Last season we saw Vic Fangio use a deep safety Cover 2 look to stymie the offense. This forces the offense to march up the field with long multi-play drives emphasizing short passing and running the ball. It zaps the QB of all aggressiveness and forces them to be surgical.
This quickly gained popularity and was also used to slow down Mahomes last year during his 6 or so game slump. Mahomes was forced to stop trying to take aggressive throws downfield and basically do the exact opposite of what he likes to do.
This scheme became so popular that it’s been a staple of defenses this season. Scoring, yards, and offensive proficiency as a whole has been down this season and this deep safety scheme has a lot to do with it. Here’s an excerpt of a very interesting and information-filled article by Yahoo on why offenses have been down as a whole this year;
“
Good luck passing as defenses drop deeper
While rushing attacks have largely chugged on, passing efficiency has plunged. Lopez broke down net points by added play type, discovering that through Week 7 of last season, passing plays were worth about plus-325 net points. In comparison, this year, they have netted about minus-50. The 375-point swing, divided by 108 games, represents a loss of 3.47 points per game (close to the 3.8-point overall scoring dip). Passing completion percentage across the league is at a five-year low (62.6%) as is completion of deep throws (25+ yards), generating only a 27.7% success rate.
An increase in zone coverage and deep safety usage has emerged.”
https://sports.yahoo.com/nfl-scoring-is-down-in-2022-what-are-the-causes-013232184.html
In reality, this was not a Dak-beater scheme that only he’s had trouble with. It’s the general scheme that has been giving almost all of the leagues QB’s fits. Defense gets paid too and this season they have earned their keep throughout the league. Fangio is a beast as well lol.
Here are more articles about this scheme shift:
https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-galina-why-two-high-defenses-are-set-to-take-over-the-nfl
https://www.theringer.com/nfl/2022/...nsive-decline-superstar-quarterbacks-run-game
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2022/nfls-scoring-drought-worrisome-or-passing-issue