The Dak contract conundrum

erod

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What to do?

Finding an elite QB is dadgum hard to do in a world where so few exist. Especially when you're good enough to almost never be drafting high enough to get one of the high-probability prospects. You have to find lightning in a bottle or make a better mousetrap with what you have on hand.

Dallas knows this.

They've chosen the "all in" approach to Dak Prescott as the guy to build around, partly of desire and partly of desperation. They so want to look "brilliant" with that 4th-round stroke of luck, and they also have no idea what to do if he doesn't pan out.

Betwixt rocks and hard places, going with Dak is understandable and logical. It's certainly the one and only path for this short window of time Dallas will have Tyron, Zeke, Cooper, Lawrence, Witten, etc, present and accounted for. What other option is there right now? None.

Contractually, Dak has the Cowboys over a barrel. If they let him ride another year on this deal (which they should), then he holds all the cards after this season.

Why would he sign a long-term deal next year? Take the franchise tag and play for $35 million. Injury is very low risk for QBs because they can easily return to the same form. Then, why sign the next year either? Play under the franchise again for $40 million. Kirk Cousins anybody? That dude has made $150 million doing this dance because Washington drug their feet unconvinced. Dak could posture his way to $200 million total after the 2020 season.

There's just no good answer for Dallas here.

They have to first determine how they can get to a Super Bowl with Dak, a la Brad Johnson, Trent Dilfer, Rex Grossman, young Ben Roethlisberger, Jeff Hostelter, etc. It can obviously be done because it's been done before. The recipe is smothering defense and a stout run game to go with an efficient, low-risk passing game.

However, none of those guys had monster contracts. With that approach, how can Dallas delegate a huge portion of the salary cap to a quarterback who doesn't carry the team on his back? How can they pay the needed players for that smothering defense if it's mostly going to Dak? How can they keep the offensive line together? Can they afford a single elite receiver?

You can't pay everybody, so you have to make sure you're paying the straws that stir the drink. At this moment in time, that doesn't appear to be Dak Prescott. If they back up the Brinks truck for Dak, you're going to see what's happened to Green Bay. Unload the roster, and let Rodgers determine everything.

Of course, there's some risk for Dak, too. But it's mild because there are desperate sucker teams everywhere, as Brock Osweiler, Dante Culpepper, Kirk Cousins, Joe Flacco, etc, will attest.

If he levels out at where he is, the market might not be so fertile for him. Perhaps it's best to take a lesser deal now for more security down the road. He almost certainly will NOT do that, lest the players union castrate him in the town square.

So here we are. Such is life with an average QB. Could be a helluva lot worse for sure, but just how good can it really be?

Tick, tock. Time's a wasting.
 
What to do?

Finding an elite QB is dadgum hard to do in a world where so few exist. Especially when you're good enough to almost never be drafting high enough to get one of the high-probability prospects. You have to find lightning in a bottle or make a better mousetrap with what you have on hand.

Dallas knows this.

They've chosen the "all in" approach to Dak Prescott as the guy to build around, partly of desire and partly of desperation. They so want to look "brilliant" with that 4th-round stroke of luck, and they also have no idea what to do if he doesn't pan out.

Betwixt rocks and hard places, going with Dak is understandable and logical. It's certainly the one and only path for this short window of time Dallas will have Tyron, Zeke, Cooper, Lawrence, Witten, etc, present and at their best. What other option is there right now? None.

Contractually, Dak has the Cowboys over a barrel. If they let him ride another year on this deal (which they should), then he holds all the cards after this season.

Why would he sign a long-term deal next year? Take the franchise tag and play for $35 million. Injury is very low risk for QBs because they can easily return to the same form. Then, why sign the next year either? Play under the franchise again for $40 million. Kirk Cousins anybody? That dude has made $150 million doing this dance because Washington drug their feet unconvinced. Dak could posture his way to $200 million total after the 2020 season.

There's just no good answer for Dallas here.

They have to first determine how they can get to a Super Bowl with Dak, a la Brad Johnson, Trent Dilfer, Rex Grossman, young Ben Roethlisberger, Jeff Hostelter, etc. It can obviously be done because it's been done before. The recipe is smothering defense and a stout run game to go with an efficient, low-risk passing game.

However, none of those guys had monster contracts. With that approach, how can Dallas delegate a huge portion of the salary cap to a quarterback who doesn't carry the team on his back? How can they pay the needed players for that smothering defense if it's mostly going to Dak? How can they keep the offensive line together? Can they afford a single elite receiver?

You can't pay everybody, so you have to make sure you're paying the straws that stir the drink. At this moment in time, that doesn't appear to be Dak Prescott. If they back up the Brinks truck for Dak, you're going to see what's happened to Green Bay. Unload the roster, and let Rodgers determine everything.

Of course, there's some risk for Dak, too. But it's mild because there are desperate sucker teams everywhere, as Brock Osweiler, Dante Culpepper, Kirk Cousins, Joe Flacco, etc, will attest.

If he levels out at where he is, the market might not be so fertile for him. Perhaps it's best to take a lesser deal now for more security down the road. He almost certainly will NOT do that, lest the players union castrate him in the town square.

So here we are. Such is life with an average QB. Could be a helluva lot worse for sure, but just how good can it really be?

Tick, tock. Time's a wasting.
Let's see how he does with a new coordinator.
 
The situation is simple. If Dak improves into a top 10 QB (which I think he's capable of returning to), then he's worth whatever he gets. If he stays the same or regresses, either offer an appropriate contract, or let him walk.

The situation really isn't as complex as some make it out to be. Now what the Cowboys actually end up doing, who knows. lol
 
Yup, Dallas is going to throw a 100 Million dollar contract at Dak Prescott to make their 4th round drafting expertise look good.

Ryan Switzer, Charles Tapper and BW Webb are all rubbing their hands together in anticipation of their big paydays.
 
Yup, Dallas is going to throw a 100 Million dollar contract at Dak Prescott to make their 4th round drafting expertise look good.

Ryan Switzer, Charles Tapper and BW Webb are all rubbing their hands together in anticipation of their big paydays.

$100 million doesn't even start the conversation.
 
What to do?

Finding an elite QB is dadgum hard to do in a world where so few exist. Especially when you're good enough to almost never be drafting high enough to get one of the high-probability prospects. You have to find lightning in a bottle or make a better mousetrap with what you have on hand.

Dallas knows this.

They've chosen the "all in" approach to Dak Prescott as the guy to build around, partly of desire and partly of desperation. They so want to look "brilliant" with that 4th-round stroke of luck, and they also have no idea what to do if he doesn't pan out.

Betwixt rocks and hard places, going with Dak is understandable and logical. It's certainly the one and only path for this short window of time Dallas will have Tyron, Zeke, Cooper, Lawrence, Witten, etc, present and accounted for. What other option is there right now? None.

Contractually, Dak has the Cowboys over a barrel. If they let him ride another year on this deal (which they should), then he holds all the cards after this season.

Why would he sign a long-term deal next year? Take the franchise tag and play for $35 million. Injury is very low risk for QBs because they can easily return to the same form. Then, why sign the next year either? Play under the franchise again for $40 million. Kirk Cousins anybody? That dude has made $150 million doing this dance because Washington drug their feet unconvinced. Dak could posture his way to $200 million total after the 2020 season.

There's just no good answer for Dallas here.

They have to first determine how they can get to a Super Bowl with Dak, a la Brad Johnson, Trent Dilfer, Rex Grossman, young Ben Roethlisberger, Jeff Hostelter, etc. It can obviously be done because it's been done before. The recipe is smothering defense and a stout run game to go with an efficient, low-risk passing game.

However, none of those guys had monster contracts. With that approach, how can Dallas delegate a huge portion of the salary cap to a quarterback who doesn't carry the team on his back? How can they pay the needed players for that smothering defense if it's mostly going to Dak? How can they keep the offensive line together? Can they afford a single elite receiver?

You can't pay everybody, so you have to make sure you're paying the straws that stir the drink. At this moment in time, that doesn't appear to be Dak Prescott. If they back up the Brinks truck for Dak, you're going to see what's happened to Green Bay. Unload the roster, and let Rodgers determine everything.

Of course, there's some risk for Dak, too. But it's mild because there are desperate sucker teams everywhere, as Brock Osweiler, Dante Culpepper, Kirk Cousins, Joe Flacco, etc, will attest.

If he levels out at where he is, the market might not be so fertile for him. Perhaps it's best to take a lesser deal now for more security down the road. He almost certainly will NOT do that, lest the players union castrate him in the town square.

So here we are. Such is life with an average QB. Could be a helluva lot worse for sure, but just how good can it really be?

Tick, tock. Time's a wasting.

Nice read, but the only debate happening on Dak is in forums between fans. This team is sold on him being their QB for a long time. They have said this over and over again.
 
Nice read, but the only debate happening on Dak is in forums between fans. This team is sold on him being their QB for a long time. They have said this over and over again.

Because they have exactly ZERO other options. As I said if you read it.
 
The Cowboys should probably offer the Dak the market rate for a top QB with the contract structured so they can get out after three years. Something like $75M guaranteed over the first three years and perhaps $35M/year due years 4-6.

$180M over 6 years/$75M Guaranteed is a nice haul and I don't see the Cowboys getting it done any cheaper. The more they wait, the more it's going to cost. The 2019 draft is going to create a void in QB talent.
 
$100 million doesn't even start the conversation.

False. There are only two QBs in football with contracts guaranteeing more than 98 Million - Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan.
 
I don’t agree there’s not other choices. Just none that guarantees the level of success we know we have with Dak with the current surrounding support.

What we do know though is what we have without a star studded support group on offense and a top 10 defense.

We do have other options even if we don’t have a high first round pick. We’ve seen teams move up in the draft to grab their QB. It’s very possible.

If Dak is truly average to slightly above average and his success is tied to an Elite supporting cast then it’s very likely we could insert a top prospect and his chances of flourishing in this offense would be optimal much like Dak did in his Rookie season .

Then you’d have another 4-5 years with a Rookie QB contract to retain the supporting cast.

IMO if Dak isn’t enough this season with this roster then why do we think it will get better with less support?
 
The Cowboys should probably offer the Dak the market rate for a top QB with the contract structured so they can get out after three years. Something like $75M guaranteed over the first three years and perhaps $35M/year due years 4-6.

$180M over 6 years/$75M Guaranteed is a nice haul and I don't see the Cowboys getting it done any cheaper. The more they wait, the more it's going to cost. The 2019 draft is going to create a void in QB talent.
Either...

1. What you suggested.

2. Wait, then wildly overpay him in 12 months.

3. Release him next offseason and tank for Trevor Lawrence.
 
IMO they will re-sign him during the season if he looks to starting out on a high note.
Get him locked up before the following offseason but they want some games in 19 under his belt before signing away a lot of cap space(guaranteed money) his way.
 
False. There are only two QBs in football with contracts guaranteeing more than 98 Million - Aaron Rodgers and Matt Ryan.
Dak is perfectly positioned, young, and there are desperate teams out there.

His best move is to do nothing right now.
 
IMO they will re-sign him during the season if he looks to starting out on a high note.
Get him locked up before the following offseason but they want some games in 19 under his belt before signing away a lot of cap space(guaranteed money) his way.

Why would he do that with a guaranteed $35 million franchise tag waiting for him, and a $40 million tag waiting on him the year after. $75 million in two years!!
 
His best move is to do nothing right now.

No, the best move to get your Pro Bowl, team leader QB signed at a below market contract built on incentives and out clauses because you have leverage right now.
 
What to do?

Finding an elite QB is dadgum hard to do in a world where so few exist. Especially when you're good enough to almost never be drafting high enough to get one of the high-probability prospects. You have to find lightning in a bottle or make a better mousetrap with what you have on hand.

Dallas knows this.

They've chosen the "all in" approach to Dak Prescott as the guy to build around, partly of desire and partly of desperation. They so want to look "brilliant" with that 4th-round stroke of luck, and they also have no idea what to do if he doesn't pan out.

Betwixt rocks and hard places, going with Dak is understandable and logical. It's certainly the one and only path for this short window of time Dallas will have Tyron, Zeke, Cooper, Lawrence, Witten, etc, present and accounted for. What other option is there right now? None.

Contractually, Dak has the Cowboys over a barrel. If they let him ride another year on this deal (which they should), then he holds all the cards after this season.

Why would he sign a long-term deal next year? Take the franchise tag and play for $35 million. Injury is very low risk for QBs because they can easily return to the same form. Then, why sign the next year either? Play under the franchise again for $40 million. Kirk Cousins anybody? That dude has made $150 million doing this dance because Washington drug their feet unconvinced. Dak could posture his way to $200 million total after the 2020 season.

There's just no good answer for Dallas here.

They have to first determine how they can get to a Super Bowl with Dak, a la Brad Johnson, Trent Dilfer, Rex Grossman, young Ben Roethlisberger, Jeff Hostelter, etc. It can obviously be done because it's been done before. The recipe is smothering defense and a stout run game to go with an efficient, low-risk passing game.

However, none of those guys had monster contracts. With that approach, how can Dallas delegate a huge portion of the salary cap to a quarterback who doesn't carry the team on his back? How can they pay the needed players for that smothering defense if it's mostly going to Dak? How can they keep the offensive line together? Can they afford a single elite receiver?

You can't pay everybody, so you have to make sure you're paying the straws that stir the drink. At this moment in time, that doesn't appear to be Dak Prescott. If they back up the Brinks truck for Dak, you're going to see what's happened to Green Bay. Unload the roster, and let Rodgers determine everything.

Of course, there's some risk for Dak, too. But it's mild because there are desperate sucker teams everywhere, as Brock Osweiler, Dante Culpepper, Kirk Cousins, Joe Flacco, etc, will attest.

If he levels out at where he is, the market might not be so fertile for him. Perhaps it's best to take a lesser deal now for more security down the road. He almost certainly will NOT do that, lest the players union castrate him in the town square.

So here we are. Such is life with an average QB. Could be a helluva lot worse for sure, but just how good can it really be?

Tick, tock. Time's a wasting.

How about when Dak doesn't make the Pro Bowl, you can complain?

Otherwise just shut up and be happy.

Finding a pro bowl caliber QB in the 4th round is the exact definition of finding lightning in a bottle.

Such is the life of having a pro bowl QB. LOL
 
Why would he do that with a guaranteed $35 million franchise tag waiting for him, and a $40 million tag waiting on him the year after. $75 million in two years!!

Long term security? Maybe he actually enjoys playing here and just wants a deal done just as early too?
Some players don't like playing on the tag, as we have noticed recently.

Last thing he would like is to play for peanuts this year and see his knee get torn to shreds like Alex Smith, or suffer a serious concussion on a run etc. The rules favor the QB, but it doesn't mean they are immune to injury.
 
No, the best move to get your Pro Bowl, team leader QB signed at a below market contract built on incentives and out clauses because you have leverage right now.
I'm talking about him, not the Cowboys.

He's perfectly positioned if he believes he'll have a good year.
 
Either...

1. What you suggested.

2. Wait, then wildly overpay him in 12 months.

3. Release him next offseason and tank for Trevor Lawrence.
Dak's agent probably won't even consider the #1 option. The Cowboys really need to be sure about Dak and realistically settle on option #2. I'm not one for tanking, Option #3, but they may be able to tank without even trying to tank without a QB and perhaps no Zeke as well.
 

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