vs Eagles, ACCUSCORE says....

[Phoenix]

FIRST of all, to the detractors and flamethrowers among you who have been continually proven wrong in your view by this, please keep your opinions to yourselves. Your flames have already previously been doused by gasoline. No need to have to rehash your embarrassments in the future. :


According to AccuScore, the Cowboys are favored in simulations by a 64% to 35% margin. (Yes, I know, once again, doesn't add up to 100. I guess fractions (not posted) are involved.)

The average score in the game in simulations, over 10,000 of them, is:

Cowboys 28.1
Eagles 22.8

If you go by this system, put all your money down NOW in Vegas on the Cowboys covering the spread.


And AccuScore says in its wisdom:


The Cowboys are playing very well and the defense has only allowed one team since Week 8 to score more than 20 points. The Eagles have scored over 20 points every week since Week 9 when they lost to Dallas. The Cowboys are favored because they are holding the Eagles to 22 points per simulation. If DeSean Jackson and Brent Celek have 125+ yards and at least 1 TD between them the Eagles are projected for 30 points and win 48 percent of simulations. If the Eagles get big games out of their top 2 receivers and protect Donovan McNabb and allow under 2 sacks the Eagles have a 67 percent chance of winning.

AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.

 

[theogt]

No way that Jackson and Celek have 125+ yards and 1 TD apiece.

 

[newlander]

jenkins will be all over Jackson and they'll jam Celek off the line and give the LB help with sensabaugh over the top: Maclin worries me the MOST anyway....

 

[Don Corleone]

No way that Jackson and Celek have 125+ yards and 1 TD apiece.

Jackson was on NFLN's team cam session earlier today, and his facial expression changed a little when talk of Mike Jenkins came up. Alex Flanagan asked him if he had a response to Mike Jenkins who was quoted as saying, "No team has been able to throw bombs on us, and it isn't about to start this week against Philly."

He was kinda happy at first, and then looked a bit worried and bothered when the host asked him to respond to Jenkins' statement. He said he's not going to respond to Jenkins, but that he likes his chances this Sunday.

 

[Phoenix]

No way that Jackson and Celek have 125+ yards and 1 TD apiece.

Not apiece, "between them". 1 TD total between them.

Still, I agree with your assessment. I think Jenkins/Newman on Jackson, and Sensabaugh on Celek, do a great job.

Again.

And I think Ratliff is going to have a career day against their sub center.

GAME ON!

Again.

 

[silverbear]

No way that Jackson and Celek have 125+ yards and 1 TD apiece.

Celek hasn't had ANY 125 yard games thus far this season... he had 121 in the last game, and the only other times he was even over 100 was in games 2 and 3 this season... in fact, he's only had 1 game of 125 yards or more in his career thus far, a 131 yard effort in 08...

That's 1 game of 125 or more in 47 career games... so I'd say it's rather unlikely that he'll produce that total against the Boys...

For that matter, Jackson's only had 3 125 yard plus receiving games in 30 games played, though all of them came this year, and 2 of them came in the last 3 games...

So the odds of both going for 125 or more are pretty astronomical, I'd think...

 

[CCBoy]

Celek hasn't had ANY 125 yard games thus far this season... he had 121 in the last game, and the only other times he was even over 100 was in games 2 and 3 this season... in fact, he's only had 1 game of 125 yards or more in his career thus far, a 131 yard effort in 08...

That's 1 game of 125 or more in 47 career games... so I'd say it's rather unlikely that he'll produce that total against the Boys...

For that matter, Jackson's only had 3 125 yard plus receiving games in 30 games played, though all of them came this year, and 2 of them came in the last 3 games...

So the odds of both going for 125 or more are pretty astronomical, I'd think...

'Bear, do me a favor and do a critique of my thread on Lady or the Tiger...I'm working on style and content, LOL.

 

[Daudr]

FIRST of all, to the detractors and flamethrowers among you who have been continually proven wrong in your view by this, please keep your opinions to yourselves. Your flames have already previously been doused by gasoline. No need to have to rehash your embarrassments in the future. :


According to AccuScore, the Cowboys are favored in simulations by a 64% to 35% margin. (Yes, I know, once again, doesn't add up to 100. I guess fractions (not posted) are involved.)

The average score in the game in simulations, over 10,000 of them, is:

Cowboys 28.1
Eagles 22.8

If you go by this system, put all your money down NOW in Vegas on the Cowboys covering the spread.


And AccuScore says in its wisdom:


The Cowboys are playing very well and the defense has only allowed one team since Week 8 to score more than 20 points. The Eagles have scored over 20 points every week since Week 9 when they lost to Dallas. The Cowboys are favored because they are holding the Eagles to 22 points per simulation. If DeSean Jackson and Brent Celek have 125+ yards and at least 1 TD between them the Eagles are projected for 30 points and win 48 percent of simulations. If the Eagles get big games out of their top 2 receivers and protect Donovan McNabb and allow under 2 sacks the Eagles have a 67 percent chance of winning.

AccuScore has powered more than 10,000 simulations for every NFL game for ESPN.com, each simulated one play at a time and minimum of 10,000 times. For more, visit AccuScore.

How many times have they correctly predicted the outcome of a Cowboys game this year?

 

[gmoney112]

Jackson and Celek would need 125+ yards and a touchdown BETWEEN them. So Jackson could have 75 and Celek could have 51 and a TD.

Still don't think it's going to happen.

 

[Fletch]

Jackson was on NFLN's team cam session earlier today, and his facial expression changed a little when talk of Mike Jenkins came up. Alex Flanagan asked him if he had a response to Mike Jenkins who was quoted as saying, "No team has been able to throw bombs on us, and it isn't about to start this week against Philly."

He was kinda happy at first, and then looked a bit worried and bothered when the host asked him to respond to Jenkins' statement. He said he's not going to respond to Jenkins, but that he likes his chances this Sunday.

I love what Jenkins said. I hope Jenkins has another pick this game and takes it to the house. Love this kid.

 

[TellerMorrow34]

I really hope that Jenkins has a huge game this weekend, and continues the huge games right through the playoffs, to put the league on notice.

 

[DFWJC]

Not apiece, "between them". 1 TD total between them.

.

And that is very likely....and we would be okay.

 

[Grevus]

The key to this game is Philly not having Jackson; Jamaal Jackson

That is the key to this victory. McNabb will be hit and sacked a lot more then normal.

 

[Cajuncowboy]

The key to this game is Philly not having Jackson; Jamaal Jackson

That is the key to this victory. McNabb will be hit and sacked a lot more then normal.

And he will fumble the ball a lot I think. His hammy is tweaked and it should finally pop around the middle of the third quarter. (That just a rough guess )

 

[casmith07]

DeSean Jackson is not going to like facing Mike Jenkins for the next 10 years or so

 

[VietCowboy]

Philly, get ready to be...exposed!

 

[big dog cowboy]

Philly, get ready to be...exposed!

 

[aikemirv]

I am a little confused that they project Philly to have 30 points if Celek and Jackson have a combined 125 and 1 TD.

I would think that would be a good number for Dallas, not Philly.

 

[theogt]

I am a little confused that they project Philly to have 30 points if Celek and Jackson have a combined 125 and 1 TD.

I would think that would be a good number for Dallas, not Philly.

Yeah, I guess that's where I was confused. Those are their two biggest receiving threats and if they only score one touchdown between them, they're going to have to come up with a lot of other points from other players, so that statement makes no sense if they truly mean "between" them.

 

[Phoenix]

How many times have they correctly predicted the outcome of a Cowboys game this year?

Just saw this question, in review. To my recollection, most of them. I can not give you an exact number, sorry, but I've been tracking this all season. All I can say definitely is that, well, they have been pretty accurate. It's a tough business, to be sure. But they do pretty well in their job.

I don't work for them, I don't really endorse them, I only refer to their game predictions from BSPN->NFL->Scores->(game of choice for the week)->Intel, where the AccuScore info shows up. I do not subscribe to them, but I suppose if one did, one could research everything from previous games.

I've not even been able to see AccuScore on the "Intel" linkie above for games that are live, in progress. It disappears, seems like, once the game starts.

And my only interest in their prediction is just that - their prediction based on the simulations, because they have been pretty darned good. Not in to enough to pay a subscription to them for more in depth information, like their history on individual games, etc.