SI.com: Romo shoots down doubters with attack on passing efficiency records

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Romo shoots down doubters with attack on passing efficiency records

Kerry J. Byrne

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo wasted no time silencing the doubters -- the Cold, Hard Football Facts high among them -- in his first game without the prolific Terrell Owens as a batterymate.


In fact, Romo responded to the skepticism with what might have been the greatest statistical performance of his short but incredibly productive career, throwing three touchdown passes in a 34-21 Week 1 victory over the suddenly defenseless Buccaneers. He set a career high in passing yards (353), while his 140.6 passer rating and awesome 13.1 yards per attempt were both among his personal bests.


It's easy to understand the logic of the doubters: Owens is a great game-changer, one of the most productive receivers in history who has set receiving records with three franchises. But perhaps we should have given Romo a little more credit. After all, his production is not merely good: It's spectacular.


Just 40 starts into his career, Romo is on pace to challenge or even rewrite the records in some of the most important indicators of quarterbacking success. He's certainly living up to the standards of a franchise that's been consistently blessed for more than 40 years with some of the best field generals in the game. But not even Dallas legends Aikman, Staubach or Dandy Don put up these kinds of numbers.


Romo is still shy of the minimum 1,500 attempts needed to qualify for official NFL records (he's attempted 1,334 passes). He'll reach that milestone some time in October -- and when he does he'll find himself in very elite statistical company.


Passer rating

You might not have noticed (that's what we're here for), but Romo's performance on Sunday propelled him past no less a statistical juggernaut than Peyton Manning and into the No. 2 spot on the all-time passer rating leaderboard. Both players entered Week 1 of the 2009 season with career passer ratings of 94.7. Manning remains at 94.7 today. But with Romo's explosive effort against the Bucs, his career mark improved by a full point to 95.7.


Only Steve Young (96.8) boasts a better career passer rating. But that record is clearly in jeopardy. With two or three more excellent outings, Romo will leap past Young and stand as the most efficient passer in the history of the game. Hard to believe, considering that Romo was an undrafted free agent in 2003 that nobody had heard of as recently as 2006.


Yards per attempt

As Cold, Hard Football Facts followers know, we put a lot of stock in yards per attempt. It's a very easy-to-understand yet telling indicator of an individual's ability to get the ball downfield and a very telling indicator of team success. Generally speaking, the most successful teams and most successful quarterbacks throughout history have boasted the highest average per attempt.


Romo finds himself in very exclusive company in this telling indicator, as well.


Cleveland's Otto Graham is No. 1 on the YPA list (8.63). Not so coincidentally, he was the most successful quarterback in history, leading his Browns to six straight championship games in his six seasons as an NFL quarterback (1950-55), winning three of them. (Graham also led the Browns to four straight championships in the AAFC before the club joined the NFL -- he averaged a stunning 9.51 yards per attempt against that league's inferior competition.)


Chicago's Sid Luckman is No. 2 on the YPA list (8.42). Not so coincidentally, he was the most successful quarterback of the 1940s, virtually inventing the modern position that we know today while leading the Bears to four NFL titles.


Then there's Romo at No. 3. Following Sunday's performance, he has averaged 8.18 yards per pass attempt in his career. To put this figure another way, it makes Romo more effective at getting the ball down field than any passer since Graham hung up the black high-tops 54 years ago.
That's elite company.


Victories

For better or for worse, quarterbacks are ultimately measured by the bottom line: wins and losses. In this area, too, Romo is in elite company. He's 28-12 (.700) as a starting quarterback. Among contemporary players, only Tom Brady (88-24; .786) and Ben Roethlisberger (52-20; .722) have won more consistently. (It should be noted that San Francisco's Shaun Hill might someday enter the discussion: he's 8-3 in his 11 starts, a mark of .727.)


Brady and Roethlisberger, of course, are also the only two quarterbacks in the game today with multiple rings in their back pocket. Therein lies the next challenge for Romo, who's 0-2 in his two playoff appearances, and did not play well in either game.


The record books will soon show that he's among the pest passers in the history of the game. But it will take nothing less than a Super Bowl victory or two to truly earn the right to be mentioned among these all-time greats.


ColdHardFootballFacts.com is dedicated to cutting-edge analysis and to the "gridiron lifestyle" of beer, food and football. Send comments to siwriters@simail.com
 

MichaelWinicki

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I hope, sincerly hope that fans take some time to appreciate how great Tony Romo actually is.
 

Doomsday101

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I have never understood why some can't see what a good QB Romo is. They point to a team achievement winning playoffs and championship but when you look at Romo the QB the man is very talented. To get where we want to go it is going to take the team as a whole stepping up.
 

CoCo

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MichaelWinicki;2946626 said:
I hope, sincerly hope that fans take some time to appreciate how great Tony Romo actually is.

Those that will, already have.

Those that haven't will not until Romo wins a SB. Not that its right.
 

AdamJT13

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I'll save people the trouble.

December ... blah blah ... playoffs .. yada yada ... slippery ball ... etc.
 

Doomsday101

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PHof83;2946646 said:
If he can only put it together in December.

For him to look good those around him especially up front need to look good
 

Dave_in-NC

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I'll save people the trouble.

December ... blah blah ... playoffs .. yada yada ... slippery ball ... etc.

If he can only put it together in December.


That took a minute.:lmao2:
 

BAT

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For one, passer rating is overrated, its ypa that is the true measure, and Romo sitting at #3 all time is amazing. Secondly, winning comes in time, not everyone can come in and be Otto Graham, the greatest football player who ever played (not just QB). Romo has accomplished some incredible record breaking stuff in just THREE seasons as the starting QB. The postseason rewards will come.

Third, Romo's playoff performances as a QB did not result in the losses. Football is a team sport, and Romo's team (specifically the D & the holder :)) let them down.
 

Kangaroo

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I loved Romo's play so far from the day Drew was benched to now I understood we had a QB we could win with.
 

AmishCowboy

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Still hard to believe that Romo only has 40 starts and is this good, a fact that a lot of people overlook.
 

NoLuv4Jerry

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I really wish people would stop saying Romo played bad in the 2007 playoff game against the Giants. IT IS SIMPLY NOT TRUE!!!!!! I dare anyone to go back and watch that game and tell me Romo played a bad game. If anyone can watch that game and STILL say Romo played bad, they have ZERO football IQ. ZERO!!!!!!!
 

UnoDallas

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yea get back to me when he's got 3 or 4 SB rings


But it will take nothing less than a Super Bowl victory or two to truly earn the right to be mentioned among these all-time greats
 

MarionBarberThe4th

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I think Garrett and the line failed more than Romo in the playoff game. Similar to the Raven game last year.


Oh, and add 1 TD and take away one int for that play TO made vs GB 2 years ago
 

gbrittain

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UnoDallas;2946688 said:
yea get back to me when he's got 3 or 4 SB rings


But it will take nothing less than a Super Bowl victory or two to truly earn the right to be mentioned among these all-time greats

Quick question. Better all time QB Brad Johnson or Dan Marino?

Yes, Super Bowl(s) are very important specially as a fan, but in terms of just good QB play he is on his way to elite status like it or not.
 

theogt

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BAT;2946672 said:
For one, passer rating is overrated, its ypa that is the true measure, and Romo sitting at #3 all time is amazing. Secondly, winning comes in time, not everyone can come in and be Otto Graham, the greatest football player who ever played (not just QB). Romo has accomplished some incredible record breaking stuff in just THREE seasons as the starting QB. The postseason rewards will come.

Third, Romo's playoff performances as a QB did not result in the losses. Football is a team sport, and Romo's team (specifically the D & the holder :)) let them down.
Passer rating has a higher correlation with winning percentage than yards per attempt.

Also, the D played pretty well in that Giants playoff game. It was receivers and the O-line that let Romo down in the Giants playoff game.
 

BAT

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theogt;2946714 said:
Passer rating has a higher correlation with winning percentage than yards per attempt.

Also, the D played pretty well in that Giants playoff game. It was receivers and the O-line that let Romo down in the Giants playoff game.

Passer rating rewards short passes over long passes. Its basically a long hand off, so Bill Walsh's boys are predominantly acclaimed. Higher correlation w/winning? Where & how is that calculated? What comes first, the chicken or the passer rating.

And the ST & D completely crapped itself by allowing the big return and subsequent TD right before the half. Yes, the OL and WRs also laid an egg down the stretch, but the ST & D dug a hole for the Cowboys offense allowing the Giants' pass rush to T off in the second half.

I watch the games too.
 

theogt

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BAT;2946745 said:
Passer rating rewards short passes over long passes. Its basically a long hand off, so Bill Walsh's boys are predominantly acclaimed.
Passer rating rewards more yards per pass. That can come via shorter passes, intermediate passes, or longer passes. It's not biased toward anything, though simply chunking long balls all day long probably isn't advisable to obtain the highest QB rating. Then again, it's not advisable to obtain the highest winning percentage either.

Higher correlation w/winning? Where & how is that calculated? What comes first, the chicken or the passer rating.
It's calculated by running a correlation study between the statistics.

And the ST & D completely crapped itself by allowing the big return and subsequent TD right before the half. Yes, the OL and WRs also laid an egg down the stretch, but the ST & D dug a hole for the Cowboys offense allowing the Giants' pass rush to T off in the second half.

I watch the games too.
I don't think giving up a touchdown early in the game allows anyone to blame a loss on the defense -- otherwise most losses would be blamed on the defense. In that playoff game the defense held the Giants to multiple 3 and outs late in the game to give the offense the ball and the opportunity to take the lead.
 
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