What If The Cowboys Had Listened To ESPN's Mel Kiper And Todd McShay In The Last Five Drafts?

[BrAinPaiNt]

Mock drafters almost always look silly once their carefully constructed mock drafts are compared with the actual draft results. Mel Kiper once defined a successful mock draft as one with at least 5 direct hits (correct player is matched to the correct team) and 27 correctly predicted first-round players.

That doesn't sound particularly impressive if you believe mock drafts are supposed to be predictors of which players go to which teams. But consider that by their very nature, most mock drafts are inherently inaccurate. And for the most part, that is less an indictment of a particular writer's football knowledge but owes much more to the inherent unpredictability of the draft.

The Huddle Report hands out mock draft scores every year and is the longest running such scoring available for NFL mock drafts. Their system is based on correctly predicting the player in the round (1 point) and matching the player with the correct team (3 points). Kiper's five correct hits (15 points) and the other 22 first rounders (22 points) would result in 37 points for a mock draft - a point total only 17 of the 115 mock drafts evaluated by the Huddle Report achieved last year.


read the full article http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2015...d-listened-to-espns-mel-kiper-and-todd-mcshay

 

[Idgit]

That McShay draft looks pretty damn good.

 

[Manwiththeplan]

Yea, the JF pick is bad, but the other ones were really good. But Richardson went before our pick, so that kinda doesn't count

 

[jrumann59]

Kiper Mock while nice Dallas wanted Shazier but he wasn't there too damn early in the off season and have to put up with articles like this.

 

[Rockport]

Mocks are a crock and only fodder for the mindless.

 

[jterrell]

Most Cowboy fans mock drafts would be even better....
The avg fan had Aaron Donald, Fletcher Cox amongst others....
If you ignore what player is there when you pick it is easy to look good

Outside the sad early returns on Mo that is a really salty 5 year spread for Dallas.

 

[xwalker]

Mock drafters almost always look silly once their carefully constructed mock drafts are compared with the actual draft results. Mel Kiper once defined a successful mock draft as one with at least 5 direct hits (correct player is matched to the correct team) and 27 correctly predicted first-round players.

That doesn't sound particularly impressive if you believe mock drafts are supposed to be predictors of which players go to which teams. But consider that by their very nature, most mock drafts are inherently inaccurate. And for the most part, that is less an indictment of a particular writer's football knowledge but owes much more to the inherent unpredictability of the draft.

The Huddle Report hands out mock draft scores every year and is the longest running such scoring available for NFL mock drafts. Their system is based on correctly predicting the player in the round (1 point) and matching the player with the correct team (3 points). Kiper's five correct hits (15 points) and the other 22 first rounders (22 points) would result in 37 points for a mock draft - a point total only 17 of the 115 mock drafts evaluated by the Huddle Report achieved last year.


read the full article http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2015...d-listened-to-espns-mel-kiper-and-todd-mcshay

It's hard to compare because some of those players were not actually available when the Cowboys picked. Also, the trades don't show up in the comparison. The Fred pick was even better because of the trade down and the Claiborne pick was even worse because of the trade up.

It would be interesting if the draft analysts came out the week after the draft and said who they would pick for each team based on who was available at that pick.