Updated Draft Order as of 12/12

[Hostile]

A lot could still change, but the order is shaping out more all the time. This still doesn't mean anything, but it's fun to start speculating.

I don't see the Saints coming back. So this is early, but accurate.

1. Texans, 1-12, .552

2. 49ers, 2-11, .548

3. Jets, 3-10, .519
4. Saints, 3-10, .534
5. Packers, 3-10, .543

T6. Titans, 4-9, .500
T6. Bills, 4-9, .500
T8. Browns, 4-9, .505
T8. Cardinals, 4-9, .505
10. Lions, 4-9, .514
11. Ravens, 4-9, .519
12. Raiders, 4-9, .529

13. Rams, 5-8, .486
14. Eagles, 5-8, .534

15. Dolphins, 6-7, .466

16. Broncos (via Commanders, 7-6, .548)

17. Vikings, 8-5, .486
T18. Steelers, 8-5, .495
T18. Falcons, 8-5, .495
20. Chiefs, 8-5, .505
21. Patriots, 8-5, .510
22. Cowboys, 8-5, .514
23. Chargers, 8-5, .553

T24. Buccaneers, 9-4, .452
T24. Bears, 9-4, .452
T26. Panthers, 9-4, .466
T26. Jaguars, 9-4, .466
28. Giants, 9-4, .495

29. Bengals, 10-3, .457
30. Broncos, 10-3, .495

31. Seahawks, 11-2, .428

32. Colts, 13-0, .442

With luck on my side I'll be launching a new website this week that tracks the draft order year round and will host mock drafts this off season.

Nothing to see right now, but I think you'll like the graphics when they are done.

 

[DallasInDC]

A lot could still change, but the order is shaping out more all the time. This still doesn't mean anything, but it's fun to start speculating.

I don't see the Saints coming back. So this is early, but accurate.

1. Texans, 1-12, .552

2. 49ers, 2-11, .548

3. Jets, 3-10, .519
4. Saints, 3-10, .534
5. Packers, 3-10, .543

T6. Titans, 4-9, .500
T6. Bills, 4-9, .500
T8. Browns, 4-9, .505
T8. Cardinals, 4-9, .505
10. Lions, 4-9, .514
11. Ravens, 4-9, .519
12. Raiders, 4-9, .529

13. Rams, 5-8, .486
14. Eagles, 5-8, .534

15. Dolphins, 6-7, .466

16. Broncos (via Commanders, 7-6, .548)

17. Vikings, 8-5, .486
T18. Steelers, 8-5, .495
T18. Falcons, 8-5, .495
20. Chiefs, 8-5, .505
21. Patriots, 8-5, .510
22. Cowboys, 8-5, .514
23. Chargers, 8-5, .553

T24. Buccaneers, 9-4, .452
T24. Bears, 9-4, .452
T26. Panthers, 9-4, .466
T26. Jaguars, 9-4, .466
28. Giants, 9-4, .495

29. Bengals, 10-3, .457
30. Broncos, 10-3, .495

31. Seahawks, 11-2, .428

32. Colts, 13-0, .442

With luck on my side I'll be launching a new website this week that tracks the draft order year round and will host mock drafts this off season.

Nothing to see right now, but I think you'll like the graphics when they are done.

Hos, does the %'s represent SOS? If so I find it interesting that the 31st and 32nd pick have the easist SOS in the league. That might indicate the potential for an upset inthe playoffs.

 

[SAboys889]

Hos, does the %'s represent SOS? If so I find it interesting that the 31st and 32nd pick have the easist SOS in the league. That might indicate the potential for an upset inthe playoffs.

Interesting, and good observation. If true, our SOS is pretty good compared to the top 15 teams in the listing. If we can make it to Seattle, I think we can win that game.

 

[parchy]

Interesting, and good observation. If true, our SOS is pretty good compared to the top 15 teams in the listing. If we can make it to Seattle, I think we can win that game.

It's amazing how tight everything is in the NFC. One week ago we were fighting just to stay in the playoff race... next week at this time we could be tied for the lead in the NFC East.

 

[StarMan2112]

Cool Hos, looking forward to the draft website.

 

[Joe a Cowboys fan]

So when can we start floating draft trade rumours? Raiders will continue to sink lower and the Texans, Jets and 9ers will be tied for that first pick. The Texans and 9ers will trade down. Dallas will trade down with their first pick and amaze all by trading all their second day picks for a MLB deep sleeper in the third.

 

[jbsg02]

Indianapolis has delivered 13 losses to its opponents, which skews the SOS a tad.

 

[Hostile]

Hos, does the %'s represent SOS? If so I find it interesting that the 31st and 32nd pick have the easist SOS in the league. That might indicate the potential for an upset inthe playoffs.

The % is the opponent's winning % for the entire season, so it refelects teams not faced yet too. I do have a weekly % also calculated.

For instance, Dallas is .509 which means that this part of the schedule is against tougher opponents than already faced.

Remember that Indy and Seattle add to their opponent's low % by defeating those teams. Likewise Houston and San Fran's OW% is higher becuse they lose those games. You also have to remember that entire divisions are played. Teams who face the AFC WEst get 3 good to great teams and the Raiders. That raises the %. Same for the NFC East and NFC South. Those facing the AFC East though seemingly get a schedule Break. Only New England has a winning record. Ditto for the NFC West whom we faced this year with only Seattle a winning team. That drives the OW% down a bit.

 

[Avery]

Houston still plays Jacksonville, Arizona and at San Francisco

San Franciso plays Jacksonville, St. Louis and Houston.

If Houston squeaks out a win over Arizona, we could possibly be looking at the battle for the #1 pick the last week of the season.

I still think San Francisco gets the #1 pick one way or the other. Houston trades down for an OT and avoids paying #1 money.

 

[Hostile]

Houston still plays Jacksonville, Arizona and at San Francisco

San Franciso plays Jacksonville, St. Louis and Houston.

If Houston squeaks out a win over Arizona, we could possibly be looking at the battle for the #1 pick the last week of the season.

I still think San Francisco gets the #1 pick one way or the other. Houston trades down for an OT and avoids paying #1 money.

If I were Houston and I ended up #1 I'd dangle that pick to teams wanting Bush or Leinart and I'd move down, stockpile picks and fix my OL. They can get by with Domanick Davis & David Carr.