Will Your Favorite Player Be Available When The Cowboys Draft?

NeonDeion21

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http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/03/will-your-favorite-player-be-available-when-the-dallas-cowboys-pick/

Every year, I am curious as to which players the Cowboys are likely to have on the board when it’s time for them to pick in the first round. And this year, I think I found a unique way to visualize the likelihood that a player will be available to them. So here’s what I did. Using the fan-speak mock draft simulator, I ran the mock 20 times and each time I recorded the players that were available to the Dallas Cowboys at their selection. Now, the simulator isn’t perfect and there were a few times where a random 2nd-3rd round prospect popped up into the first round. Still, the chart below is a good indicator of just who may be available when the Cowboys are on the clock:


Fan-speak-chart.jpg



Read the rest of the notes and tidbits at: http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/0...-cowboys-pick/
 

thunderpimp91

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Thanks for sharing., definitely fun to look at. I may be crazy, but. Still feel like we come away with Donald.
 

guag

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Interesting. I love stuff like this.
 

xwalker

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http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/03/will-your-favorite-player-be-available-when-the-dallas-cowboys-pick/

Every year, I am curious as to which players the Cowboys are likely to have on the board when it’s time for them to pick in the first round. And this year, I think I found a unique way to visualize the likelihood that a player will be available to them. So here’s what I did. Using the fan-speak mock draft simulator, I ran the mock 20 times and each time I recorded the players that were available to the Dallas Cowboys at their selection. Now, the simulator isn’t perfect and there were a few times where a random 2nd-3rd round prospect popped up into the first round. Still, the chart below is a good indicator of just who may be available when the Cowboys are on the clock:
That's a lot of work on your part.

Kyle Van Noy was drafted before #16 40 percent of the time?

Can you do another one that does this with draft analysts? If you choose 10 draft analysts and only 1s pick a certain player before #16, then you could say that the player has a 90% chance of being available.
 

NeonDeion21

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That's a lot of work on your part.

Kyle Van Noy was drafted before #16 40 percent of the time?

Can you do another one that does this with draft analysts? If you choose 10 draft analysts and only 1s pick a certain player before #16, then you could say that the player has a 90% chance of being available.

I can. I did one earlier in January and wanted to do one more a little closer to the actual draft.

As for Van Noy, that really surprised me as well. Like I said in the post, it's just a fun exercise to look at, but I can't imagine a scenario where Van Noy goes in the top 15.
 

DallasEast

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After reading the OP, I find myself strongly attracted to the color green. :) Hopefully there aren't any Eagles fans who read that. :(
 

Idgit

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After reading the OP, I find myself strongly attracted to the color green. :) Hopefully there aren't any Eagles fans who read that. :(

Well, look at it this way...there's a low likelihood any one of the reds will be there, but a 65% chance at least one of them will be. :)
 

big dog cowboy

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It's impossible to predict how the draft will unfold, but, I still think there is at least a 50/50 chance we atempt to trade down.
 

texbumthelife

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Interesting analysis. Thank you for taking the time. Interesting that blue and green each have at least two players I want, while I wouldn't touch anyone in orange and purple. So, I guess if the draft fell close to that, I wouldn't mind all that much.
 

casmith07

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Ra'Shede Hageman, Timmy Jernigan, or Kony Ealy would all be nice "consolation prizes" if Anthony Barr and Aaron Donald have already been selected.

I think for all three, though, we could move down to the bottom of the 1st round and still have a shot at one of the three. If not, select Xavier Su'a-Filo and get ready for pick #47.
 

DFWJC

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That's a lot of work on your part.

Kyle Van Noy was drafted before #16 40 percent of the time?

Can you do another one that does this with draft analysts? If you choose 10 draft analysts and only 1s pick a certain player before #16, then you could say that the player has a 90% chance of being available.

Noticed that too. Somebody loves them some Van Noy.
 

Rockytop6

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http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/03/will-your-favorite-player-be-available-when-the-dallas-cowboys-pick/

Every year, I am curious as to which players the Cowboys are likely to have on the board when it’s time for them to pick in the first round. And this year, I think I found a unique way to visualize the likelihood that a player will be available to them. So here’s what I did. Using the fan-speak mock draft simulator, I ran the mock 20 times and each time I recorded the players that were available to the Dallas Cowboys at their selection. Now, the simulator isn’t perfect and there were a few times where a random 2nd-3rd round prospect popped up into the first round. Still, the chart below is a good indicator of just who may be available when the Cowboys are on the clock:


Fan-speak-chart.jpg



Read the rest of the notes and tidbits at: [URL='http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/0...-cowboys-pick/[/quote']http://cover32.com/cowboys/2014/04/0...-cowboys-pick/[/quote[/URL]]


Interesting that both Evans and Manziel have a 40% chance of being available and Donald only a 15% chance!
 

yentl911

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If Donald is there I hope we don't get cute and trade down. Just pick the damn kid.

My favorite player in the draft - later rounds mind you - is Aaron Lynch. He is going to be a late round steal for someone.
 

BigStar

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Really cool info ND. Doesn't look good for my pet choices (Mack 5%, Barr 10%, Donald 15%, Pryor 40%) Surprised Dee Ford has risen so far @ only 75% chance of being available @ 16 when initially it looked like he could be had in a trade down. Yikes, it looks more like Martin/Mosley as the best choices. I don't like the DL available @ 16 (Jernigan, Ealy, Hageman) bc all three lack explosiveness. Cool stuff!
 

unionjack8

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not sure fan speak is a great predictor for this analysis. brandin cooks went number 1 in a mock i ran today.
interesting nonetheless.
barr is my guy that realistically could be there
 

BigStar

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not sure fan speak is a great predictor for this analysis. brandin cooks went number 1 in a mock i ran today.
interesting nonetheless.
barr is my guy that realistically could be there

Barr would be a great pick for the foundation of rebuilding the DL. Mack will be gone and Ford is rising. Edge rushers take priority (in my opinion).
 

unionjack8

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Cooks went number one overall?

Can you let me know who these people are? I mean specific names and emails? I would like to organize a fantasy league with them.

on the fan speak website, my bad, didnt explain that very well
 
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