The value of comp picks

Risen Star

Likes Collector
Messages
89,413
Reaction score
212,323
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
Found this interesting from Peter King's latest MMQB.

Stat of the Week

The compensatory draft pick system might be one of unintended consequences. By not aggressively trying to sign high-profile free-agent veterans on one’s own team, a team can still succeed, and in a big way.

Maybe the success of the teams with the most compensatory picks in the 24-year history of the system (designed to compensate teams that lose valued free agents with draft picks a year after the loss of those players) is a coincidence. But I doubt it.

Look at the most active five teams in terms of draft choices awarded in the history of the system, and look at their success.

Franchise Comp. Picks Super Bowl Titles
1. Baltimore 48 2
2. Green Bay 38 2
3. Dallas 37 1
4. New England 34 5
5. St. Louis/L.A. Rams 33 1

The five most active teams, then, have won 11 of the 23 Super Bowls played since the compensatory pick system was launched with the 1994 draft. (It’s 23, not 24, because there have been 23 Super Bowls played since the system began.)

The lessons of the story:

• The franchise architects for the top four teams have been in their chairs for at least 12 years. They set a system in motion and don’t deviate from it.

• When you have the same person running your team for a long time (Ozzie Newsome since 2002, Ted Thompson since 2005, Jerry Jones since 1989, Bill Belichick since 2000), they don’t get cowed by the prospect of losing a high-priced star to free agency. They can take the wave of the initial negative publicity without feeling the hot flames of a critical media.

• Mid-round picks are valuable, both because they can yield starters and because they give a good GM the rope to make mistakes. Huh? That’s the way one front-office guy explained it to me a few years ago. “Say you get two comp picks,” the veteran scout said. “So instead of having seven picks, you have nine, and that gives you the chance to take more volume in the draft. It just increases the odds you’ll get more productive players out of your draft.” And the money a fifth-round pick will cost is far less than what a monied free agent will cost, obviously.

http://mmqb.si.com/mmqb/2017/02/27/nfl-draft-mike-mayock-combine-top-prospects-peter-king
 

Alexander

What's it going to be then, eh?
Messages
62,482
Reaction score
67,294
• The franchise architects for the top four teams have been in their chairs for at least 12 years. They set a system in motion and don’t deviate from it.

I don't think Jerry Jones has had a stable system in place for the last 12 years and certainly has shown the capacity to go off the reservation.
 

Risen Star

Likes Collector
Messages
89,413
Reaction score
212,323
CowboysZone ULTIMATE Fan
I don't think Jerry Jones has had a stable system in place for the last 12 years and certainly has shown the capacity to go off the reservation.

I don't think the Cowboys even belong on that chart since their championship was won at the start of the FA era with a team built before it.
 

Leadbelly

Well-Known Member
Messages
2,174
Reaction score
1,592
It's basically the Patriots' way.
  1. Trade 5th to 7th rounders for solid players in the last year of their contract.
  2. Make them look better than they are by putting them on a well run, winning organization and accentuating their positives.
  3. Let them sign elsewhere.
  4. Don't sign comparable free agent contracts.
  5. Collect compensatory picks.
  6. Start repeating step 1 for the next draft.
The hardest part of the formula is starting. Teams (and fans) don't like sitting out free agency and they overvalue nonessential players. Once you get it going, it's like Christmas and you're the only kid on the Nice list.

By the time preseason vet cuts roll around, everyone else has spent their cap space on the can't miss FAs (that often miss) and the Patriots can come in low. Everyone else's 5th to 7th rounders are kids who are just trying to figure things out. Some don't even make the team. Patriots' are experienced vets that are guaranteed contributors from game 1.

The Cowboys do step 1 and 3. They forget everything else. So we just end up with less picks and a less cap room.
 
Top