JD_KaPow
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Definitely read the article if you enjoy reading about the Eagles' terrible drafting. But there's a bit in the middle about Lamb that I enjoyed:
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/walkthrough/2021/devonta-smith-and-eagles-draft-curse
Lamb of Props
Based on my Twitter timeline, CeeDee Lamb is poised to catch 150 passes for 2,000 yards this season, and possibly to wield the Infinity Gauntlet. There have been So. Many. Highlights.
There is no reason to doubt that Lamb is having a phenomenal camp or that he is poised for a stellar season, even if his 2021 numbers get nerfed due to a lack of footballs to go around. But it's easy to be the league's training camp MVP when the local media is allowed to shoot video during practice and permitted to stand someplace with a good viewing/filming angle. Most local press corps are forbidden from shooting anything except warmups, and some are strategically placed so they are watching practice from the parking lot of a nearby Costco. I have never been to Oxnard, but it appears that Cowboys reporters are allowed to fly drones over the field during full-team drills. I'm jealous, and I think all camps should operate that way. But until I become NFL commissioner, the fact remains that the more cameras trained on each red zone drill, the more likely it becomes that a strong-but-not-atypical camp becomes the Story of the Summer.
That said, Lamb looks phenomenal, so I surrendered to the GIFs, combed my favorite legal sportsbook for Lamb-related props, and found this gem:
Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup & CeeDee Lamb to combine for at least 3,500 Regular-Season Receiving Yards +400
Cooper, Gallup and Lamb combined for 2,982 yards with Andy Dalton, Garrett Gilbert, and Ben DiNucci fluttering passes at them for most of last season. Their combined yardage for Dak Prescott's five starts (1,205 yards) projects to 4,097 yards over a 17-game season. Our combined KUBIAK projection for the trio is 2,953; our projections tend to be conservative, and a +400 moneyline is worth stretching an extra 550 yards. And wagering on all three of them means not worrying about which one of them siphons targets from the other two.
The only reason I haven't already played that Cooper-Gallup-Lamb prop is that I still have a Philly Guy aversion to doing anything that will encourage me to root for the Cowboys.
No other Lamb props are really enticing right now. Lamb is +2500 to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but of course Cooper and Gallup will have some say in that. Lamb also appears to be creeping up the ADP rankings, but he's likely to hit an asymptote somewhere early in the third round because of Cooper, Gallup, and being a wide receiver.
If Lamb is poised for a breakout season, the "breakout" may be more visible in the Cowboys' win-loss record than in his individual stats. Lamb could lift the Cowboys receiving corps up to the Chiefs' "there's no way to cover everyone" level. Prescott must stay healthy for it to happen, and Mike McCarthy must return to early 2010s form by staying out of success' way. But it's very possible.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/walkthrough/2021/devonta-smith-and-eagles-draft-curse
Lamb of Props
Based on my Twitter timeline, CeeDee Lamb is poised to catch 150 passes for 2,000 yards this season, and possibly to wield the Infinity Gauntlet. There have been So. Many. Highlights.
There is no reason to doubt that Lamb is having a phenomenal camp or that he is poised for a stellar season, even if his 2021 numbers get nerfed due to a lack of footballs to go around. But it's easy to be the league's training camp MVP when the local media is allowed to shoot video during practice and permitted to stand someplace with a good viewing/filming angle. Most local press corps are forbidden from shooting anything except warmups, and some are strategically placed so they are watching practice from the parking lot of a nearby Costco. I have never been to Oxnard, but it appears that Cowboys reporters are allowed to fly drones over the field during full-team drills. I'm jealous, and I think all camps should operate that way. But until I become NFL commissioner, the fact remains that the more cameras trained on each red zone drill, the more likely it becomes that a strong-but-not-atypical camp becomes the Story of the Summer.
That said, Lamb looks phenomenal, so I surrendered to the GIFs, combed my favorite legal sportsbook for Lamb-related props, and found this gem:
Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup & CeeDee Lamb to combine for at least 3,500 Regular-Season Receiving Yards +400
Cooper, Gallup and Lamb combined for 2,982 yards with Andy Dalton, Garrett Gilbert, and Ben DiNucci fluttering passes at them for most of last season. Their combined yardage for Dak Prescott's five starts (1,205 yards) projects to 4,097 yards over a 17-game season. Our combined KUBIAK projection for the trio is 2,953; our projections tend to be conservative, and a +400 moneyline is worth stretching an extra 550 yards. And wagering on all three of them means not worrying about which one of them siphons targets from the other two.
The only reason I haven't already played that Cooper-Gallup-Lamb prop is that I still have a Philly Guy aversion to doing anything that will encourage me to root for the Cowboys.
No other Lamb props are really enticing right now. Lamb is +2500 to lead the NFL in receiving yards, but of course Cooper and Gallup will have some say in that. Lamb also appears to be creeping up the ADP rankings, but he's likely to hit an asymptote somewhere early in the third round because of Cooper, Gallup, and being a wide receiver.
If Lamb is poised for a breakout season, the "breakout" may be more visible in the Cowboys' win-loss record than in his individual stats. Lamb could lift the Cowboys receiving corps up to the Chiefs' "there's no way to cover everyone" level. Prescott must stay healthy for it to happen, and Mike McCarthy must return to early 2010s form by staying out of success' way. But it's very possible.

