Who do you like in the Super Bowl? My picks

[Diehardblues]

I understand why the Chiefs were underdogs on the road at Buffalo and Baltimore but on a neutral site as defending World Champs I think the handicappers got this one wrong .

And the big money early wagering would prove my point as the line opened at -2 1/2 and quickly went to -2 and at some casinos has dropped to -1 1/2.

Yes, SF had the better team throughout the season but they struggled in both playoff games needing a comeback against 7th seed Packers and a historic collapse by the Lions . And both games were at home while the Chiefs took their show on the road beating two great QB’s and teams in hostile environment .

And remarkably after 6 years starting this was Mahomes first playoff games away from Arrowhead. If this was any other team in AFC I’d probably have taken SF. But Mahomes looks like on another mission to make his place in history winning back to back. I just don’t see how I can bet against him finding some way to pull it out .

The argument for SF is they have been frustrated in recent years losing SB 4 years ago to KC and Champ game last 2 years . I wouldn’t be totally shocked if they won but Mahomes will go down swinging . And in a close game in the 4th qtr I want my money on #15.

I don’t normally provide my picks on the over/under since it’s not something I usually wager but since it’s the SB I’ll go ahead and provide . 47 1/2 isn’t a big line or concern for me especially at an inside venue with two prolific offenses although we also have a top defense . But they have the greatest current QB and defending champ. Both teams should be scoring at least in the 20’s. I’d hate to be in the 4th qtr having my bet relying on no one scoring .

Good Luck!!

 

[triplets_93]

Las Vegas experiencing heavy rain, cold temperatures ahead of Super Bowl 2024

https://www.sbnation.com/nfl/2024/2...er-bowl-2024-chiefs-vs-49ers-field-conditions

This is extremely unusual weather for Las Vegas, a city sees 294 sunny days per year and is one of the driest cities in the United States, with an average of about five inches of rain per year.

Where it could impact the game in some way is on the playing surface. The Raiders play on natural grass, and during the week, the grass is rolled out next to the stadium to get sun. Well, it’s getting a whole lot of water this week, too.

 

[Reverend Conehead]

I think this will be one of the closest Super Bowls in history, and San Fran will prevail by the end of it. IMO, it's a bit deceiving that both of SF's playoff games were close, and that they had to come from behind. IMO, it has more to do with both the Packers and the Lions being excellent teams. The Lions were good all year, but the Packers came on really strong toward the end as they found their legs. That's why their 9 and 8 record was so deceptive.
...
49ers 19
Chiefs 17

 

[nate dizzle]

In a game that could go either way im taking the higher payout opportunity and I'm going with the Chiefs +102 to win. I think their defense can slow down CMC and that Niner offense enough for the Chiefs to keep it close and then Captain Clutch wins it for them at the end.

 

[Aven8]

Chiefs. Not only do they have the best QB in football but they also have the best defense.

 

[Flamma]

I understand why the Chiefs were underdogs on the road at Buffalo and Baltimore but on a neutral site as defending World Champs I think the handicappers got this one wrong .

And the big money early wagering would prove my point as the line opened at -2 1/2 and quickly went to -2 and at some casinos has dropped to -1 1/2.

Yes, SF had the better team throughout the season but they struggled in both playoff games needing a comeback against 7th seed Packers and a historic collapse by the Lions . And both games were at home while the Chiefs took their show on the road beating two great QB’s and teams in hostile environment .

And remarkably after 6 years starting this was Mahomes first playoff games away from Arrowhead. If this was any other team in AFC I’d probably have taken SF. But Mahomes looks like on another mission to make his place in history winning back to back. I just don’t see how I can bet against him finding some way to pull it out .

The argument for SF is they have been frustrated in recent years losing SB 4 years ago to KC and Champ game last 2 years . I wouldn’t be totally shocked if they won but Mahomes will go down swinging . And in a close game in the 4th qtr I want my money on #15.

I don’t normally provide my picks on the over/under since it’s not something I usually wager but since it’s the SB I’ll go ahead and provide . 47 1/2 isn’t a big line or concern for me especially at an inside venue with two prolific offenses although we also have a top defense . But they have the greatest current QB and defending champ. Both teams should be scoring at least in the 20’s. I’d hate to be in the 4th qtr having my bet relying on no one scoring .

Good Luck!!

I think the Chiefs are winning too, but I'm not sure they got the line wrong. At first I thought the same as you. I expected this line to flip. And at first it did. I did see it go to 1 1/2. But then it went right back to 2 and holding steady. Either way, they're not that far off.

 

[Diehardblues]

I think the Chiefs are winning too, but I'm not sure they got the line wrong. At first I thought the same as you. I expected this line to flip. And at first it did. I did see it go to 1 1/2. But then it went right back to 2 and holding steady. Either way, they're not that far off.

I’m trying to recall the last time a defending champ wasn’t favored . I know in SB 13 the Cowboys who were defending champs were 6 point underdogs to Steelers but Pittsburgh had won a couple SB’s basically with same team.

Maybe when Seattle was defending champs against Patriots they were slight underdogs .

I can’t imagine Pats being an underdog when they were defending . My hunch is it hasn’t occurred very often in SB history.

I would have had this game at pick ‘em or KC -1

 

[Flamma]

I’m trying to recall the last time a defending champ wasn’t favored . I know in SB 13 the Cowboys who were defending champs were 6 point underdogs to Steelers but Pittsburgh had won a couple SB’s basically with same team.

Maybe when Seattle was defending champs against Patriots they were slight underdogs .

I can’t imagine Pats being an underdog when they were defending . My hunch is it hasn’t occurred very often in SB history.

I would have had this game at pick ‘em or KC -1

I agree with you 100%. I would put the line there as well. But it's still -2. That tells me the money is coming in evenly.

BTW, that Patriots/Seahawks SB went off at a pick em.

 

[Diehardblues]

I agree with you 100%. I would put the line there as well. But it's still -2. That tells me the money is coming in evenly.

BTW, that Patriots/Seahawks SB went off at a pick em.

Huge volume of bets on SF as proximity to Vegas and Nevada.

 

[Diehardblues]

I was 3-0 for champ game and SB.

 

[BoysForLife]

In a game that could go either way im taking the higher payout opportunity and I'm going with the Chiefs +102 to win. I think their defense can slow down CMC and that Niner offense enough for the Chiefs to keep it close and then Captain Clutch wins it for them at the end.

pretty much exactly how it happened.
Good call dizzle.

 

[nate dizzle]

pretty much exactly how it happened.
Good call dizzle.

Thanks! It was a good night for me lol