Super Bowl Predictions for NFC Based on Stats

[rwalters31]

This is a prediction of who from the NFC has the best chance on getting to the Super Bowl based on Stats.

At this point in the season let’s look at the teams with the best chance at getting to the Super Bowl. The 1st criteria is the best defense based on three criteria:

1) The least amount of points/game allowed

2) The least amount of yards/game allowed

3) The most take a ways

NFC

Points/game Yards/game Take A ways

Vikings 16.9 308.8 18

Seahawks 17.6 338.4 10

Cardinals 17.8 295.2 16

Eagles 17.8 323.0 16

Cowboys 18.9 345.7 10

Giants 20.5 371.2 9

Lions 22.9 366.3 7

Commanders 23.2 365.4 11

This set of statistics have the top four as the best NFC Defenses to make it to the Super Bowl. Cowboys are on the outside looking in.

At this point in the season let’s look at the teams with the best chance at getting to the Super Bowl with offense as 2nd most important. This criteria is the best offense based on three criteria:

1) Points/game

2) Yards/game

3) Give a ways

NFC

Points/game Yards/game Give A ways

Cowboys 28.7 412.7 7

Eagles 25.1 344.0 10

Commanders 23.2 407.8 12

Lions 22.8 337.8 6

Cardinals 22.4 382.0 8

Seahawks 21.4 341.9 10

Giants 20.1 339.9 13

Vikings 19.4 302.3 6

The teams with the best chance to get to the Super Bowl from the NFC based on Defense 1st and Offense 2nd based on points/game and turn overs are:

Defense Offense

Points/gm Take A Ways Points/gm Give A Ways

1) Eagles 17.8 16 25.1 10

2) Seahawks 17.6 10 21.4 10 Bad Turn over ratio reason for 2nd

3) Cardinals 17.8 16 22.4 8

4) Cowboys 18.9 10 28.7 7 Long Shot based on Defense

 

[ActualCowboysFan]

More nonsense based on simple counting stats.

 

[LandryFan]

This is a prediction of who from the NFC has the best chance on getting to the Super Bowl based on Stats.

At this point in the season let’s look at the teams with the best chance at getting to the Super Bowl. The 1st criteria is the best defense based on three criteria:

1) The least amount of points/game allowed

2) The least amount of yards/game allowed

3) The most take a ways

NFC

Points/game Yards/game Take A ways

Vikings 16.9 308.8 18

Seahawks 17.6 338.4 10

Cardinals 17.8 295.2 16

Eagles 17.8 323.0 16

Cowboys 18.9 345.7 10

Giants 20.5 371.2 9

Lions 22.9 366.3 7

Commanders 23.2 365.4 11

This set of statistics have the top four as the best NFC Defenses to make it to the Super Bowl. Cowboys are on the outside looking in.

At this point in the season let’s look at the teams with the best chance at getting to the Super Bowl with offense as 2nd most important. This criteria is the best offense based on three criteria:

1) Points/game

2) Yards/game

3) Give a ways

NFC

Points/game Yards/game Give A ways

Cowboys 28.7 412.7 7

Eagles 25.1 344.0 10

Commanders 23.2 407.8 12

Lions 22.8 337.8 6

Cardinals 22.4 382.0 8

Seahawks 21.4 341.9 10

Giants 20.1 339.9 13

Vikings 19.4 302.3 6

The teams with the best chance to get to the Super Bowl from the NFC based on Defense 1st and Offense 2nd based on points/game and turn overs are:

Defense Offense

Points/gm Take A Ways Points/gm Give A Ways

1) Eagles 17.8 16 25.1 10

2) Seahawks 17.6 10 21.4 10 Bad Turn over ratio reason for 2nd

3) Cardinals 17.8 16 22.4 8

4) Cowboys 18.9 10 28.7 7 Long Shot based on Defense

Other important stats worthy of consideration:
Dallas: 8-1 (+ 88 point differential, +9.8/game)
Seattle: 6-2-1 (+35 pt differential, +3.9/game)
Phil: 5-4 (+66 pt differential, +7.3 per game)
Arizona: 4-4-1 (+42 pt differential, +4.7/game)

Win-loss stat is the most important stat...give me Dallas over any of those.
Are you seriously putting Dallas behind Arizona and Philly (whom Dallas has beaten in their one game played so far), or am I missing your point? Dallas has not won a single game due to luck or some strange bounce of the ball. They've played solid football ever single week and have the record they deserve. Simply put, they're 1 1/2 games ahead of their nearest competitor with seven left to play.

 

[jazzcat22]

The best way to determine this...Dallas 8-1, the next closest NE at 7-2, well a few other 2 loss teams as well.

 

[rwalters31]

Other important stats worthy of consideration:
Dallas: 8-1 (+ 88 point differential, +9.8/game)
Seattle: 6-2-1 (+35 pt differential, +3.9/game)
Phil: 5-4 (+66 pt differential, +7.3 per game)
Arizona: 4-4-1 (+42 pt differential, +4.7/game)

Win-loss stat is the most important stat...give me Dallas over any of those.
Are you seriously putting Dallas behind Arizona and Philly (whom Dallas has beaten in their one game played so far), or am I missing your point? Dallas has not won a single game due to luck or some strange bounce of the ball. They've played solid football ever single week and have the record they deserve. Simply put, they're 1 1/2 games ahead of their nearest competitor with seven left to play.

What I am showing is that the stats indicate a tread that history indicates a true way of predicting the future. Defense is the only true indicator of teams that WILL be in the playoffs. Defense wins CHAMPIONSHIPS so the stats are good indicators of who will be there in the end. Dallas right now looks like the 13-3 team that was one and done in the playoffs. So the wise-man would defiantly take notice of the stats before betting the farm.

 

[LandryFan]

What I am showing is that the stats indicate a tread that history indicates a true way of predicting the future. Defense is the only true indicator of teams that WILL be in the playoffs. Defense wins CHAMPIONSHIPS so the stats are good indicators of who will be there in the end. Dallas right now looks like the 13-3 team that was one and done in the playoffs. So the wise-man would defiantly take notice of the stats before betting the farm.

First, I wouldn't bet a nickel on any game. If you are saying Dallas is not as well off for the playoffs as Arizona or Philadelphia, then I guess I just disagree no matter what your stats say. If Dallas is flawed (and they are, make no mistake), then those other teams are more flawed. I get statistics...I understand what they say. Statistics can be manipulated to make just about any point you want to make. So a wise man would definitely take notice of the stats before betting the farm, and then NOT use them (in a vacuum) to bet the farm. JMO.

 

[StarOfGlory]

Unless the Eagles prove that they won't give games away I can't take them as a serious threat. If they can clear that up then yes, they will be a force to reckon with based on their defense. I'm shocked at how they shut down Atlanta. Arizona? I don't trust a team that inconsistent. The Vikings don'y have much of an offense anymore. We are #1 right now based on the only record that counts at this point of the season: 8-1.

 

[rwalters31]

First, I wouldn't bet a nickel on any game. If you are saying Dallas is not as well off for the playoffs as Arizona or Philadelphia, then I guess I just disagree no matter what your stats say. If Dallas is flawed (and they are, make no mistake), then those other teams are more flawed. I get statistics...I understand what they say. Statistics can be manipulated to make just about any point you want to make. So a wise man would definitely take notice of the stats before betting the farm, and then NOT use them (in a vacuum) to bet the farm. JMO.

OK, lets see who is right. The Cowboy team that went 13-3 and was one and done by a team that also looked less than the Cowboys but were strong in defense and the Cowboys strong on offense. The other team did not win the Super Bowl but I had used the same stats to make a prediction that came true about the Cowboys. If you want to see facts about stats you should look back at the team that beat the 13-3 Cowboys and see if there is any similarities.


Points/gm Take A Ways Points/gm Give A Ways

1) Eagles 17.8 16 25.1 10

2) Seahawks 17.6 10 21.4 10 Bad Turn over ratio reason for 2nd

3) Cardinals 17.8 16 22.4 8

4) Cowboys 18.9 10 28.7 7 Long Shot based on Defense

 

[HoosierCowboy]

Pack up the gear and turn out the lights, boys; season's over.

 

[Sydla]

Unless the Eagles prove that they won't give games away I can't take them as a serious threat. If they can clear that up then yes, they will be a force to reckon with based on their defense. I'm shocked at how they shut down Atlanta. Arizona? I don't trust a team that inconsistent. The Vikings don'y have much of an offense anymore. We are #1 right now based on the only record that counts at this point of the season: 8-1.

They also have to prove they can win on the road. Eagles are just not very good on the road.

 

[LandryFan]

OK, lets see who is right. The Cowboy team that went 13-3 and was one and done by a team that also looked less than the Cowboys but were strong in defense and the Cowboys strong on offense. The other team did not win the Super Bowl but I had used the same stats to make a prediction that came true about the Cowboys. If you want to see facts about stats you should look back at the team that beat the 13-3 Cowboys and see if there is any similarities.

OK, I really shouldn't debate this, but...what I'm saying is you can't just gather up stats and say anything meaningful. You have to dig deeper to see how those stats came about. One small example is that Rothlesberger had 408 yards passing yesterday. One could say "our pass defense must be atrocious" (they weren't great, admittedly). However, about 60 of those came with 9 seconds left in the game with Dallas putting the bulk of their defenders back on the goal line in prevent. Dallas willingly and gladly gave up those yards to end the game. You also have to look at the teams each team has played (do great offenses get their yards from playing poor defenses? Do great defenses have great stats playing against inferior offenses?) It all matters. You can't look at raw stats and come to definitive conclusions with certainty. One could even say the same about win/loss stats, to a degree...against what kind of competition did those wins/losses come against? Bottom line: Many, many factors play into how football stats come about. Anything can (and often does) happen in win-or-go-home games...lots of random, crazy things can happen (a wrong call by the officials?) to influence the outcome of a game. You may be right in the end. If Dallas advances to the playoffs and loses the first game, it won't necessarily be because "the stats say so", IMO.