Macnalty
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Very simplistic formula making some bold predictions. Perfect fodder while we wait for the draft in 7 weeks and two days.
You can read about it here. http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=439601
Generally, elite athletic position players are broken down into 2 prototypes.
Anyone with a 1.05 or higher "explosive power" score (which basically uses Vert and broad jump, compared to Weight/Height to gauge a player's explosive power), have had an extremely good chance (~80%) of not only succeeding in the NFL but being a pro bowl or > quality player. This number is pretty much a threshold, either your above 1.05, or you're not in the same group.
Another player type that has nearly as great chance of success that has very low risk value is someone that both has a twitch score of under 1.1, and has a sub-7.0s 3 cone time.
Players with Explosive Power rating > 1.05:
Some thoughts
You can read about it here. http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=439601
Generally, elite athletic position players are broken down into 2 prototypes.
- Explosive - This player is big, heavy and does exceptional in vert/broad.
- Twitch - This player is usually not as big and heavy, but does exceptional in 3 cone (< 7sec) and in shuttle and 10 yard split.
Anyone with a 1.05 or higher "explosive power" score (which basically uses Vert and broad jump, compared to Weight/Height to gauge a player's explosive power), have had an extremely good chance (~80%) of not only succeeding in the NFL but being a pro bowl or > quality player. This number is pretty much a threshold, either your above 1.05, or you're not in the same group.
Another player type that has nearly as great chance of success that has very low risk value is someone that both has a twitch score of under 1.1, and has a sub-7.0s 3 cone time.
Players with Explosive Power rating > 1.05:
- Myles Garrett 1.13
- Larry Ogunjobi 1.071
- Elijah Qualls 1.066
- D.J. Jones 1.054
- Solomon Thomas 1.045
- Jordan Willis 1.013
- Pita Taumoepenu 1.07, 6.91
- Solomon Thomas 1.02, 6.95
- **Jordan Willis 7.36, 6.85
- **Haason Reddick 7.55, 7.01
- Trey Hendrickson 1.01, 7.03
- Deatrich Wise 1.06, 7.07
- Taco Charlton 1.06, 7.17
- Garrett Sickels 1.09, 7.21
- Daeshon Hall 1.11, 7.03
- Jordan Willis 1.14, 6.85
- Derek Barnett 1.14, 6.96
- Dawuane Smoot 1.11, 7.18
- Carroll Phillips 1.13, 7.06
Some thoughts
- Garrett is as advertised and worthy of a #1 pick.
- Solomon Thomas barely misses out on the explosive elite and makes the twitch elite with a VERY good twitch score. Extremely good, given his weight. I'd put him 2nd to Garrett and then daylight to Taumoepenu. Then a bit more daylight after.
- Derek Barnett was sick. If he was healthy how much better could he have done? His 3 cone was good enough for a healthy guy. He was let down by his 20 ss, where to make the grade, he'd have to run .15 faster than his 4.45 20 ss. Is this possible? Maybe? I'd guess it would be close and he might just get there, depending on how badly it affected him.
- This year there is no one really close enough on Explosive Power rating this year, where given their height, if they put on a little more weight, they'd make the grade. Last year, we had Leonard Floyd who fit that category. After a year, he seems to be at a more effective weight, so watch out for him this year!
- Jordan Willis** is probably too far away with his explosive rating. But did a very good 3 cone (6.85). It looks like he breaks the twitch rating. Him and very nearly Reddick can move to the top twitch group ratings.
