The Witten/Bryant Effect in Red Zone

[percyhoward]

A play is considered successful if it gains 40% of the yards needed on 1st down, 60% on 2nd down, and 100% on 3rd/4th down. In the last two seasons prior to this one, the most productive red zone receivers were Witten, Dez, and Beasley. With two-thirds of that production gone, defenses can now focus on Beasley and stopping the run.

Witten and Dez accounted for more than half of Dallas' successful red zone pass plays in 2016-17.

Successful Red Zone Plays
2016-17
receptions
Witten 16
Bryant 12
Beasley 10
Butler 3
Elliott 3
Williams 3

rushes
Elliott 44
Prescott 17
Morris 10
Smith 9

2018
receptions
Elliott 5
Beasley 3
Hurns 2
(4 players tied w/1)

rushes
Elliott 13
Prescott 10
Smith 2

Successful Red Zone Plays
2016-17 total 135 (4.22 per game)
receptions 52 (1.63 per game)
rushes 83 (2.59 per game)

2018 total 39 (3.25 per game)
receptions 14 (1.16 per game)
rushes 25 (2.08 per game)

Effect on the offense as a whole:
Red Zone TD%
2016 66.7% (3rd)
2017 59.6% (6th)
2018 48.6% (26th)

TD/FG ratio
2016 1.81 (10th)
2017 1.82 (4th)
2018 1.04 (29th)

points/drive
2016 2.54 (4th)
2017 2.08 (9th)
2018 2.04 (17th)

 

[percyhoward]

Today vs. Philly

ZERO successful red zone plays in regulation (out of six plays), and we still scored 23 points.

Three successful red zone plays in overtime:
1. Zeke on 4th and 1
2. Dak runs for 5 on the next play (1st & 10)
3. Coop's 3rd TD

This team just finds a way.

 

[gmoney112]

I wonder what is weighted for pass protection.

Some of it is also the yin and yang of having marginal talent at TE, in the middle of the field, compared to one of the best route running TEs in NFL history.

Amari is better than Dez, and it looks like he's building cohesion with Dak, so i'm praying this translates into some RZ success.

It's ugly though, no doubt.

 

[pansophy]

Today vs. Philly

ZERO successful red zone plays in regulation (out of six plays), and we still scored 23 points.

Three successful red zone plays in overtime:
1. Zeke on 4th and 1
2. Dak runs for 5 on the next play (1st & 10)
3. Coop's 3rd TD

This team just finds a way.

We have to figure out red zone offense if we are going to do anything in the playoffs.

 

[Sarge]

A play is considered successful if it gains 40% of the yards needed on 1st down, 60% on 2nd down, and 100% on 3rd/4th down. In the last two seasons prior to this one, the most productive red zone receivers were Witten, Dez, and Beasley. With two-thirds of that production gone, defenses can now focus on Beasley and stopping the run.

Witten and Dez accounted for more than half of Dallas' successful red zone pass plays in 2016-17.

Successful Red Zone Plays
2016-17
receptions
Witten 16
Bryant 12
Beasley 10
Butler 3
Elliott 3
Williams 3

rushes
Elliott 44
Prescott 17
Morris 10
Smith 9

2018
receptions
Elliott 5
Beasley 3
Hurns 2
(4 players tied w/1)

rushes
Elliott 13
Prescott 10
Smith 2

Successful Red Zone Plays
2016-17 total 135 (4.22 per game)
receptions 52 (1.63 per game)
rushes 83 (2.59 per game)

2018 total 39 (3.25 per game)
receptions 14 (1.16 per game)
rushes 25 (2.08 per game)

Effect on the offense as a whole:
Red Zone TD%
2016 66.7% (3rd)
2017 59.6% (6th)
2018 48.6% (26th)

TD/FG ratio
2016 1.81 (10th)
2017 1.82 (4th)
2018 1.04 (29th)

points/drive
2016 2.54 (4th)
2017 2.08 (9th)
2018 2.04 (17th)

LOVE THE SIG.

 

[Cowboy Brian]

The COOP effect

 

[percyhoward]

LOVE THE SIG.

I think Dallas is destined to play one last postseason game in the Coliseum.