This week's AccuScore says...

[Phoenix]

Wow. In their 10,000(+) simulations of Giants vs Cowboys, the average score was Giants 24.7, Cowboys 24.3, and the Giants are a 51-48% (their numbers not mine) favorite.



Eli Manning indicates his injury is not hurting his ability to play. If he is healthy Manning is expected to have a pretty solid game with 230 yards and an average of 1.6 TD passes and just 0.7 INTs. Tony Romo is averaging similar stats with 240 yards, 1.7 TDs and 0.8 INTs. The key to the game is the running game. If the Giants can re-establish their running game and average 4.5 ypc the Giants are 53 percent favorites. If the Cowboys average 4.5 ypc they are 57 percent favorites. If both running games do well then the game will hinge on turnovers. The team with at least a +1 turnover margin advantage improves their chances from roughly 50 percent up to 75 percent. AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.


http://scores.espn.go.com/nfl/intel?gameId=291206019


Additionally:

The Cowboys are 1-0 ATS as the underdog.
The Cowboys are 1-0 ATS as an away underdog.

(ATS = Against the spread)

 

[Cajuncowboy]

Wow. In their 10,000(+) simulations of Giants vs Cowboys, the average score was Giants 24.3, Cowboys 24.7,

From what I'm told, a win is a win even if it's not pretty. And .4 points is still a win.

 

[Phoenix]

From what I'm told, a win is a win even if it's not pretty. And .4 points is still a win.

Whoops. My bad. I had the numbers reversed...going to correct :bang2:

 

[HoosierCowboy]

How stupid: key is running game; okay, we have a better running game so we win. No, they say if the Giants can reestablish there's (not gonna happen) they win. Enen at home, no way any computer picks Giants unless the data input is faulty.

 

[Reality]

This is a perfect example of why these kinds of things are complete crap.

The Cowboys have not given up more than 21 points in any game this year except the second game of the season (9 games ago) and that was to the Giants but 1) the defense is MUCH better now, 2) the Giants are a lot worse now, 3) the Cowboys had to turn the ball over several times for the Giants to score that much.

-Reality

 

[speedkilz88]

*All research was done by the UK Climate Research Group.

 

[Cajuncowboy]

*All research was done by the UK Climate Research Group.

 

[Cajuncowboy]

Whoops. My bad. I had the numbers reversed...going to correct :bang2:

:shoot5:

 

[theogt]

*All research was done by the UK Climate Research Group.

:laugh2:

 

[dbair1967]

*All research was done by the UK Climate Research Group.

 

[RCowboyFan]

*All research was done by the UK Climate Research Group.

:laugh1:

 

[Phoenix]

Wow. In their 10,000(+) simulations of Giants vs Cowboys, the average score was Giants 24.7, Cowboys 24.3, and the Giants are a 51-48% (their numbers not mine) favorite.



Eli Manning indicates his injury is not hurting his ability to play. If he is healthy Manning is expected to have a pretty solid game with 230 yards and an average of 1.6 TD passes and just 0.7 INTs. Tony Romo is averaging similar stats with 240 yards, 1.7 TDs and 0.8 INTs. The key to the game is the running game. If the Giants can re-establish their running game and average 4.5 ypc the Giants are 53 percent favorites. If the Cowboys average 4.5 ypc they are 57 percent favorites. If both running games do well then the game will hinge on turnovers. The team with at least a +1 turnover margin advantage improves their chances from roughly 50 percent up to 75 percent. AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.

"Complete crap" I believe was the comment made. "The Cowboys had to turn the ball over several times for the Giants to score that much" was another.

In case you missed the news flash, the Cowboys ran for an astounding 45 yards with an incredible 2.0 yards per rush. The Giants had 100 yards with a 4.3 average. The Cowboys even won the turnover battle, 2-1.

Might want to check with the UK Climate Research Group before placing your next wagers. I'd say they were pretty much dead on.