Something doesn't add up (the point spread vs Washington)

[OGCowboy]

Line seems right...Vegas knows it’s going to be a low scoring game...pretty sure we all do
Hence the 3.5 pt spread
Even if Dallas had been lightning the scoreboard up lately....line would still not hit 7

 

[Majic]

I can see the line at -3 now in places. I would suggest some sharp money on Commanders in Vegas.

I thought it was odd in Week 2 Steelers at home against Patriots and Patriots were the favourites much to my surprise. They did win as well.

I would have thought Cowboys line would have been -4 to -5.5, so I agree it is odd

 

[Batman1980]

I would imagine it has to due with a lot of W-Commanders fans betting on their team to win moreso than the overall NFL community believing it's likely.

 

[okstateCowboy]

not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.

Not sure I’m following you… lines come out before any money is laid. Line ares determined by a combination of quantitative and qualitative factors. Books run hundreds of thousands of simulations and layer in market sentiment, injury reports, etc. to get a spread that will get even money on both sides.

 

[Bullflop]

I'm believing that those 3-1/2 pts. are about right, considering this is a divisional matchup. Washington is coming off of a really disappointing loss and will surely be determined to give their best effort to take it to us. They have a stout defense that is normally very tough to run against. They will most likely be determined to give Rush all they have to pressure him into mistakes. Let's hope he'll continue to deliver his passes quite timely, to offset their efforts to pressure him into incomplete passes. These divisional matchups with the WFT are usually close ones. Be hoping we'll be well prepared for the test.

 

[WarDaddy]

The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

The Commanders have actually scored points this year. The other teams we have played so far have not. Understanding that they had a very rough game against the Eagles, the Commanders have looked formidable on offense and are a division rival. A 3 point spread for us at home prices that this game is pretty much a toss up.

I’m concerned that the we may have to score three touchdowns to win this game and we haven’t done that yet this year.

 

[CWR]

not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.

Well yeah, but the points have to start somewhere, before betting comes in. I would've expected Dallas -5.5 or 6 ISH.

Of course if it's not moving the line is set appropriately.

 

[Aerolithe_Lion]

The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

Commanders offense was one of the best in the league after the first 2 weeks, so the point spread indicates they don’t expect Washington to play like they did against the lone undefeated team every week

 

[sunalsorises]

There is a formula. I am not totally sure of what factors into it but teams will get 3 points for being at home, for example. Then the spread shifts according to factors like injuries, weather, and how many women Dan Snyder mistreats.

 

[conner01]

not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.

I don’t get why fans don’t get this
The spread is to keep as close to even betting on both teams so the house can’t lose

 

[nightrain]

Those in the know are keeping the line close.

 

[Whirlwin]

The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

We have a back up quarterback.

 

[Big D]

I fully expect Washington to sell out on stopping our run game to put the pressure on the backup qb to pull it out. I hope we actually force them to stop it before going away from it on our own.

 

[buybuydandavis]

Dallas was tied in the 4th quarter of both of their wins. The games could've gone either way and I'm glad the Cowboys won them, but let's not act like they were blowouts.

The Cowboys are playing conservatively on offense and riding the defense. That tends to make the games close.

Good technical point.

The over/under point spread is different from likelihood of winning.

 

[Jimbo123]

Looks they are trying to attract bets for Washington.

If they were trying to attract bets for Washington the number would be higher.

 

[Rockport]

The line in this game is 3 1/2 wait what? You mean to tell me as well as the Cowboys have played and how poorly the "Commanders" looked last week that the line in this game is all of 3 1/2 points. Ya maybe I could see this being the line if the Cowboys were on the road but at home??? Something is very fishy here so stay tuned.

Cowboys are playing with a backup QB is one reason.

 

[loublue22]

ESPN is giving WAS a 58% chance to win

 

[fredp22]

not really
Point spread has little to
do with reality. the money leans one way, hence the points. i guess not enough betters believe in our Boys yet.

?????????
the point spread has little to do with reality........what? really??? what the

 

[JohnsKey19]

2.5-3.5 seems right to me. This is an even ballgame. Dallas gets the extra points playing at home.

 

[JBS]

Not sure I’m following you… lines come out before any money is laid. Line ares determined by a combination of quantitative and qualitative factors. Books run hundreds of thousands of simulations and layer in market sentiment, injury reports, etc. to get a spread that will get even money on both sides.

you aren’t following him because he’s clueless