Yep, I think you are right. These tie breakers have played a role in a number of seedings in the last few years. Always important to take care of your own business.
I can never remember the exact order, but I think Divisional record comes before Conference record then Head to head, then record against same foes.
This is a home game, against a banged up divisional rival. Division games are always dangerous. Take care of this game, and the Packers game becomes the only super important game left I think. Don't want to play in Green Bay come January. We want home field and a bye, despite being great road warriors lately.
I have a good feeling about this team. They need to get over the hump and have a good late November and winning December though. Got to finish the year strong. The good thing is I think the coaching style and the return of some injured players and the development of the younger players means that this team is still capable of getting better. Focus and execution will be the key.
This is a big game from the perspective of sealing the division though and the Skins are ripe for picking!
Larry