beat.
So, if I were Watson I would look at good short game players. Looking at how well a player is putting is a bit ill-conceived because a player may putt well going into the PGA Championship, then cool off by the time the Ryder Cup is to be played.
I think it's also important to get young players. You don't have to worry about them tiring out and having to sit them. And if you get a young player who is riding a hot hand, you can just keep playing him and gain points.
In the 4-ball format (low score), you really want to focus on guys that make birdies and guys that play the par-4's and par-5's well. Or if you have a player that plays the par-4's and par-5's well, but struggles on the par-3's, look for a partner that plays the par-3's well and plays the par-4's well.
In the 4-some format (alternate shot) we need to find guys who have more 'compatible' games. Trying to put somebody like Mickelson in with say Zach Johnson is a bad idea because Mickelson misses a lot of fairways and Zach isn't good out of the rough. You would also want to find good short game players along with guys that generally are good at avoiding bogeys. That's why Furyk is a good 4-some player (low bogey player), but a terrible 4-ball player (low birdie player).
If I am Tom Watson, I'm leaning toward looking for young players that have good short games and that can play in both the 4-ball and 4-some format. You really need to find who is hot and who is not and ride the hot hands and bench the guys playing poorly.
That's why I see Tiger as a bad pick...he's struggled all year long. The strength of his game is not his short game around the green. And with his injuries, you're not going to be able to play him every round if you need him to and he may only be able to play on 2 of the days, needing a break.
Right now, my picks would be:
1. Zach Johnson
2. Keegan Bradley
3. Patrick Reed
4. Brendon Todd or Phil Mickelson or Webb Simpson
YR