Statistical Heat Map - Cowboys performance with Romo as starter

Nation

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I put together the attached after seeing something slightly similar on twitter about Cam Newton, and I wanted to take a look at a shakeout in the statistics to see if there was anything the eye test has been missing about our QB's career.

My main takeaways were:
  1. A threat of a running game, not necessarily actually rushing the ball 30 times a game, but the threat that you can't just play a soft nickel and not pay for it makes for a VERY deadly Tony Romo when it comes to efficiency. When you put up seasons with 9-10 games with a QB rating above 100, and limit yourself to one or two true clunkers you will win a lot of games. NFL teams last year were 136-35 when posting a passer rating above 100, and 1111-274 since 2006.
  2. An efficient Tony Romo plus a non-terrible defense makes for an appearance in the NFL Playoff Divisional Round.
I've never been one to crown a team in late-October, let alone late-May, but I think this 2015 team may have the potential to shade the entire map green in 2015 should the defensive additions pay off.
 
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I don't think there is anything startling or new with your takeaways. I think most people new this. But it's still nice to see our observations confirmed with your numbers.

Good job putting it all together.
 

Nation

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Why does it say we only rushed the ball 4 times a game in 2014?

That is their rank in the NFL in that statistic, which means there were three teams that ran the ball more often than we did
 

Yakuza Rich

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I think Romo's biggest strength is his ability to throw those intermediate patterns. He's not really good at the dink and dunk stuff and screens. I don't think he's terribly accurate on the long throws, but overall he tends to be effective.

Also, the book on Romo seemed to be to blitz him prior to 2013. We saw Haslett doing this quite a bit. I think part of it was that the Dallas O-Line wasn't reliable to pick up blitzes prior to 2013. The other part was if Romo started to pick apart the blitz, you could see where he's going with the ball and then bait him into a pick with a dummy blitz and/or coverage. The other thing is that D-Coordinators tend to not blitz as much when the opponent can run the ball because there's always that fear of the tailback getting behind the blitz and having a huge play when all the offense had to do was hand the ball off.

Plus, Romo is excellent at play action. It's very difficult to use play action against a blitz.

So, by running the ball more often (and yes, we also ran it great), we made opposing D-Coordinators less likely to blitz and that allowed us to use the play action more often. And because they couldn't blitz as much, there were less dink-and-dunk throws to keep the clock moving and to avoid Tony getting hit all of the time.

We saw this in the first game against the Skins. We didn't run the ball well and we too quickly started to abandon the run and get more dink-n-dunk. Couldn't set up the bigger pass plays and the Skins could just blitz at will. Against the Eagles in the 2nd game the run game wasn't going well either, but we stuck with the run which allowed Romo to face less blitzes and set up the big pass plays to Dez.

The final missing piece (presuming the offense is still playing well) is for the defense to become a top-10 defense. That way we won't have to worry about getting down early and start neglecting the run and being able to close out games earlier on instead of allowing opponents to hang around.





YR
 

Sportsbabe

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I think Romo's biggest strength is his ability to throw those intermediate patterns. He's not really good at the dink and dunk stuff and screens. I don't think he's terribly accurate on the long throws, but overall he tends to be effective.

Also, the book on Romo seemed to be to blitz him prior to 2013. We saw Haslett doing this quite a bit. I think part of it was that the Dallas O-Line wasn't reliable to pick up blitzes prior to 2013. The other part was if Romo started to pick apart the blitz, you could see where he's going with the ball and then bait him into a pick with a dummy blitz and/or coverage. The other thing is that D-Coordinators tend to not blitz as much when the opponent can run the ball because there's always that fear of the tailback getting behind the blitz and having a huge play when all the offense had to do was hand the ball off.

Plus, Romo is excellent at play action. It's very difficult to use play action against a blitz.

So, by running the ball more often (and yes, we also ran it great), we made opposing D-Coordinators less likely to blitz and that allowed us to use the play action more often. And because they couldn't blitz as much, there were less dink-and-dunk throws to keep the clock moving and to avoid Tony getting hit all of the time.

We saw this in the first game against the Skins. We didn't run the ball well and we too quickly started to abandon the run and get more dink-n-dunk. Couldn't set up the bigger pass plays and the Skins could just blitz at will. Against the Eagles in the 2nd game the run game wasn't going well either, but we stuck with the run which allowed Romo to face less blitzes and set up the big pass plays to Dez.

The final missing piece (presuming the offense is still playing well) is for the defense to become a top-10 defense. That way we won't have to worry about getting down early and start neglecting the run and being able to close out games earlier on instead of allowing opponents to hang around.





YR

I also think he's excellent at reading defenses .... Which the talking heads never give him credit for. He puts his team in the best play just as good as Peyton.
 

Yakuza Rich

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I also think he's excellent at reading defenses .... Which the talking heads never give him credit for. He puts his team in the best play just as good as Peyton.

I think he's pretty good, but not excellent. He missed Dez a lot of times in 2013 while having all day to throw. That got corrected in 2014, but he can throw up some real stinkers with reading defenses like the Washington game. One of the issues has been that he tries to get too cute and perfect with his pre-snap reads and a lot of times they are just dummy looks from the defense and it wastes the play-clock. It just makes the blitzers/pass rushers job easier a they now have the snap and the clock to time their jump.




YR
 

DFWJC

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I think he's pretty good, but not excellent. He missed Dez a lot of times in 2013 while having all day to throw. That got corrected in 2014, but he can throw up some real stinkers with reading defenses like the Washington game. One of the issues has been that he tries to get too cute and perfect with his pre-snap reads and a lot of times they are just dummy looks from the defense and it wastes the play-clock. It just makes the blitzers/pass rushers job easier a they now have the snap and the clock to time their jump.




YR

Yes, we are aware of your massive blind spot regarding Romo.
Its ok, we all have one somewhere.
:D
 
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