The Linch Pins

jday

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Yesterday I looked at the Cowboy current situation through realist colored lenses. I focused a spotlight on the ugly truths. Gone is Free to retirement. Not mentioned, but bears pointing out, that gone also is Ron Leary, taking the money and running…as well he should. In their place, we slide La’el Collins back into the rotation under the impression that he brings better value to the Guard position vacated by Leary; while we believe that to be the truth, we’d by lying if we said we knew one way or the other if La’el truly does bring improved play to that position. He still has much to prove. In Free’s stead, we have Chaz Green, a man who has struggled to stay healthy but according to some is a clear improvement over Free’s severely declining play. I do not profess to be an expert, so I will have to take those who believe that at their word.

I also pointed out that it would be madness to expect that the Cowboys repeated 2016 draft success (despite the significant difference in draft position) and found four more starters to add to the ranks in this year’s draft. The most we can hope for, all things considered, is two starters….and believe it or not, once again considering draft position that would be a success.

Lastly, I pointed out an alarming stat: since 2007, every year the Cowboys have been to the playoffs, the following year marked a step back in success, often times finishing at the bottom of the East. Beyond that stat, however, is another stat that was pointed out to me in the course of the conversation: The last time an NFCE team repeated as the NFCE leader was the Eagles in 2005. That stat is quite possibly even more alarming because it doesn’t just apply to one team; it applies to all four teams in this division and has for more than 10 years.

But I’d be lying if I told you I don’t have high hopes for the upcoming season. The truth is, I believe, despite their youth, this defense could be really good. I think the Cowboys nailed the draft with just about every pick up to Xavier Woods. After that player, I couldn’t tell you anything about the other players picked up other than they are more than likely destined for the Practice Squad; better luck next year.

But as for those first five picks, I believe it is their collective intangible quality that will overcome any physical limitations they may have. Each (even Switzer) brings a certain swagger to their play. It’s not a look-at-me swagger; it’s that winning-is-everything-to-me swagger. It’s a swagger that bears the weight of expectations and punches through it with abandon and proclaims for anyone listening and watching that they struggle to set a goal too high for them to achieve.

But swagger for a team is like a garden. It must be nurtured, watered and cared for. It must be encouraged, because that attitude unattended and uninspired can wilt over time…especially in the face of losing. What I’m talking about right now is an intangible. But as intangible’s go, this is likely the most crucial tangible to the success of any given team. The belief that no matter what the prognosticators say, no matter their limitations as a whole, and no matter their lack of experience, they can win the day; all they have to do is win their own personal battle on every single play.

That said, I do believe the destiny of this season pivots on two players. They are the hinges to a door, that otherwise would not stand, open and shut without them. They are the linch pins: Sean Lee and Jaylon Smith. Before I dive into why I believe everything rest on these two’s shoulders, a brief history lesson is in order.

The year is 2014. Sean Lee has just recently been placed on IR following a freak accident that involved getting plowed into the ground by then rookie Zack Martin. The Cowboys FO felt really good about their upcoming season, and knew they had to find a viable replacement for Lee if they were going to have any chance. Enters Rolando McClain. Now, years from now, when sport historians look back, they will likely look on this move with disdain. Rolando had lost his love of the game and all those God-given talents were wasted on fishing. But the truth is much more complex. Because in 2014, he was a God-send. He breathed new life in a defense that had no business competing at the NFL level. He became a rally call; a call to arms; he was the life-blood in this defense. Obviously, the 2015 iteration of Rolando clouded his memory about his contribution in 2014, but in him the defense found a leader and a reason to believe they as a unit deserved to be considered a good defense…not great, but good enough when paired with that ground pounding offense, spearheaded by none other than Demarco Murray.

Flash forward now to today. The Cowboys need Jaylon to be their new and improved RoMac. To take the Cowboys to the next level and not just be considered good enough, they need Lee to provide leadership, direction and a veteran presence that demonstrates how to be a pro. For many, that is all but a given at this point. Lee stayed healthy for the entire season last year and recent reports indicate Jaylon’s nerve is on the mend. But Lee has to continue to stay healthy and the taller order is that Jaylon, after such a devastating injury and subsequent year layoff from football, has to be everything his supposed top-10 selection (draft value before the injury) in the 2016 draft suggest him to be. He has to be able to cover. He has to be able to blitz. And he has to be able to hit with the same bad intentions we saw early on from Rolando McClain in 2014. Because if Lee can ball like we can expect and Jaylon is everything we hope him to be, you can bet their play will inspire the youngsters on the back end and on the front end to play above whatever their talent is.

If these rookies and the bevy of second and third year players see them succeed and see how they work to get to that success, you can bet many, if not all, will follow suit. They will bring whatever Lee and Smith bring and they will bring it with an intensity these parts haven’t seen in almost 30 years. The realist in me says we are a year a two away from seeing that actually happening. But, much like an act of nature, with the right conditions, the right distribution of hard coaching-up, and the right attitude taking hold in 11 players on every given play, and the NFL could be in for a tornado of hard-hitting and opportunistic play from this young defense. If that happens, and the Cowboys offense is able to reproduce what they accomplished in 2016, this team could be Super Bowl bound. It’s a lot to hope for; a part of me thinks that getting to the play offs alone would be considered a success, given how young this team is overall.

But if the aforementioned linch pins are in place and operate according to expectation, there is no limit to what this defense can accomplish.

Thoughts?
 

ShiningStar

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Goes without saying, a good read. Sadly, thats the paper side. We still need to see it in action, we still need to see what Dallas does this year. Ok, the offseason started bad, but the Cowboys finished strong, they found a game plan, whether we believe in it or not right now doesnt matter its in play, here we go.

Dallas will most likely have to throw this season away to give the youth time to grow,(unless the division tanks, than go for it) and fix the small problems on Oline. I know tons of people will say "its not that big of a deal" but it is. Dallas is not a team that i have seen under Garrett can lose a player and not lose a beat. It is very much a big deal, the teams we play against will go after it.

Yes yes we all wanted Free replaced, will that be a great idea only time will tell. I have a lot of faith in Frank P, so lets give it time to bear out.

The defense is still a headache because even when we get through the year who knows how long we ll have Rod for and the question comes up are we grooming the next DC or have to find a replacement. Im not sold on our coordinators being the next DC, but maybe someone else can educate me.

The draft is like a fight, talking about the fight is the easy part, now we have to get through it and see who pans out and who doesnt. Other than that, only the pre season can give us that answer.

I do agree its been an overwhlemingly awesome draft. Most everyone agreed with that. Lets see if they can keep it going.
 

jday

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Goes without saying, a good read. Sadly, thats the paper side. We still need to see it in action, we still need to see what Dallas does this year. Ok, the offseason started bad, but the Cowboys finished strong, they found a game plan, whether we believe in it or not right now doesnt matter its in play, here we go.

Dallas will most likely have to throw this season away to give the youth time to grow,(unless the division tanks, than go for it) and fix the small problems on Oline. I know tons of people will say "its not that big of a deal" but it is. Dallas is not a team that i have seen under Garrett can lose a player and not lose a beat. It is very much a big deal, the teams we play against will go after it.

Yes yes we all wanted Free replaced, will that be a great idea only time will tell. I have a lot of faith in Frank P, so lets give it time to bear out.

The defense is still a headache because even when we get through the year who knows how long we ll have Rod for and the question comes up are we grooming the next DC or have to find a replacement. Im not sold on our coordinators being the next DC, but maybe someone else can educate me.

The draft is like a fight, talking about the fight is the easy part, now we have to get through it and see who pans out and who doesnt. Other than that, only the pre season can give us that answer.

I do agree its been an overwhlemingly awesome draft. Most everyone agreed with that. Lets see if they can keep it going.
For the first time in a long time I am actually glad we have 5 preseason games as opposed to 4. These youngsters are going to need every meaningless snap they can get before the live rounds start firing over their heads.
 

Maxmadden

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Goes without saying, a good read. Sadly, thats the paper side. We still need to see it in action, we still need to see what Dallas does this year. Ok, the offseason started bad, but the Cowboys finished strong, they found a game plan, whether we believe in it or not right now doesnt matter its in play, here we go.

Dallas will most likely have to throw this season away to give the youth time to grow,(unless the division tanks, than go for it) and fix the small problems on Oline. I know tons of people will say "its not that big of a deal" but it is. Dallas is not a team that i have seen under Garrett can lose a player and not lose a beat. It is very much a big deal, the teams we play against will go after it.

Yes yes we all wanted Free replaced, will that be a great idea only time will tell. I have a lot of faith in Frank P, so lets give it time to bear out.

The defense is still a headache because even when we get through the year who knows how long we ll have Rod for and the question comes up are we grooming the next DC or have to find a replacement. Im not sold on our coordinators being the next DC, but maybe someone else can educate me.

The draft is like a fight, talking about the fight is the easy part, now we have to get through it and see who pans out and who doesnt. Other than that, only the pre season can give us that answer.

I do agree its been an overwhlemingly awesome draft. Most everyone agreed with that. Lets see if they can keep it going.

Is Eberflus the heir apparent? I have seen him in interviews and he is a smart dude. He seems to be hanging around for something.

I expect the defense to struggle out of the gate but hopeful by seasons end they can get it together. Defenses usually come together much faster than Offenses.
 

jday

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Is Eberflus the heir apparent? I have seen him in interviews and he is a smart dude. He seems to be hanging around for something.

I expect the defense to struggle out of the gate but hopeful by seasons end they can get it together. Defenses usually come together much faster than Offenses.

I hope it is a long way away if he is the heir apparent. No disrespect to Eberflus, but I truly do believe Marinelli get's more out of his players. Granted, this belief doesn't bear out if you look at the stats over the course of a season. But if you just look at specific situations where we need to get a stop, his defense answers the call more often than not...unless the opposing QB is Aaron Rogers, then they roll out the red carpet...I keed, I keed...mostly
 

ShiningStar

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Is Eberflus the heir apparent? I have seen him in interviews and he is a smart dude. He seems to be hanging around for something.

I expect the defense to struggle out of the gate but hopeful by seasons end they can get it together. Defenses usually come together much faster than Offenses.


True to your last point, but as to your first, i dont know if he is or isnt. If he is, than im also ok with it because than it doesnt matter how much time Rod has, Eberflus will keep pretty much the same thing.

My point is, now that we are changing defense again, how much time does Rod have, vs when the next person comes in how long will that take?
 

BoysfanfromCanada

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We've only seen La'el Collins really as a rookie. With two years of strength and conditioning, I'm sure he'll be stronger than before. He doesn't have the punch Leary had, but he still had that meanness I want in the interior.

And Bell/Chaz should be able to handle RT. Ideally Cooper shows up making it easier to send Collins out there, we'll see how it plays out.
 

jday

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We've only seen La'el Collins really as a rookie. With two years of strength and conditioning, I'm sure he'll be stronger than before. He doesn't have the punch Leary had, but he still had that meanness I want in the interior.

And Bell/Chaz should be able to handle RT. Ideally Cooper shows up making it easier to send Collins out there, we'll see how it plays out.
And therein is what it truly comes down to...how does it play out. Because all the talk, debating and table pounding we do with our beliefs about this team, until it happens for real, we simply have no idea what to expect.
 

gimmesix

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We've only seen La'el Collins really as a rookie. With two years of strength and conditioning, I'm sure he'll be stronger than before. He doesn't have the punch Leary had, but he still had that meanness I want in the interior.

And Bell/Chaz should be able to handle RT. Ideally Cooper shows up making it easier to send Collins out there, we'll see how it plays out.

The positive about Collins and Green is that we have seen some good things from them. It's easier to expect players to play well when there is some proof that they can. Granted, Green has to stay healthy for us to find out if he can be the starting RT. If he does, I feel pretty good about both spots.

If he doesn't, I don't know how to feel about Cooper or Bell. The good news is that both have some good footage playing guard, even though Cooper's ability to stay health is as big of a concern as Green's.
 

Maxmadden

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True to your last point, but as to your first, i dont know if he is or isnt. If he is, than im also ok with it because than it doesnt matter how much time Rod has, Eberflus will keep pretty much the same thing.

My point is, now that we are changing defense again, how much time does Rod have, vs when the next person comes in how long will that take?

Not sure, but Marinelli looks like he has trouble just walking up and down the sideline.
 

FuzzyLumpkins

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Doug Free took a step back last year. I can understand why he retired. The bar to replace his level of play is not high. Collins was the best guard prospect the year he came out and has shown many good things. The issues with pass pro awareness have a good chance of improving and he deals with speed rushers better than Leary did who struggled to move laterally and got turned. La'el both moves better and has better ability to recover when he gets beat.

I also think you underestimate the coaching staff's ability to develop players on the fly. We've seen it with Martin, Jones, Wilson, Dak, Zeke, Collins, and Brown in recent years. They are not like the teams of yore who had young players sit and took a step back when they played. The coaches ability to develop players is a big reason why our drafts have been so successful. From Wilson to Jackson Garrett's staff has been exemplary.

Charlton and Jones are likely going to take some time. Taco is still new to 4-3 techniques and was a 1 year starter and Jones is making the leap from a smaller conference and who knows how he will adjust to the speed of the game. Jones and Ivie too for that matter need to hit the weight room.

OTOH, Switzer, Awuzie, and Lewis have 3+ seasons of starting experience out of power conferences. They of course will have a learning curve as rookies but they have a leg up over most prospects. That is 1000s of snaps in zone and man as well as routes run against those coverages. They will be able to contribute early.

As for "no one has repeated" as NFCE champion and similar concerns. I need to see some mechanics to give that backdoor conclusion credence. From an opponent winning percentage we faced one of the toughest schedules last season. The first place schedule doesn't bother me one whit. We remain a young team on the come.

Nzeocha has the potential to be a superb coverage LB. He just needs to stay healthy which to this point he has not been able to do. If he can stay healthy I am not worried about LB as we can absorb injury.

Lee and Jaylon would be the best coverage LB tandem in the NFL if they can stay on the field.

The coverage overall will be better. Brown has a year of experience under his belt. Scandrick will be two years removed from his ACL tear. I already thought Carrol could replace what we lost from Carr and Claiborne. Add in the two rookies and our coverage up front has a shot to be outstanding.

On the backend, Heath is a better cover guy then both Church and Wilcox. He is also more dynamic than both able to play both roles. Wilcox struggled with angles the close he got to the LOS. Church was awful in space. Blanton was not bad for the Lions and we will see how well Jones transitions from FCS play.

Overall success though will be determined by the work on the line. I keep throwing out different DL permutations and I cannot guess where Marinelli will end up. For example:

Irving Thornton Collins Tapper
DLaw Paea Crawford Mayowa
Crawford Collins Irving Taco
Taco Collins Irving Tapper

You can go on with that with all the position flex. They are going to be hard to run against with all that size and quickness but their ability to beat OL in pass protection is going to determine how successful this defense will be. The coverage will give them time to do so but they have to get to the QB if we are going to beat the elite teams with the elite QBs. Happy hunting big fellas.

One thing I think we can really look forward to though is the second and third string defenses in preseason. We are going to give opposing backup offenses fits.
 

stilltheguru88

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Dak and Zeke are the guys. If they play well we're going to back to back playoffs
 

Bullflop

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Jday, I especially enjoyed the comparison you made between Rolando McClain and Jaylon in terms of being an inspirational element to the team. It never actually occurred to me to think of them in terms of such a comparison but there's probably a real element of truth to it, even if it seems something of a stretch to consider Rolando inspirational, in terms of how he turned out. His physicality undeniably had something to do with that effect, though and the same might well be said about Jaylon once he assumes his role and gets settled in. Anyhow, thanks for that. It really gave me food for thought in a perspective that I hadn't even considered until now. :)
 
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jday

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Jday, I especially enjoyed the comparison you made between Rolando McClain and Jaylon in terms of being an inspirational element to the team. It never actually occurred to me to think of them in terms of such a comparison but there's probably a real element of truth to it, even if it seems something of a stretch to consider Rolando inspirational, in terms of how he turned out. His physicality undeniably had something to do with that effect, though and the same might well be said about Jaylon once he assumes his role. Anyhow, thanks for that. It gave me food for thought in a perspective that I hadn't yet even considered until now. :)
I am a big fan of human nature. And one of the most fascinating elements you can find in football is when a team sucks one year and then adds just one key element to turn the team into a world beater. Beyond the Rolando example, you can find many other situations where that became a reality. Usually it happens when a team has everything but a QB. Take the Vikings after they acquired the services of Brett Favre. They went from being in the bottom of the NFCN basement to being a contender...almost overnight. Watching them from one season to the next was surreal. Same effect following the Broncos acquisition of Peyton Manning. But there are also examples of this same kind of thing happening on defense; which is exactly where the Cowboys need it to happen. I still believe in the Cowboys offense; hard not to with what they have up front along with those weapons on the outside and the emergence of Dak and Zeke last year. But even the greatest offenses in league history needed the occasional stop from their defense to solidify their place among the contenders in the league...I suspect the Cowboys are no exception to that rule.
 

jday

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Doug Free took a step back last year. I can understand why he retired. The bar to replace his level of play is not high. Collins was the best guard prospect the year he came out and has shown many good things. The issues with pass pro awareness have a good chance of improving and he deals with speed rushers better than Leary did who struggled to move laterally and got turned. La'el both moves better and has better ability to recover when he gets beat.

I also think you underestimate the coaching staff's ability to develop players on the fly. We've seen it with Martin, Jones, Wilson, Dak, Zeke, Collins, and Brown in recent years. They are not like the teams of yore who had young players sit and took a step back when they played. The coaches ability to develop players is a big reason why our drafts have been so successful. From Wilson to Jackson Garrett's staff has been exemplary.

Charlton and Jones are likely going to take some time. Taco is still new to 4-3 techniques and was a 1 year starter and Jones is making the leap from a smaller conference and who knows how he will adjust to the speed of the game. Jones and Ivie too for that matter need to hit the weight room.

OTOH, Switzer, Awuzie, and Lewis have 3+ seasons of starting experience out of power conferences. They of course will have a learning curve as rookies but they have a leg up over most prospects. That is 1000s of snaps in zone and man as well as routes run against those coverages. They will be able to contribute early.

As for "no one has repeated" as NFCE champion and similar concerns. I need to see some mechanics to give that backdoor conclusion credence. From an opponent winning percentage we faced one of the toughest schedules last season. The first place schedule doesn't bother me one whit. We remain a young team on the come.

Nzeocha has the potential to be a superb coverage LB. He just needs to stay healthy which to this point he has not been able to do. If he can stay healthy I am not worried about LB as we can absorb injury.

Lee and Jaylon would be the best coverage LB tandem in the NFL if they can stay on the field.

The coverage overall will be better. Brown has a year of experience under his belt. Scandrick will be two years removed from his ACL tear. I already thought Carrol could replace what we lost from Carr and Claiborne. Add in the two rookies and our coverage up front has a shot to be outstanding.

On the backend, Heath is a better cover guy then both Church and Wilcox. He is also more dynamic than both able to play both roles. Wilcox struggled with angles the close he got to the LOS. Church was awful in space. Blanton was not bad for the Lions and we will see how well Jones transitions from FCS play.

Overall success though will be determined by the work on the line. I keep throwing out different DL permutations and I cannot guess where Marinelli will end up. For example:

Irving Thornton Collins Tapper
DLaw Paea Crawford Mayowa
Crawford Collins Irving Taco
Taco Collins Irving Tapper

You can go on with that with all the position flex. They are going to be hard to run against with all that size and quickness but their ability to beat OL in pass protection is going to determine how successful this defense will be. The coverage will give them time to do so but they have to get to the QB if we are going to beat the elite teams with the elite QBs. Happy hunting big fellas.

One thing I think we can really look forward to though is the second and third string defenses in preseason. We are going to give opposing backup offenses fits.
I truly may be underestimating this coaching staff's ability to bring these players up to speed. But I think you may underestimate how much that depends on the specific player. Take Dak, just for instance. Great coaching was evident, but he had the attitude to receive and apply the coaching. That is a rare trait, even in the NFL.

The money also has to be a factor to consider; how will these players evolve while having more money in their bank than they have ever seen. I love to ask people what they would do if they won the lottery. Often times they will go down a list of things they'd do and I can't help but laugh. I always say, that's the poor you talking. The rich you may have different ideas. Same could be said of these rookies. As lofty as their expectations may be for themselves, those expectations where conceived with the motivation of poverty nipping at their heels. With money, who are they now? Do they have the same goals? Do they have the same expectations of themselves? Right now, it is way too early to say one way or the other...but as everything else I have brought to the table in these conversations, in bears consideration.

Like you, I've gone through the various defensive lineup rotation exercise myself. I mentioned in the OP that we may have found two starters in this years draft and if so, that's reason to celebrate. But if you consider how much Marinelli likes to rotate players, we might not have even found 1 starter (at least not one in the graphic the TV shows at the beginning of games)...and considering how Marinelli rotates players, that wouldn't necessarily suggest that they failed in the draft. So long as the Cowboys found guy's that merit being placed in the rotation and kept on the gameday roster, I'll be happy.
 

jday

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Dak and Zeke are the guys. If they play well we're going to back to back playoffs
If only...

I'm not sure the playoffs hinge on those two, though they will certainly have a big say in that question. Truth is, I'm not all that worried about the offense as a whole. I believe in Dak. I believe in the weapons surrounding Dak. The offense line has some question marks, but even then, they still have Tyron, Travis, and Zack, which should help the other two that slide in. You can certainly get to the playoffs with an above average offense and average defense. But if you want to get beyond that, you have to have the defense.
 
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