Oh I certainly agree, said earlier this season I'd have to wait for 3-4 games before we could evaluate the team to any degree, though when I said that we hadn't lost VanderEsch, Awuzie and others, injuries can certainly derail progress.
If memory serves, when the Raiders became the first wild card team to win the SB, it was because they had early injuries and so lost a few games, but after those players got back the team was SB worthy. This season we had to deal with no camp, pre-season, etc. as well of course, but if we can get Smith, et al back by, say, game 5 or 6 we might still have a shot...