Creeper
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I think the nudge is more than likely what they would do. It takes less force, maybe even non-nuclear and it is more likely to succeed simply because we just have to nudge it slightly in the opposite direction the earth is traveling. Even an impact that would slow it down would cause it to miss the earth. But I would still have a backup plan in case the first projectile misses. The space rock is still traveling at 38,000 miles per hour and it would be incredibly difficult to hit something moving that fast even if we have done it before.Yes, but a controlled push on a different course would be more predictable. If they could be sure that it'd shatter into pieces small enough to disintegrate in our atmosphere, that would probably be optimal. There's still the possibility that those pieces could destroy satellites or space stations.
At the same time, I wonder if the temptation to use a nuke would be too great to resist. I have to believe there are guys in the Pentagon that would love to know how a nuke works in space. We kind of know the theory, but seeing an actual detonation in the ether of space would confirm our theories or alter them. Plus, it would be cool to watch on a sure to be recorded video.