Some Interesting Stats about New England

[JohnnyHopkins]

After watching all of the Patriots games and reviewing their final numbers, there are some interesting stats that leave me feeling a little concerend about an aggressive blitzing defense, but quite confident that Dallas can put up as many points as New England this Sunday. Follow along, I welcome your conclusions:

Interesting Stat #1: Worst Big Play Defense in History?: The Patriots defense is on a historical pace to give up more big plays than any team in NFL History. They average seven plays of 20+ yards given up per game. To put it in context, the worst team over the last fifteen years (2004 Chiefs) averaged just over 5 per game. This is not because teams must pass to keep up, but because the Pats are flat out terrible. Consider that they have only played against one "top 10" passing offense (San Diego at #6) and two in the bottom third, but yield twenty more yards per game than the next worst.

Interesting Stat #2: Brady kills the Blitz: Bad news for Dallas. Tom Brady was statistically the best in the league against the Blitz with a 132+ QB rating prior to last weekend (I doubt it changed much after the Jets, but I'm not going to pay money to find out!). Beware of throwing the kitchen sink at Brady, because if it does not get there, then......

Interesting Stat #3 - The Pats are tied for the most "Big Plays" on offense this season: Even though they are giving up seven big plays per contest, they are averaging just under seven plays of 20+ yards themselves. Not surprising of course. It seems that, on the heels of the Jets victory last January, teams have tried to blitz more to get to Brady and Brady has simply made them pay. Big plays and quick scores, which leads to another interesting stat.....

Interesting Stat #4 - Win Time of Possession, Lose to the Pats: Flying in the face of "Ball Control Offense", The Patriots are 3-0 when they lose the time of possession battle and 1-1 when they win (Bills/Jets). Furthermore outside of the loss to Buffalo, the Jets were their most closely contested game. I wonder if there has ever been a team that has won every game where they have lost the time of possession?

Anyway, this game has all the makings of a serious high-scoring affair, but there is no reason to write Dallas off because it is in NE, even if they get behind, because....

Interesting Stat #5 - Tony Romo's QB Rating is much higher and he has not thrown an interception when playing from behind this season! Romo has a QB rating of 94.9 when playing from behind this season with 0 Interceptions, but a QB rating of 87.9 with 3 interceptions when playing with the lead.

It should be a great game and I seriously believe that Dallas can leave with a win. Regardless, it should be one heck of a shoot-out.

 

[AZ_Cowboys_Fan]

After watching all of the Patriots games and reviewing their final numbers, there are some interesting stats that leave me feeling a little concerend about an aggressive blitzing defense, but quite confident that Dallas can put up as many points as New England this Sunday. Follow along, I welcome your conclusions:

Interesting Stat #1: Worst Big Play Defense in History?: The Patriots defense is on a historical pace to give up more big plays than any team in NFL History. They average seven plays of 20+ yards given up per game. To put it in context, the worst team over the last fifteen years (2004 Chiefs) averaged just over 5 per game. This is not because teams must pass to keep up, but because the Pats are flat out terrible. Consider that they have only played against one "top 10" passing offense (San Diego at #6) and two in the bottom third, but yield twenty more yards per game than the next worst.

Interesting Stat #2: Brady kills the Blitz: Bad news for Dallas. Tom Brady was statistically the best in the league against the Blitz with a 132+ QB rating prior to last weekend (I doubt it changed much after the Jets, but I'm not going to pay money to find out!). Beware of throwing the kitchen sink at Brady, because if it does not get there, then......

Interesting Stat #3 - The Pats are tied for the most "Big Plays" on offense this season: Even though they are giving up seven big plays per contest, they are averaging just under seven plays of 20+ yards themselves. Not surprising of course. It seems that, on the heels of the Jets victory last January, teams have tried to blitz more to get to Brady and Brady has simply made them pay. Big plays and quick scores, which leads to another interesting stat.....

Interesting Stat #4 - Win Time of Possession, Lose to the Pats: Flying in the face of "Ball Control Offense", The Patriots are 3-0 when they lose the time of possession battle and 1-1 when they win (Bills/Jets). Furthermore outside of the loss to Buffalo, the Jets were their most closely contested game. I wonder if there has ever been a team that has won every game where they have lost the time of possession?

Anyway, this game has all the makings of a serious high-scoring affair, but there is no reason to write Dallas off because it is in NE, even if they get behind, because....

Interesting Stat #5 - Tony Romo's QB Rating is much higher and he has not thrown an interception when playing from behind this season! Romo has a QB rating of 94.9 when playing from behind this season with 0 Interceptions, but a QB rating of 87.9 with 3 interceptions when playing with the lead.

It should be a great game and I seriously believe that Dallas can leave with a win. Regardless, it should be one heck of a shoot-out.

Excellent post. My gut feeling says that Rob will not be able to put the clamps down on Brady quite as well as he did last year with Cleveland. You are right about blitzing, Brady has been roasting teams when blitzed this year. Having said that, I believe we can keep NE under 30. I do not believe NE can keep Dallas under 30.... not with all the weapons we have. Yeah, they have won a million games in a row at home. Streaks were made to be broken.

 

[28 Joker]

San Diego turned the football over 4 times. If the Chargers don't turn it over, they win.

 

[EPL0c0]

#2 is something they kind of talked about on "Frist Take" today how good QBs love being blitzed because they know it likely means man-coverage. With a guy like Welker, that could be a killer, so I wonder if Rob doesn't dial back the extra-blitzers this week or fakes the blitzes more often.

I think Dallas has to hope that the Dline and at least 1 OLB can get enough consistant pressure on Brady to force a mistake or two and that the coverage can handle the receivers.

 

[Galian Beast]

#2 is something they kind of talked about on "Frist Take" today how good QBs love being blitzed because they know it likely means man-coverage. With a guy like Welker, that could be a killer, so I wonder if Rob doesn't dial back the extra-blitzers this week or fakes the blitzes more often.

I think Dallas has to hope that the Dline and at least 1 OLB can get enough consistant pressure on Brady to force a mistake or two and that the coverage can handle the receivers.

We're a pretty exotic team, that the nature of rob's defense. It can be a blitz, but it could be a zone blitz.

One point Ryan has made to the defense is to hide and mix up the pre snap formation. It's actually pretty sick when you watch it on the defensive side, when looking at tape.

I've seen tape from NFL Network showing all the guys standing up until the ball is snapped.

 

[Galian Beast]

San Diego turned the football over 4 times. If the Chargers don't turn it over, they win.

This is a great point.

two interceptions two fumbles, and they lost by 14...

I definitely think if the cowboys play to their potential and play smart, we win this game.

 

[InmanRoshi]

Mangini did a really good job of breaking down the way their blitzes worked against Brady on ESPN. You can't "conventionally" blitz Brady, because he's too good picking it up in his pre-snap reads and finding the hot routes. Their whole offense is built around hot routes. Mangini/Ryan confused him because they gave him no pre snap reads. All the players stood up and moved all over the field before the snap. The CBs play very physical at the line of scrimmage to tie up the WRs to prevent them from getting into their short routes that Brady likes to hit on the dink and dunks.

 

[casmith07]

This is a great point.

two interceptions two fumbles, and they lost by 14...

I definitely think if the cowboys play to their potential and play smart, we win this game.

Agreed.

Honestly, with New England's defense, I think the Cowboys could not come out and play like world beaters and win, granted we don't give them the ball.

 

[shockandroll]

After watching all of the Patriots games and reviewing their final numbers, there are some interesting stats that leave me feeling a little concerend about an aggressive blitzing defense, but quite confident that Dallas can put up as many points as New England this Sunday. Follow along, I welcome your conclusions:

Interesting Stat #1: Worst Big Play Defense in History?: The Patriots defense is on a historical pace to give up more big plays than any team in NFL History. They average seven plays of 20+ yards given up per game. To put it in context, the worst team over the last fifteen years (2004 Chiefs) averaged just over 5 per game. This is not because teams must pass to keep up, but because the Pats are flat out terrible. Consider that they have only played against one "top 10" passing offense (San Diego at #6) and two in the bottom third, but yield twenty more yards per game than the next worst.

Interesting Stat #2: Brady kills the Blitz: Bad news for Dallas. Tom Brady was statistically the best in the league against the Blitz with a 132+ QB rating prior to last weekend (I doubt it changed much after the Jets, but I'm not going to pay money to find out!). Beware of throwing the kitchen sink at Brady, because if it does not get there, then......

Interesting Stat #3 - The Pats are tied for the most "Big Plays" on offense this season: Even though they are giving up seven big plays per contest, they are averaging just under seven plays of 20+ yards themselves. Not surprising of course. It seems that, on the heels of the Jets victory last January, teams have tried to blitz more to get to Brady and Brady has simply made them pay. Big plays and quick scores, which leads to another interesting stat.....

Interesting Stat #4 - Win Time of Possession, Lose to the Pats: Flying in the face of "Ball Control Offense", The Patriots are 3-0 when they lose the time of possession battle and 1-1 when they win (Bills/Jets). Furthermore outside of the loss to Buffalo, the Jets were their most closely contested game. I wonder if there has ever been a team that has won every game where they have lost the time of possession?

Anyway, this game has all the makings of a serious high-scoring affair, but there is no reason to write Dallas off because it is in NE, even if they get behind, because....

Interesting Stat #5 - Tony Romo's QB Rating is much higher and he has not thrown an interception when playing from behind this season! Romo has a QB rating of 94.9 when playing from behind this season with 0 Interceptions, but a QB rating of 87.9 with 3 interceptions when playing with the lead.

It should be a great game and I seriously believe that Dallas can leave with a win. Regardless, it should be one heck of a shoot-out.

Kitchen sink was not referring to the blitz, it means they will use multiple looks against him to confuse him. This includes showing blitz and then dropping back into coverage.

 

[cowboyeric8]

*19-1 in last 20 regular season home games

 

[dmq]

Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think our defense blitzes a ton. This game is won inside and I am pretty happy that we have Lee in there. His quick reads hopefully will limit how many yards are gained on the hot route. I also think Scandrick is important here too. Those hot routes get first downs because of how slow some slot CBs and ILBs react.That said, this game depends on how bad we want it and the turnovers.

 

[cityofchampions]

San Diego turned the football over 4 times. If the Chargers don't turn it over, they win.

Uhm... you can say that about any game. How many INT has the Dallas defense gotten this year? Take those away and maybe Dallas doesn't win lol....

 

[TB12]

This is a great point.

two interceptions two fumbles, and they lost by 14...

I definitely think if the cowboys play to their potential and play smart, we win this game.

did you ever stop to think that it was the patriots that caused some of those turnovers?

 

[Future]

Uhm... you can say that about any game. How many INT has the Dallas defense gotten this year? Take those away and maybe Dallas doesn't win lol....

Yea but take away the ones against the Jets and Det and we win both...so still 2-2? :laugh2:

 

[Yankee]

After watching all of the Patriots games and reviewing their final numbers, there are some interesting stats that leave me feeling a little concerend about an aggressive blitzing defense, but quite confident that Dallas can put up as many points as New England this Sunday. Follow along, I welcome your conclusions:

Interesting Stat #1: Worst Big Play Defense in History?: The Patriots defense is on a historical pace to give up more big plays than any team in NFL History. They average seven plays of 20+ yards given up per game. To put it in context, the worst team over the last fifteen years (2004 Chiefs) averaged just over 5 per game. This is not because teams must pass to keep up, but because the Pats are flat out terrible. Consider that they have only played against one "top 10" passing offense (San Diego at #6) and two in the bottom third, but yield twenty more yards per game than the next worst.

Uh, theres a team called the Buffalo Bills who is ranked 3rd in passing. And, currently Oakland is ranked 6th per Football Outsiders.

Interesting Stat #2: Brady kills the Blitz: Bad news for Dallas. Tom Brady was statistically the best in the league against the Blitz with a 132+ QB rating prior to last weekend (I doubt it changed much after the Jets, but I'm not going to pay money to find out!). Beware of throwing the kitchen sink at Brady, because if it does not get there, then......

Interesting Stat #3 - The Pats are tied for the most "Big Plays" on offense this season: Even though they are giving up seven big plays per contest, they are averaging just under seven plays of 20+ yards themselves. Not surprising of course. It seems that, on the heels of the Jets victory last January, teams have tried to blitz more to get to Brady and Brady has simply made them pay. Big plays and quick scores, which leads to another interesting stat.....

Interesting Stat #4 - Win Time of Possession, Lose to the Pats: Flying in the face of "Ball Control Offense", The Patriots are 3-0 when they lose the time of possession battle and 1-1 when they win (Bills/Jets). Furthermore outside of the loss to Buffalo, the Jets were their most closely contested game. I wonder if there has ever been a team that has won every game where they have lost the time of possession?

Anyway, this game has all the makings of a serious high-scoring affair, but there is no reason to write Dallas off because it is in NE, even if they get behind, because....

Interesting Stat #5 - Tony Romo's QB Rating is much higher and he has not thrown an interception when playing from behind this season! Romo has a QB rating of 94.9 when playing from behind this season with 0 Interceptions, but a QB rating of 87.9 with 3 interceptions when playing with the lead.

It should be a great game and I seriously believe that Dallas can leave with a win. Regardless, it should be one heck of a shoot-out.

Romo is your biggest liability.

 

[fortdick]

Uh, theres a team called the Buffalo Bills who is ranked 3rd in passing. And, currently Oakland is ranked 6th per Football Outsiders.



Romo is your biggest liability.

He is also our biggest asset. You would have to admit, when he doesn't make the bad throw, he is capable of beating anyone.

This game will be more about defense than most people will admit. I like our D over the Pats D. It boils down to who makes the turnovers. Austin should help that in a big way.

 

[Yankee]

He is also our biggest asset. You would have to admit, when he doesn't make the bad throw, he is capable of beating anyone.

This game will be more about defense than most people will admit. I like our D over the Pats D. It boils down to who makes the turnovers. Austin should help that in a big way.

I think the Dallas defense will be tough to run on, but wont be able to stop the pass. The Pats have too many receiving weapons for the Cowboys to take away all of them.

Guys who contribute a lot - Gronkowski, Hernandez, Branch, Welker.

Guys who are role players - Ocho Johnson, Woodhead, Edleman, Slater

Rob Ryan will be looking to stop the NE run game since they just hung 150 rushing yards on his big fat brother.

 

[sonnyboy]

He is also our biggest asset. You would have to admit, when he doesn't make the bad throw, he is capable of beating anyone.

This game will be more about defense than most people will admit. I like our D over the Pats D. It boils down to who makes the turnovers. Austin should help that in a big way.

Don't wate your time trying to talk civil to the troll.

 

[TB12]

He is also our biggest asset. You would have to admit, when he doesn't make the bad throw, he is capable of beating anyone.

This game will be more about defense than most people will admit. I like our D over the Pats D. It boils down to who makes the turnovers. Austin should help that in a big way.

Maybe, but our offense is a lot better than dallas's.