Prescott on George Pickens

[TheMarathonContinues]

As long as you keep 2023 on your radar

2023 Deep Passing Performance

In 2023, Prescott ranked fifth among all quarterbacks in expected points added (EPA) on deep passes (throws of 20+ air yards), with a 0.810 EPA and a 48.5% positive EPA rate. He achieved career highs in several deep passing categories:

Passing Yards: 1,085

Touchdowns: 11

First Downs: 36

Big-Time Throws: 27

Passer Rating on Deep Throws: 126.3


Notably, he maintained a low turnover-worthy play rate of 3.7% on these deep attempts.

Accuracy Metrics

Prescott's deep ball accuracy was among the league's best. On throws traveling 15 or more yards through the air, he completed 57% of his passes, ranking fourth in the NFL. Data from FTN Data indicates that no quarterback had a higher rate of catchable passes on such throws than Prescott, and only C.J. Stroud had a lower rate of interception-worthy throws.

Additionally, Prescott's deep ball completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) was +10.3%, the third-highest in the league. This metric reflects his ability to complete passes that are statistically less likely to be caught, highlighting his precision and decision-making.

Comparison to Other Quarterbacks

In the 2023 season, Prescott's deep passing performance placed him among the elite quarterbacks in the NFL. He was one of only two quarterbacks to rank in the top 10 across short, intermediate, and deep passing categories. Specifically, he ranked seventh in deep passing, eighth in intermediate, and ninth in short passing.

Or his whole career

Over his NFL career, Dak Prescott has consistently demonstrated strong deep-ball accuracy, often ranking among the league's top quarterbacks in this area.

Career Deep Passing Performance

2019 Season: Prescott led the NFL in completion percentage above expectation (CPOE) on deep passes (throws of 20+ air yards), with a +13.4% differential. He completed 44.4% of these attempts, surpassing the expected 31%, and achieved a passer rating of 109.7 on such throws.

2018 Season: He completed 46.5% of his deep passes, ranking fifth among quarterbacks that year.

2017–2019 Period: Prescott's adjusted completion percentage on deep throws was 45.9%, slightly higher than Carson Wentz's 44.5%.

2016 Season: In his rookie year, Prescott completed 35% of his deep passes (9-of-26), achieving a passer rating of 120.0 on such throws.


Career Efficiency Metrics

Throughout his career, Prescott has maintained a high passer rating on deep attempts. Among quarterbacks with at least 75 deep attempts since 2015, he ranks fourth in passer rating (115.6), with 11 touchdowns to just two interceptions.

Comparison to Other Quarterbacks

Prescott's deep-ball accuracy and efficiency place him among the league's elite. For instance, in 2019, he outperformed notable deep passers like Russell Wilson and Patrick Mahomes in completion percentage above expectation on deep throws.

Conclusion

Dak Prescott's deep-ball accuracy has been a consistent strength throughout his career. His ability to exceed expectations on deep throws and maintain a high passer rating underscores his proficiency in this aspect of quarterback play.

But don't let some good ole facts mess with your radar

Great post.

 

[stilltheguru]

Dak is so full of it. Pretending he never played with Cooper and lamb. That same year articles about wr separation were being written. I already know how this story will go.

https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...f-the-offensive-struggles-over-the-last-month

For anybody thinking I'm lying

 

[HonoluluCowboy]

Keep up. Dak’s a much better than average passer as far as accuracy. Check his stats vs others. And quit following other peoples coattails.

 

[TheMarathonContinues]

Dak is so full of it. Pretending he never played with Cooper and lamb. That same year articles about wr separation were being written. I already know how this story will go.

https://www.bloggingtheboys.com/202...f-the-offensive-struggles-over-the-last-month

For anybody thinking I'm lying

Which part is he full of it about? Dak got more out of Cooper then Josh Allen did.

 

[HonoluluCowboy]

Thank you Rockport. It is actually nice to read a post with some "hope". I selectively read these posts anymore due to the same "fans" posting negative comments about any and anything. Gets nauseating. I am hoping for a good season.

If you click your heels enough ....

 

[Rayman70]

Best wr to be had and we got fans complaining lol. Hey guys, can we just allow ourselves some ***** joy? The self flogging of ourselves because we have not sniffed a ring in 30 years shouldn't besmearch the fact we had an outstanding off season. Enjoy it. Now if it fails it fails, but right now ******, take it all in and chill. We did good. We have reason to feel good right now. Remember that movie the Davinci code where the guy is flogging himself? Lol. That's us sometimes. I get it, I really do, because that was me up til this off-season. No more.

 

[Rayman70]

You put the ball anywhere?? Get ready George, Dak means what he says, he'll put it under, over, side, etc, we HOPE someone can catch these passes from Dak, sheesh! Pickens will be the reason why Dak can go to Jerry this next off season and ask for MORE money!!

Get ready for those infamous Dak ground balls that could have been huge chunk plays if accurate. Lol

 

[stilltheguru]

Which part is he full of it about? Dak got more out of Cooper then Josh Allen did.

Hes full of it talking like it will matter late in the season against good defenses. I said it before and I'll say it again.....when teams get decent pressure with 4 and play zone it's up to dak to read the defense which he struggles with (vs good defenses).

the most important thing for qbs late in the year is reading defenses or mobility first and foremost. Second is a good oline. Hurts does good because of his mobility and he has the oline to compliment.

Dak can't read zone and our oline as far as I know is suspect. We'll prob beat up on bad/average teams....split with teams on our level and lose to good teams with a defense (especially late in the year). It's rinse repeat.

All that separation talk doesn't matter when teams like niners play zone. Just look at the play in the playoffs when Warner picked off days throw to ceedee. If that was randy moss instead of ceedee it's still a pick.

 

[Redsfan_83]

Taking bets on the 1st overthrow and rolling eyes from GP.......Week 1 2:30 in as a start

 

[fivetwos]

Dak, "I don't play play for the money, I play to disappoint Cowboy fans."

That way more sad than funny but I’m laughing my behind off here.

Nice work.

 

[fivetwos]

As long as you keep 2023 on your radar

2023 Deep Passing Performance

In 2023, Prescott ranked fifth among all quarterbacks in expected points added (EPA) on deep passes (throws of 20+ air yards), with a 0.810 EPA and a 48.5% positive EPA rate. He achieved career highs in several deep passing categories:

Passing Yards: 1,085

Touchdowns: 11

First Downs: 36

Big-Time Throws: 27

Passer Rating on Deep Throws: 126.3


Notably, he maintained a low turnover-worthy play rate of 3.7% on these deep attempts.

Accuracy Metrics

Prescott's deep ball accuracy was among the league's best. On throws traveling 15 or more yards through the air, he completed 57% of his passes, ranking fourth in the NFL. Data from FTN Data indicates that no quarterback had a higher rate of catchable passes on such throws than Prescott, and only C.J. Stroud had a lower rate of interception-worthy throws.

Additionally, Prescott's deep ball completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) was +10.3%, the third-highest in the league. This metric reflects his ability to complete passes that are statistically less likely to be caught, highlighting his precision and decision-making.

Comparison to Other Quarterbacks

In the 2023 season, Prescott's deep passing performance placed him among the elite quarterbacks in the NFL. He was one of only two quarterbacks to rank in the top 10 across short, intermediate, and deep passing categories. Specifically, he ranked seventh in deep passing, eighth in intermediate, and ninth in short passing.

Or his whole career

Over his NFL career, Dak Prescott has consistently demonstrated strong deep-ball accuracy, often ranking among the league's top quarterbacks in this area.

Career Deep Passing Performance

2019 Season: Prescott led the NFL in completion percentage above expectation (CPOE) on deep passes (throws of 20+ air yards), with a +13.4% differential. He completed 44.4% of these attempts, surpassing the expected 31%, and achieved a passer rating of 109.7 on such throws.

2018 Season: He completed 46.5% of his deep passes, ranking fifth among quarterbacks that year.

2017–2019 Period: Prescott's adjusted completion percentage on deep throws was 45.9%, slightly higher than Carson Wentz's 44.5%.

2016 Season: In his rookie year, Prescott completed 35% of his deep passes (9-of-26), achieving a passer rating of 120.0 on such throws.


Career Efficiency Metrics

Throughout his career, Prescott has maintained a high passer rating on deep attempts. Among quarterbacks with at least 75 deep attempts since 2015, he ranks fourth in passer rating (115.6), with 11 touchdowns to just two interceptions.

Comparison to Other Quarterbacks

Prescott's deep-ball accuracy and efficiency place him among the league's elite. For instance, in 2019, he outperformed notable deep passers like Russell Wilson and Patrick Mahomes in completion percentage above expectation on deep throws.

Conclusion

Dak Prescott's deep-ball accuracy has been a consistent strength throughout his career. His ability to exceed expectations on deep throws and maintain a high passer rating underscores his proficiency in this aspect of quarterback play.

But don't let some good ole facts mess with your radar

The endless argument/debate….

Prescott is by no means terrible, but he isn’t great enough to make up for the annual gaping holes left in the defense, or inferior schemes because Jerry only wants coaches he can push around.

Dak may be the highest paid, but that’s because the Dallas FO blew it several times in handling his contract, not because he is capable of masking roster problems otherwise.

 

[GimmeTheBall!]

Cowboys QB Dak Prescott on @dfwticket on WR George Pickens: "We've connected. I'm excited. You turn on the tape, you see a guy that can catch the football. You put the football anywhere in his vicinity, very strong hands. More than a 50/50 catcher. He thinks it's his ball when it's in the air. I'm excited for him. I know we needed some help at that position. ... It's hard to double team two guys. ... I think we're putting together a nice group of weapons."

Dak forgot to mention Pickens' great work ethic.

 

[MarcusRock]

deep passes (throws of 20+ air yards)

Again, I said balls that end up 30+ from the LOS. Bomb balls, etc. Dak doesn't do those well. Heck, Derek Carr completed 2 in a single game against us and Dak had 2 or 3 his entire time out there last season. I keep forgetting to head off the stats people who pull the "20 yards is a deep pass" out of their but, but bags, lol. 20+ air yards could start 10 yards behind the LOS and then end up 10 yards beyond the LOS on a 3rd and 15 play. But he hit a deep pass though, lol. I also said last year and then you go pull wrong stats from the wrong year.

He did but he has a history of throwing the ball down field well. He’s not thst far removed from throwing a deep ball to Ty Hilton to convert 3rd and 30.

Not bomb balls, he doesn't. Now that we have a deep threat I want to see if Dak is going to be able to hit him on target when he's open. Historically, he has not.

 

[Gambit]

Again, I said balls that end up 30+ from the LOS. Bomb balls,

I and everyone see what youre trying to do. Let me ask this, typically in a season how many "bomb balls" 30+ yards are attempted by all QBs? What is the completion percentage of those? It's a useless stat because you'll just sitch it and say well okay how about 40 yard bombs or 79 yard bombs.

I also said last year and then you go pull wrong stats from the wrong year

I said make sure you keep 2023 and really his whole career on this radar machine you think so highly of. You can't even be intellectually honest.

You picked a number that represents 1-2% of all passes thrown in an average year, and then try to diminish Dak without providing concrete evidence other than you saw.

It is widely accepted that deep balls are 20+ yards in the air, yanno cause a 30+ yard in the air could start 24.67 yards behind line of scrimmage and only net 5.33 yards.

Making up strawmen and playing Don Quixote at it seems to be what you want to do though.

 

[speedkilz88]

Hes full of it talking like it will matter late in the season against good defenses. I said it before and I'll say it again.....when teams get decent pressure with 4 and play zone it's up to dak to read the defense which he struggles with (vs good defenses).

the most important thing for qbs late in the year is reading defenses or mobility first and foremost. Second is a good oline. Hurts does good because of his mobility and he has the oline to compliment.

Dak can't read zone and our oline as far as I know is suspect. We'll prob beat up on bad/average teams....split with teams on our level and lose to good teams with a defense (especially late in the year). It's rinse repeat.

All that separation talk doesn't matter when teams like niners play zone. Just look at the play in the playoffs when Warner picked off days throw to ceedee. If that was randy moss instead of ceedee it's still a pick.

CeeDee excels against zone coverages. So if Dak is the one throwing to him how can you even come to that conclusion?

 

[stilltheguru]

CeeDee excels against zone coverages. So if Dak is the one throwing to him how can you even come to that conclusion?

You forgot the part about good defensive teams. Cowboy fans usually do. Get too caught up in stats vs scrub teams

 

[speedkilz88]

You forgot the part about good defensive teams. Cowboy fans usually do. Get too caught up in stats vs scrub teams

So you were pulling it out of your rear.

 

[stilltheguru]

So you were pulling it out of your rear.

Huh? You responded to my post with an inaccurate account of what I posted and start yappin about pulling stuff our of my rear? Man get lost.

 

[rambo2]

So many cliches. I have a bad feeling about this.

Lol, they trade for the best available receiver and you have bad feelings.

 

[TheMarathonContinues]

Again, I said balls that end up 30+ from the LOS. Bomb balls, etc. Dak doesn't do those well. Heck, Derek Carr completed 2 in a single game against us and Dak had 2 or 3 his entire time out there last season. I keep forgetting to head off the stats people who pull the "20 yards is a deep pass" out of their but, but bags, lol. 20+ air yards could start 10 yards behind the LOS and then end up 10 yards beyond the LOS on a 3rd and 15 play. But he hit a deep pass though, lol. I also said last year and then you go pull wrong stats from the wrong year.


Not bomb balls, he doesn't. Now that we have a deep threat I want to see if Dak is going to be able to hit him on target when he's open. Historically, he has not.

This not a bomb ball?