Yakuza Rich: #1 Seed Has Its Benefits

Yakuza Rich

Well-Known Member
Messages
18,043
Reaction score
12,385
#1 Seed Has Its Benefits
by Yakuza Rich
http://yakuzarich.blogspot.com/

The Cowboys have come into the postseason with questions as to whether or not it's more important to be the #1 seed with homefield advantage and a bye week or to be playing well coming into the playoffs but without those benefits that are rewarded to the #1 seed.

Personally, I'd always take the #1 seed, with the bye week and homefield advantage. The line of thinking is that the bye week is extremely useful. Not only can a team rest their players and get injured players healthy, their opponent risks injuries to their players in the wildcard game. Not to mention that the team with the bye week can spend a week more closely studying the opponent they will be facing while their opponents will have to prepare for two teams in that timeframe. Lastly, regardless of what type of weather conditions suit a team's style of play, teams play far better at home than on the road in the NFL. Especially the later you get into the season.

But, perhaps I'm dead wrong. So I wanted to check to see what the facts tell me. So since 1997, here's what I got:

9 of the last 20 teams that *went* to the Super Bowl were #1 seeds.

6 of the last 10 NFC Super Bowl representatives were #1 seeds.

3 of the last 10 AFC Super Bowl representatives were #1 seeds.


From here you can tell that the #1 seeds do very well in the postseason. However, they do extremely well in the NFC. There have only been three #1 seeds that haven't gone to the Super Bowl in the NFC since 1997 and they were the 1997 Niners, the 1998 Vikings, the 2002 Eagles, and the 2003 Eagles.

Here's some more data:

The last 20 #1 seeds in the NFL have gone a combined 31-15 in the postseason.

The last 10 AFC #1 seeds are a combined 11-8 in the postseason.

The last 10 NFC #1 seeds are a combined 20-7 in the postseason.


From here it shows that if you're a #1 seed, you're likely to win at least the first divisional playoff game. However, it's pretty obvious that the NFC #1 seeds a dominant in the postseason and for whatever reason being a #1 seed in the AFC is not as important.





YAKUZA
 

RCowboyFan

Active Member
Messages
6,926
Reaction score
2
Great breakdown. I heard before that at least one #1 seed didn't make it to SB last few years. Seems like it has been the AFC teams that haven't made it, including last year and before year etc.
 

Bob Sacamano

Benched
Messages
57,084
Reaction score
3
why fans wouldn't take the #1 seed and HFA is beyond me, every player and coach in the NFL would take it, which is what everyone plays for in the regular season
 

CoCo

Well-Known Member
Messages
5,603
Reaction score
187
Bob Sacamano;1872648 said:
why fans wouldn't take the #1 seed and HFA is beyond me, every player and coach in the NFL would take it, which is what everyone plays for in the regular season

I'll take door #3 please, which is a healthy and playing well #1 seed.

What? We don't get to choose? Then whats the point?
 

Bob Sacamano

Benched
Messages
57,084
Reaction score
3
CoCo;1872689 said:
I'll take door #3 please, which is a healthy and playing well #1 seed.

What? We don't get to choose? Then whats the point?

I don't follow

not saying us fans don't have a choice, just some who are upset about having HFA and the #1 seed should have their choice-making privileges stripped from them :)
 

Frosty

Bigdog24
Messages
3,960
Reaction score
2,257
MichaelWinicki;1872740 said:
Good article Rich!

dido, good read, If my memory is right: Very Few (AFC/NFC) #1 seeds meet in the SB. Man:::::: Goegia is handing to the Hawaii BAD
 

Boysboy

New Member
Messages
4,852
Reaction score
0
It all depends-NO way we win at Lambeau, IMHO. But I feel we could win in other cities like Seattle in any typical NFCCG.
 

Chocolate Lab

Run-loving Dino
Messages
37,107
Reaction score
11,452
Rich, did you happen to check the numbers for 9-7 teams that have "momentum" and are "inspired"? ;)
 

Clove

Shrinkage
Messages
64,894
Reaction score
27,491
CrazyCowboy;1873036 said:
all we need is T.O. back 100 percent.......
I agree, and good read Rich. The only downside to the bye week is having to endure 2 weeks of whinning, other than that, let's get it on!
 

Cbz40

The Grand Poobah
Messages
31,387
Reaction score
39
Thanks Rich..I always enjoy your take on things.
 

Yakuza Rich

Well-Known Member
Messages
18,043
Reaction score
12,385
Chocolate Lab;1873030 said:
Rich, did you happen to check the numbers for 9-7 teams that have "momentum" and are "inspired"? ;)


No. My IQ is above room temperature.



YAKUZA
 

LittleBoyBlue

Redvolution
Messages
35,766
Reaction score
8,411
Bob Sacamano;1872648 said:
why fans wouldn't take the #1 seed and HFA is beyond me, every player and coach in the NFL would take it, which is what everyone plays for in the regular season



Yup.... if we take care of... and advantage of... HFA in first 2 playoff games... the incentive HFA game kicks in.... Arizona is Dallas Cowboys country. :D
 

Doomsday101

Well-Known Member
Messages
107,762
Reaction score
39,034
Big benifet is Dallas gets this week to allow players who are nursing injuries to heal it also allows Dallas this week to work on fundamental since they have no ideal of who they may play. Next week Dallas will start putting the game plan into place. As for going 2-2 in the last month no I'm not overly concerned about it, this team has stuck with each other all year and have rallied in big games and I expect that to continue.
 
Top