This Jacksonville loss doesn't materially alter the Cowboys' outlook IMO. The Jaguars have knocked off two other playoff teams this past month... they are legitimately good, and we lost a 1 score OT game to them. That is within variance.
We have basically been locked into the 5th seed for a while, and are a clear step behind Philly any way you want to slice it. It would not take variance or a couple good bounces to beat Philly, it would take like 3 or 4 new starters. Same deal with the 49ers. Those two teams are the class of the NFC right now, and we are a notch below it.
The Buccaneers are a fair matchup for us. They friggin suck, and if we played tomorrow, I would favor us to win. If we lost, it wouldn't be by more than a touchdown.
Sending Brady packing is our Super Bowl IMO... from the divisional round on, I have no expectations of success.