Runwildboys
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I'm sure McCarthy would also rather be down by 8 points than 9, but he also knows that you need 15 to tie, regardless of the order in which you try the 1 point and 2 point conversions.But here's the reality of it all. If they kicked the extra point instead of the 2 point try they would have been down by only 8 points. Now if the other 31 head coaches were asked if they would rather be down by only 8 points with 5 minutes left or down by 9 points with only 5 minutes left knowing that it would require trying a play with only a 2% chance of success, just how many real NFL coaches, not wannabe fan head coaches, would chose being down by 9 instead of 8 points? Now don't say they would still need that field goal to win because those coaches wouldn't try that on-side kick if they made the 2 point attempt and in a tie game with under 2 minutes left because the on-side kick only has a 2% chance of working and that means that if they did that there would be a 98% chance that they would be giving the ball to the falcons at the Cowboys 45 yard line and only need 10-12 yards to kick the winning field goal. NFL coaches would have kicked off and taken their chances on holding them and try winning in OT.
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Now don't say they would still need that field goal to win because those coaches wouldn't try that on-side kick if they made the 2 point attempt and in a tie game with under 2 minutes left
Now you're assuming they make the 2 points after the second TD, but at best, the odds are 50/50, and considering they most likely would've run the same play as they did in reality, the results would most likely have been the same. Now you're still behind, and since you were playing for a tie, you weren't as concerned about the clock, so you have less, if any time to attempt the onside kick and subsequent FG.